Ten Longshots to Consider

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Dr Drunkinbum — Sun, 07 Nov 2010 00:13:03 GMT

Linda Maryland

Electrolite imbalance caused by lasix. Which also means that if she would have tried any harder then she could have had a heart arrhythmia and big trouble. She needed to be scratched. She looked horrible pre-race, like a very sick child.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Linda/Maryland — Sat, 06 Nov 2010 02:32:12 GMT

Has anyone heard what was wrong with Life at Ten???

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Don from PA/DE — Sat, 06 Nov 2010 00:02:41 GMT

I told you so....Unvialed Belle!!!

Had her to win big time...and wheeled her in Classic double with entire field...Mott + CD was a big winner, seems like nobody was picking her? She made my day..Don

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

In aint easy being good! — Fri, 05 Nov 2010 14:12:06 GMT

The Haynesfield show starts in 30 hours!

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

i tell it like i see it — Fri, 05 Nov 2010 12:46:01 GMT

I consider draynay the longest of longshots to come out ahead in betting for the two days. The odds are off the chart that he could ever win any money off the total of all his bets. If they gave a consolation prize for negativity and bad taste for horseracing he's win hands down.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Draynay — Fri, 05 Nov 2010 05:30:11 GMT

Quality Road is the fastest horse in the race. He is going to do what he wants to do. He will dictate the race from start to finish. Everyone else is just along for the ride.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Pedigree Shelly — Fri, 05 Nov 2010 01:32:23 GMT

Coldfacts , I like the info you have on Pleasant Prince ! Looking at his form , I dont like the competition he's beaten ! Yes , he won the Ohio and Oklahoma Derby's in very good times and I like his pedigree ,but if you're looking for a real sleeper , what about First Dude ? He's been running with top level competition ! Maybe the Classic will be his coming out party ??? At a nice price :)

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Pedigree Shelly — Fri, 05 Nov 2010 00:56:22 GMT

I Think Quality Road is one excellent horse ! If Zenyatta cant get it done this time ,It will be Blame or QR ! I just hope that Quality Road will make it to the gate this time without being scratched :( :(

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Pedigree Ann — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 23:54:40 GMT

Want a real roughie? (That's Aussie-talk for a longshot. I've been watching the Flemington Carnival since Saturday.) Try Riley Tucker in the Sprint. He will sit behind the pace, which can be ferocious in this race, ran a nice second in the Vosburgh last out, and he is 3 for 2 at Churchill, including the Aristides last spring over Atta Boy Roy and Cash Refund. ML is 8/1 but might be overlooked.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Pedigree Ann — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 23:46:10 GMT

Vince - The NYRA's record of disrespect to dirt distance races goes back to the late 1960s.

Lawrence Realization, the New York St. Leger at 13f dirt, put onto turf.

Manhattan H at 12f dirt, put onto turf and shortened.

Jockey Club Gold Cup at 2 miles - cut to 12f, and then to 10f.

Gallant Fox H, a G2 at the Aqueduct fall meet at 13f, moved to dead-of-winter-crap-track meet.

Display H, G3, two times around Aqu at 2 1/4 miles, dropped.

This is not to mention distance races that had previously been shortened, 'reworked' or dropped, like the Saratoga Cup, New York H, et. al.

I guess I shouldn't pick on the New York tracks: there used to be a Pimlico Cup, a Monmouth Cup, a Latonia Cup (at Old Latonia), and the San Juan Capistrano on dirt - Noor beat Citation in one of those. It's just that the NYRA tracks seemed to be the ones who were keeping the best traditions of racing alive. And I'm really annoyed at what they did to the Ladies H (a championship race from the last century into the 1980s) and the fillies' Belmont, America's Oaks, the CCA Oaks. And the Woodward. And....,

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Zen's Auntie — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 22:44:21 GMT

My current ? is how is G. Gomez and how will any lingering stiffness affect his ride on Blame Saturday???

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Livesoutwest — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 19:09:48 GMT

If Haynesfield were to break through the gate again and ruin his chances, Quality Road's stock would suddenly go way up, as I think he would find himself alone on the lead soon. I doubt Espoir City is in the same class as a speed horse, though we haven't seen him on our dirt yet.

'Ain't, I only half agree with you. I think both Fly Down and Etched are at the top of their games right now. It's just that neither figures to be good enough. And Etched was destroyed on this track in the Clark last year.

Somebody's perfect record will be history after the Classic. Not only Zenyatta, but Quality Road, Blame and Musket Man have all never been off the board. Barring a dead heat, at least one of them will no longer be able to say that.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Dr Drunkinbum — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 17:36:20 GMT

The Rock

Thanks for the headsup on Hamazing Destiny. That's one of the very difficult races for me so far. I'll add him to the mix. I went with Sara Louise in the F&M sprint. I ended up with Evening Jewel as my second choice, but it was a tough one to choose. Three races are giving me trouble. Turf sprint, dirt sprint, and dirt mile. I think I'm done with the rest. Midday is the toughest chalk. I like Debussy in the Turf. What do you think of the dirt mile?

