Using TrueNicks to Predict Racetrack Success

re: Using TrueNicks to Predict Racetrack Success

Tony Braddock — Tue, 24 Mar 2009 18:52:40 GMT

Guys

Seems like a good study, looking forward to the results,

and am interested if the results will be apportioned, I mean, if you have 848 sample # of foals with 248 (28%) rated A, then withen that sample A, the potential result could be that you have to rate some top, some mid and some bottom of the A level and then some will not even remain in the A level. The question then will be what facts separate each group,and why etc or am I misunderstanding this. Seems like a good first step I think you may have eluded to this above. Once again my first impresson/ understanding of the study.

re: Using TrueNicks to Predict Racetrack Success

AnneM — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 20:08:47 GMT

Just curious as to why no West Coast stallion was chosen - It seems to me that it is almost always Kentucky or Florida based Stallions are used. I for one, would be interested in seeing how 2 and 3 years from Unusual Heat do - He seems to be producing offspring that are winning everywhere.

Byron's Reply: Anne. You are right, Unusual Heat is an outstanding stallion. One of the top 10 in North America in my opinion. I didn't think of him when I proposed the study a while ago, but then I didn't include other great stallions like A.P Indy and Distorted Humor either. What I was trying to get was stallions with a lot of two-year-olds ready to run this year and the stallions I selected have a lot of representatives so hopefully we should get some interesting results. Thanks for the comment.

re: Using TrueNicks to Predict Racetrack Success

Jason Hall — Sat, 07 Mar 2009 18:00:57 GMT

Great study guys! Looking forward to following the results as they come in...