Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

Greg J. — Fri, 06 May 2011 12:03:07 GMT

Adam,

I am sticking with my top five, they are:

Uncle Mo (if he goes, we will find out shortly!)

Dialed In

Decisive Moment

Brilliant Speed

and Pants on Fire!

My best wager of Derby day is Little Mike and Doubles Partner in the Woodford Reserve as my stone cold exacta :)

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

keenelandcat — Fri, 06 May 2011 05:50:48 GMT

Comma at the Top leading as they come into the turn for home. Archarcharch & Midnight Interlude finishing 1-2. Not sure which one I would single, I might just have to box them.

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

UncleStosh — Fri, 06 May 2011 04:16:29 GMT

When 2 days before the Kentucky Derby you admit that your horse is not 100%, you're supposed to skip the race Mike Repole. Plenty of other great races to be won. Shoot for having your horse running well enough in October for the Classic. I think Uncle Mo is an easy bet against. Add one of the longshots instead.

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

IOWay — Fri, 06 May 2011 01:06:08 GMT

Where are all of the guarantees of who will win like I have been reading all winter? It looks to me like if the Irish horse is live he will run off with this. There just is not much left when you look at horses that look like they can make the distance and who got decent post draws. I hope Soldat is back since I have $50 on him at 18-1 in Future 1. It looks to me like the horses that can get the distance based on their breeding are Master Of Hounds, Animal Kingdom, Midnight Interlude, Arch x 3, Brilliant Speed and Stay Thirsty. I would like to feel some confidence about Stay Thirsty but an 89 Best Beyer is hard to accept and Brilliant Speed's 93 is hard to be excited about. My 5 horse super box: Master of Hounds, Midnight Interlude, Soldat, Pants om Fire and Archarcharch.

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

aspradling — Thu, 05 May 2011 19:42:10 GMT

Gardner: That is a very interesting point, the horse he is on...I am not crazy about...but then again, as you said, MTB was unexpected...BUT MTB did well in Canada to his credit, prior to Derby.

Householder: Yeah, Comma to the Top is to round out a superfecta if one of the horses I really like defect. He reminds me of Archarcharch in grit, but not as much tactics.

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

Householder — Thu, 05 May 2011 16:29:36 GMT

Comma to the Top certainly is a lot scrappier than the other cheap speed. He's been on 5 different surfaces and was in front 10 of 13 times at the second call with quick half mile splits from 44 and change to 47 1/5th. The only thing that got to him was some real grade 1 speed to soften him up a bit. I don't see that here. I'm not sure he has a chance to wonder home 4th with the additional 1/8th. Next stop Breeder's Cup Dirt or Turf Mile?

re: Post Draw Kentucky Derby Picks 2011

Gardner — Thu, 05 May 2011 15:41:47 GMT

I'm scared of C. Borel breaking from the three hole. The only time he didn't win the Derby in the last four years is when he broke wide (Denis of Cork in post 16). Even then he hit the board.

Please nobody say his horse isn't good enough to win. We all thought the same about MTB.