Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:46:24 GMT

Jayjay, you're all talk too. I don't see you posting any of your 2 dollar bets. Somehow you can't post any of your winners either. Sad.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

jayjay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:32:15 GMT

Draynay : No one really believes you lol, you're a sad sad pathetic gambler. We respond to your post to make fun of you. If you haven't noticed that, then you're as dense as a...

Keep your handicapping angles lol, keep betting big! Let's see your bet on UNCLE MO, I bet you won't have a dime on UM come derby day. Cause you go with whoever is the people's bet, you can't pick your nose without poking your eye let alone pick a horse that wins BEFORE the race.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:26:59 GMT

Mike, I don't think we have to worry about The Factor going 2 turns anymore.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:25:42 GMT

Hurts doesn't it Draynot. I posted some of MY WINNERS and you and others can't do the same can you. You're being called out and you can't do anything about it can you. Lol.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:23:19 GMT

Lol. Ummm there is no table 56 at Tampa Bay Downs and you didn't tell us your name. I have struck a cord here because I have figured out most of you are full of it. I still haven't seen anyone besides me post some of their winning tickets and I don't expect to. It's one thing to blog a bunch of BS but when it's time to show your tickets you all run and hide.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

tampa table 56 — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 19:07:42 GMT

I have come to wits end and wish this all to stop. One of your bloggers who goes by the name of "draynay" befriended me at Tampa Bay not so long ago. Once he felt comfortable with me he asked if he could take pictures of my winning tickets so he could play a joke on some of his friends. He was playing chalk every race and couldn't get a winner if he bought one so he wanted to "borrow" my tickets before I cashed them. Apparently his ruse was to post the pics of my winnings on his Facebook page and come here to brag. I'm here to tell you people to believe not a word of it. I have witnessed his inept ability to pick a winner day after day. He's all smoke and mirrors. Run from his picks!!

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Ted from LA — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 18:41:37 GMT

Single in LA, Ted from LA is old fashioned. I'll let you buy me a drink win or lose.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Mike Relva — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 18:31:34 GMT

DRAYNOT

So true.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Single in LA — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 15:00:32 GMT

Ted,

Thanks for the tip on Decisive Moment. If I win big, I'll buy you a drink. Thanks, bro!

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

draynot — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 13:08:49 GMT

I will continue to post some of my winners every Saturday.

draynay 18 Apr 2011 11:11 PM

draynay,

Posting pics of someone elses winning tickets is pathetic.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Slew — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 12:16:48 GMT

In respect to some one noting Pletcher wasn't going to put a filly in the Derby...didn't he have Devil May Care, a filly, in last year's Derby???

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Mike Relva — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 04:41:36 GMT

DRAYNAY

The Factor is a long way from being out of the mix,just wait.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Paula Higgins — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:35:39 GMT

Joe Alva, good post and a funny one too. Well, my top two picks are Dialed In and Mucho Macho Man with the caveat that Uncle Mo gets back in there too if he gets over his stomach problem and trains well. That's a big "if." Uncle Mo is too talented to throw out completely based on a 3rd place finish when he was sick. I think he is the most talented of the bunch and I think the distance in the Derby should not be a problem for him. But all of his other issues may make the Derby a bridge too far. I hope I am wrong for Mike Repole's sake. If anyone deserves a Derby win, he does.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:16:58 GMT

John, maybe you missed some of Uncle Mo's brilliant performances. The Factor was exposed as soon as he raced against top competition. The Factor was out of it as soon as the race started he has been measured and served. Next.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

jayjay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:12:09 GMT

" When you bet as much as I do you have to know what you are doing. "

Please continue the way you've been betting and "knowing" what you know. We all welcome your money in the pool. So the preps are done, now you can tell us how much WIN money you're putting on Uncle Mo. Don't be changing your story now, he's 10 lengths better than any 3 yr old this year, remember? He's so far above the rest that he's the next triple crown winner. I say anything less than $1,000 WIN bet on Uncle Mo from you, means you are all BS and that you probably won't even play him. Let's us see that BIG WIN TICKET after the race. I'd also be surprise if you even box one exacta considering there's no other horse that even comes close to the great Uncle Mo. SO let's also see your exotics bets with UM singled on top.

Looking forward to your reply...

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:11:56 GMT

Jayjay, I will count you as one of those that doesn't know how to work his camera phone AND can't pick a winner. I will continue to post some of my winners every Saturday.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

jayjay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 03:01:08 GMT

Karen : Thanks for that! I missed that one and you're right about that. I remembered cheering for Street Sense and not liking Hard Spun at all as I thought he was just a speedball but boy did he prove me wrong.

Rana : You're confusing me now, your last post pretty much says you've completely jumped off the UM bandwagon. Yet in your previous one, you said if UM do this, and do that and returns to this and that, he'll be my number 1. Which is it ?

As in my previous post, the earnings list seems to be set and probably will be the derby lineup. MoH is in, the only thing that can change things (and drastically) is if UM and TF doesn't make it because of their issues. How else do you think Shackleford will make it ? Who do you think will withdraw from the race ?

