Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Mike Relva — Fri, 03 May 2013 21:32:40 GMT

Beholder for the win today.

Tomorrow, Orb-if not, Java's War.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Fri, 03 May 2013 01:43:05 GMT

Rusty -

Thank you for the compliments - though my first three plus months here were not personal highlights in terms of fitting in and checking y ego at the door. Abrasive may be the kindest adjective I can think of to describe. Hopefully that is no longer the case.

re: QtZ -

Yes, your points regarding Lifes Magic were spot on. I guess my point is that not all fast split races favor closers and not all Closer favoring races are as obvious as the one discussed.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

JayJay — Fri, 03 May 2013 00:02:38 GMT

Friday R10 : I'm going with 3 Channel Isle

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 22:23:34 GMT

Speak of the devil. Pete is back with a thread.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Little Bill — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:54:11 GMT

Victim. I knew that.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:43:03 GMT

Pete Denk, by the way, was a very good host as regards picks, memory of races, etc. -- when he was keeping up the blog.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:41:29 GMT

Plod Boy Phil,

Re: that FG maiden race --

That's just another way of saying what I said.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:33:04 GMT

Plod Boy Phil,

They should give you a blog here; it obviously doesn't require a lot of work on top of your day job.

1. You're already the top commenter and you write well and you have a (mostly) diplomatic disposition.

2. You have an encyclopedic memory of races, at least any race I've ever mentioned.

3. You're systematic and professional.

4. Don't know if the little contests were Keelerman's idea or yours, but they're a good one.

5. From the limited sample I've seen (not yesterday, though), you make good picks (not that not making good picks has ever stopped any "experts").

No kidding. They should have someone here who has the interest in posting and maintaining regular new live threads for the bloodhorse community of commenters.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Little Bill — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:25:33 GMT

Turallure appeared to be a victom of pace. Gotta love Rahystrada, 9yro still kickin. that was a quality field I've seen Gr3s that were less.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

KY VET — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:18:54 GMT

ok...just got home...need to pick this cd 10th for the contest....#12 rockefeller......

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

KY VET — Thu, 02 May 2013 21:05:58 GMT

hol race 3 #2 dynamize

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 02 May 2013 20:15:54 GMT

Just bustin' Fugue, as you know. One of my favorite exclaims from the masses back when I did go to the track was, "damn, that's my number".

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 02 May 2013 20:13:00 GMT

The important thing is LR's BL12 relative to the winner, 9.5 to ~32, and of course the fact that the race was an Extreme for Closers - few Flows are easier to for those far back.

Good luck.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Little Bill — Thu, 02 May 2013 20:01:09 GMT

I like to save ground. No, it's just coincidence. There's plenty of angles to like on this one.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 19:59:22 GMT

Plod Boy Phil,

I had a feeling it was one of your upgrades because of the pace dynamics and the time of the first two calls (particularly compared to Abstractions maiden win at FG). I'm playing this angle because I didn't see obvious picks among the second-time starters.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 02 May 2013 19:34:44 GMT

Rusty -

No problem.

Life's Reward gets a 'Quick to Zip' upgrade from us for the FG race.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 02 May 2013 19:16:42 GMT

Sorry to mix comments into your Thursday contest.

I'm considering singling a horse called Life's Reward in the 13th race at CD Saturday. Sat off a fast pace first time on dirt, beaten narrowly by the deep closing favorite, got a high fig.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 02 May 2013 18:32:01 GMT

Got it Keelerman - just posted the days picks before seeing this.

Good luck

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 02 May 2013 18:30:44 GMT

Derby Week Contest- Thursday Picks

Fugue - R9, #1 (again...system?)

VET - R4, #3...SCRATCH, need a pick

1:08 - R6, #2

Phil - R10, #10

JayJay - R4, #4

Mary - R8, #9

Keelerman - No pick yet...??

Anyone else? It's just for Fun.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

-Keelerman — Thu, 02 May 2013 18:25:44 GMT

My pick for Thursday is #5 Golden Ron in the 8th race. Good luck, everyone!

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Little Bill — Thu, 02 May 2013 18:25:34 GMT

It seems Normandy Invasion decided he needed a blow out this morning. That's a smart horse, making his own training calls.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Mike Relva — Thu, 02 May 2013 17:49:55 GMT

Ranagulzion

Ok,I stand corrected, also had Union Rags. Guess it just seems like you select every Pletcher horse. I'm not the only one that has it in for some trainers,if memory serves correctly a former writer,(if you can call him that) lol NEVER gave a certain Calif trainer a break. Am I lying?

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Ranagulzion — Thu, 02 May 2013 17:47:52 GMT

KY VET 01 May 2013 11:34 PM

Positively yes I like horse that run good ...what kind of horses do you like bro? If you've been acquainted with my views over the years you'd know that I enjoy spotting the special ones as early as possible ...usually as early 2YOs. In this regard I was impressed with Overanalyze fairly early, after tha smart 2012 Saratoga special winner, Spurious Precision (my first choice) broke down and was euthanized. Verrazano got me in his second start and so far he's been delivering the goods. His pedigree is very good for the Derby distance so I'm not getting off him ...get it now?

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Ranagulzion — Thu, 02 May 2013 17:32:52 GMT

Mike Relva 02 May 2013 1:09 AM

You're making mischieve on here by saying that I pick Pletcher's horses every year. Last year my firm Derby selection was Union Rags trained by Michael Matz and the year before that it was Dialed In trained by Nick Zito, in 2009 Friesan Fire trained by Larry Jones (after Quality Road was scratched). In 2008 my firm Derby choice was Big Brown trained by Rick Dutrow. I picked Pletcher's filly Devil May Care in 2009 after the scratching of Eskendereya (one out of the last five).

I tell you again, your dislike for certain trainers colours your judgment badly and makes me not take your opinions very seriously.

re: Handicapping the Blue Grass Stakes (G1)

Mary Zinke — Thu, 02 May 2013 17:32:06 GMT

I sent my daughter all of you guys' picks. She's in Louisville today and for the Oaks and Derby.