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

jayjay — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 16:50:19 GMT

Billy's Empire : No, YOU are clueless, pay attention to what you post maybe you'll make some sense.

You said and I quote you :

" There were only 8 races that weekend at CD, and three were on turf, so 4 out of the 5 Breeder's Cup races were won by the horse in the 1 position on dirt. The other race was Invasor, who was going to win from any post that day. "

The topic is QR and you're talking about the 1 hole, and you stated that Invasor won the other race " who was going to win from any post that day " .... my point was QR is NOT Invasor, he can't win from ANY post. Get it now ?? Good. Carry on.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

In aint easy being good! — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 15:36:31 GMT

Haha billys empire the horse is fat huh! lol! You guys are delusional. PP has a great post adn its not about what you did in the summer its how are you doing right now. The horses that are doing well now will do well Saturday. Haynesfield, LAL and Zenyatta are at the top of there games right now Blame, Quality Road, Fly Down Etched not so much!

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Mike Relva — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 15:24:35 GMT

JAYJAY

Agree with you. QR isn't CLOSE to Invasor,plus drawing post one he's finished,if he wasn't already. lol

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Footlick — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 15:21:03 GMT

Billy- I know the turf course is one of the best, but I also know there has been a serious lack of rain. The Europeans are more concerned with the course jarring their horses, not necessarily it's firmness. All have said it is a lovely course. Is the inside dominant for route races too? That would make me feel better about Plumania. She will like the firmer ground. Otherwise, because it is a 7 furlong course, I wasn't too keen on her breking from the 1 hole.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Billy's Empire — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 15:01:15 GMT

Pleasant Prince looked fat this morning. He is a thick horse with no shot of running down these types.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Giddyup — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 14:18:09 GMT

I will definitely be cheering for Blind Luck in the Ladies Classic but I will be keeping a close eye on the price of Persistently. She was good enough to beat Rachel Alexandra and LAT and Shug is one trainer you never want to sell short.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Tony — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 14:16:35 GMT

Murjan in the Jvnl intrigues me. There are 2 clips on youtube of his races in Peru. He broke his maiden by 14 lenghts at 7 furlongs in what I timed to be 1:28. Next, he went a mile against older horses, came up the rail in a large field and ran past the leaders at the wire. I timed that race as 1:37. This horse is by Bertrando out of a Tabascco Cat mare. I think Murjan is worth a look at a huge price. Good luck in your wagers and safe trips to all.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Livesoutwest — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 14:04:25 GMT

I loved Pleasant Prince after the Florida Derby and thought he would have a huge season. But he was a huge disappointment in the Bluegrass and the Preakness. His victories over nobody three year-olds in the Ohio & Oklahoma Derbies didn't impress me much. Can he even clunk up to complete the superfecta if all the speed collapses? I doubt it. Just don't think he's good enough. He'll make some money winning more G3 stakes next year though.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

Billy's Empire — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 14:00:28 GMT

Footlick, only three turf sprints were run in the fall, not a large enough sample size to analyze. In the spring, they ran 25 turf sprints. Also, the Matt Winn Turf course is one of the best in the country, and while there may be a slight variation from spring to fall, I doubt it would make that much of a differnce.

Jayjay, you are clueless. Where did I compare QR to Invasor. All I was stating is that the other dirt race was won from a horse in post 11, and that was Invasor. The other's were all won from the 1 post.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

the_wiz — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 13:59:30 GMT

Longshots to watch:

Delightful Mary morning lined at 8/1 in the Juvenille Fillies

Red Desire morning lined at 8/1 in the F&M Turf

Rose Catherine morning lined at 6/1 in the Turf Sprint

Thiskyhasnolimit morning lined at 10/1 in the Dirt Mile

I believe all of these will be in the mix. Don't leave them off you exotic tickets.

Good luck to all the bloggers who put their money where there mouth is except draynay. Enjoy the culmination of a career of one of the best ever.

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

The Deacon — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 07:14:05 GMT

Draynay you wouldn't hit water if you fell out of a boat. What a hater, nothing you ever say makes any sense. Certainly not a true lover of horses or a fan. A rebel rouser in the purest form.

On a nicer note, I like Forever Together at a price in the filly &mare turf, Midday will be tough though. Maybe this old mare will have one more big race in her.

Telling in the Turf has an outside shot at hitting the board as well.

Good luck to all.........

re: Ten Longshots to Consider

predict — Thu, 04 Nov 2010 06:24:53 GMT

Does Get Stormy have any chance in the mile(T) at all? I've always loved this horse, but just can't see it, even though I want to make him my longshot. Shouldn't a longshot be a horse that we think has a chance of winning? Shoot, I'm going with him anyway, Get Stormy, a true longshot for the Mile.