It would be more of an impact if TF doesn't run because he would be the one that will set things up. They are not going to hold him back in the Derby, it'll be a blazing "come and catch me if you can." The key is whether you believe he can get the distance or not. I hope he makes it, I will try and beat him.

LOL. You don't have to tell me about Dialed In, I was on his wagon way before you are. Even before his Holy Bull, I was already watching Zito's horses. When Draynay was saying he couldn't win an allowance race, I was thinking this fool doesn't know anything about horse racing. That allowance race was the key race for him that set him up for that big run in the Florida Derby. People questioned his time, and found excuses to jump off his bandwagon (against because of the hype about slow times), I made him my top choice at the time together with Jaycito.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Mike Relva — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 01:19:45 GMT

DANNY FROM UK

Yeah,but Frankel isn't here,is he?

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

jayjay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 01:11:57 GMT

I think the current earnings list might just be the actual field for the Derby. Master of Hounds' connections just announced he's in. I don't see anyone else from 21 to 30 that is running in the lexington except Jaycito and he's currently # 20. The only one I'm not sure of is JP's Gusto and The Factor - JP may have been toasted in the AD but haven't heard anything about him not running. I'm not sure how serious TF's "displacing the palate" is. It's the only way Santiva will get in the Derby.

Draynay : How about YOU actually post your picks before the race instead of saying you take pictures of winning tickets. For all we know (and the probability is close to 99%), those are people around that keeps picking the winners and you beg to take pictures of their tickets. Your record online as far as picking winners doesn't exactly match what you say after the race.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Karen in Texas — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:56:19 GMT

jayjay----2007 gave us Curlin, Street Sense, Hardspun, Any Given Saturday, and Rags to Riches as 3 year olds. They were all fairly accomplished.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Bluegrasscat — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:50:33 GMT

TRACKLACK

thats sounds like an awesome trip take some pics of BLUEGRASS CAT!!!HOPE YOU GET TO MEET e WALDEN OR MR TROUT Hey Darley (who owns PR) has a farm close by but I dont think you can tour it PANTY RAID foaled a colt by STREET CRY that would be awesome to see----- Also GLENCREST FARM is near by THE FILLY -DEVIL MAY CARE may still be on the farm man have a great time and post any in side info you may get down at CD man Id love to go to CD but here I am in MD and I have'nt even done the PREAK might this year if i hit the DERBY--I did get invited to BELMONT the year BBrown went could not make it Mother in laws 75 bday hey FAM first !!HAVE A GREAT TIME

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

John — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:23:34 GMT

I read these blogs and can't believe the mentality of some. How does one horse (Uncle Mo) move up so quickly on people's lists when another horse (The Factor) displaces his palate, has trouble breathing, and hence, loses the race.

Do I have to remind you that Uncle Mo not only lost to an ungraded stakes winner but also finished behind a horse that had won only a maiden race in eight tries.

And for some, hanging your hopes on a horse's (again Uncle Mo) workouts only is insane.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

Ranagulzion — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:22:49 GMT

jay jay,

When it comes to races like the Kentucky Derby, I've gotta make my picks with a certain degree of confidence. I jumped off Mo's wagon because there are too many questions surrounding his readiness for the Derby. In the case of Dialed In my confidence grows the more I think about his talent, scope for improvement, pedigree and connections. This colt has multiple inbreeding to the big heart Xfactor carrier Princequillo via his sire's and dam's family (AP Indy, Storm Cat and Daring Bidder). It may not be a coincidence that his large upperbody is built similar to Secretariat's, therefore expect him to be motoring like an express train ...or better yet, zipping like a low-flying rocket-propelled missile. Believe me jay jay, none will be finishing faster than Dialed In. Even if Uncle Mo were to return to his best form, I think that Dialed In will truly test his mettle at this stage going ten furlongs.

Shackleford is to be respected because of his talent and pedigree. He is a son of Forestry, a stallion that occassionally throws some very classy colts (remember Discreet Cat and Forest Danger). His broodmare sire is none other than Unbridled (Derby winner and Derby-winner-producing influence as in Grindstone and Mine That Bird). Shackleford is going to be a pace factor in the Derby that will hang around doggedly for a share of the minor placing. I do believe that he will make the field. More anon.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

draynay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:20:45 GMT

jayjay, unlike you I actually go to the races and bet real money. When you bet as much as I do you have to know what you are doing. All races are not equal and some of the worst races to bet are the Derby preps. Was I cheering for Elite Alex? Yes. Who doesn't want to see Borel in the Derby? When I hit my 10 dollar Pick 3 at Keeneland Saturday I did it on races where I felt I had a handicapping advantage. Picking your races is as important as picking your horses. I have spoken.

re: Will The Factor be our Derby Favorite?

jayjay — Tue, 19 Apr 2011 00:00:04 GMT

trackjack : That sounds like a dream trip! Have a great time! Yeah, I have 3 stables (DaDaddy1,2 and 3) My 2 stable is the one that's currently in the running. I just added MMM and Nehro to it, I don't stand a chance at winning now but I'm just trying to make the top 50.