TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 17:33:22 GMT

Plod Boy Phil,

Yes, all is well, thanks. Bought a house (not with gambling winnings, I don't need to tell you). It puts things in perspective. The shackles also make it hard to punch up tickets...

Enjoy the remainder of the holidays and have a Happy New Year.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 17:26:37 GMT

Turf filly, #3, is scratched from SA r6, so I'd use the 7.

I like 4 Luckarack down the hill, r5.

Hi Phil. Hope you had a nice holiday. My little fat boyfriend got a pony. Easy keeper, for his playroom.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 16:50:20 GMT

Thank you Rusty - hope all is well.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 16:34:40 GMT

Mary -

Merry Wednesday a day late.

Been waiting for a SA Blog myself - will post an opinion or two a bit later.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Rusty Weisner — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 16:31:48 GMT

Plod Boy Phil,

Since no one else noticed, I'll congratulate you on some good picks to close out the year, the tri in particular.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 15:55:55 GMT

Sir Beaufort: Chalky No Jet Lag.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 15:53:54 GMT

No Santa Anita Opening Day blog?

Okay, These are a combination of Mary Vs. The Brain, with Big Guy confidence selections(I have never met The Brain, but he is almost always right--sometimes irritatingly so!):

SA r6: 1 Sweet Lulu!, 6, 4(Brain does not like EP here),3.

SAr8: 5 Zeewat(Brain does not like him here),8,12,2.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Coldfacts — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 15:38:14 GMT

A pal of mine brought to my attention to a colt by the name Classic Giacnroll. When I initially heard the name I thought he was referring to a Standard Bred horse. I could not find any information on the colt as I was searching with the incorrect spelling of its name. When the correct spelling was determined I uncovered that the colt had a résumé reflecting (5 starts 2-1-1). His worst finish was 4th recorded in his 5 1/2F debut.

Why highlight an unknown colt with a résumé reflecting victories in a maiden/allowance race achieved at low level tracks? Well, I love a lot of the information I have uncovered.

Month Of Birth: May – I just love May foals. When they show ability early they are dangerous. The majority of Belmont winners in the last 10 years are May foals including Palace Malice.

Sire: Giacomo - Although Derby winners have dismal records a classic winning sires, I think Giacome is worth a gamble. He has no Mr. Prospector and Northern Dancer in his 1st five generation. He therefore should make an interesting cross with Northern Dancer line mares.

Dam Sire: Storm Bird – Needs no introduction as he is from the most successful broodmare line in TC history. He is also the dam sire of Derby winner Thunder Gulch and Belmont winner Birdstone.

Inbreeding: There is no inbreeding in the 1st five generation. This is surprising as most thoroughbred pedigrees’ feature at least one inbreeding. Interestingly, Giacomo had no inbreeding in his 1st five generations. Greats such as Secretariat, Curlin and Invasor had no inbreeding in their 1st five generations.

The above information suits the profile I like for a Derby and might be laughable to many. The most important bid of information is the dam sire. Broodmares sired by the sons of Northern Dancer are amongst the best suited for producing classic winners.

Classic Giacnroll is likely to make his next start in the Jerome. He will be 2nd time Lasix and the race is expected to be a very competitive. He will no doubt leave the gates at attractive odds. I think he is worth a small wager that is likely to provide a lucrative return.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Brontexx — Thu, 26 Dec 2013 00:09:41 GMT

To continue on Monopolize he cost Repole 500,000,and imo he is an owner that likes an immediate return on his investment when possible,and after breaking his maiden in his second race and with Pletcher training him its very possible.

He had the screws tightened in the maiden race because after this one a Stakes race is next.If you dont know most of the trainers dont tighten the screws on their maidens early in their career,Pletcher is one that does.

BTW he usually gets colts that run on the front and put up high speed figures breaking their maidens,this one dosent fit that pattern but with these connections depending on who is in the stakes race he will run in, he will be single digit odds and maybe even the first or second betting choice.

Another reason not to run him in a stakes race next would be how he came out of this race health wise.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Brontexx — Wed, 25 Dec 2013 18:59:40 GMT

My point on Monopolize was that he was a stakes starter running in a maiden race because of his connections and his previous race.I won the bet on him that day,but I am not implying anything about his future other than it would surprise me if he didnt try stakes company in his next race.

I stated that his speed figure shouldnt be that high because he was under the whip to pass horses and seemed laid back like another Bernardini colt that these connections had Stay Thirsty.

Any bloggers that interpreted anything else on my previous posts in regards to this colt are wrong.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Wed, 25 Dec 2013 18:20:13 GMT

re: Monoploize

His MSW win on Saturday was achieved on a race track that was importantly Biased to Speed, thus a 'Neutral or Better Win'. Very inspiring two race foundation.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Coldfacts — Wed, 25 Dec 2013 02:36:37 GMT

Monopolize-

I am a fan of Bernardini but the above colt is not the best representation He took forever and day to pass that sustain the advantage over a 32-1 longshot.

Mr. Repole had his glory days with Uncle Mo and those days will not return anytime soon.

The 2013 Derby winner Orb was produced from a mare sired by a Derby winner. That recurrence took 47 years and is unlikely to recur in in successive years. He will struggle to be a stakes horse but it would be a stretch for him to be Derby winner.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Sun, 22 Dec 2013 13:48:43 GMT

Hollywood Closing Day - Race 3

4 Tanquerray (3-1) impressed last out with a 'vs Plod Win' when running through a Speed favoring Flow from the back of the pack.

Farewell Lakes and Flowers.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Pik4Joel — Sun, 22 Dec 2013 04:36:40 GMT

Don't usually post on this column, but just got to the 11th at Hollywood for tomorrow...this is a real shame - just more negative pr...and I know the prospective absorbtion calendar for 2014 is unsustainable...just a shame

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Sun, 22 Dec 2013 00:52:39 GMT

Okay, my GP picks were way off. I'll take a crack at BHP r10. 7,2,9,5.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Brontexx — Sat, 21 Dec 2013 19:35:31 GMT

Monopolize just won his maiden at Aqueduct in the 4th, and with these connections Repole,Pletcher, I think this is a stakes colt.He is kind of laid back like another Bernardini they had (Stay Thirsty).He was under the whip to pass in the stretch and his speed figure shouldnt be that high.The Jerome is too soon and the Whithers is in early February so if they keep him in NY the timing might be the only thing keeping him from moving up to stakes company.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Brontexx — Sat, 21 Dec 2013 19:34:20 GMT

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Sat, 21 Dec 2013 17:16:03 GMT

Two at Hollywood:

Race 5, 8 Judge Carr (6-1) has seen wrong side trips in two Extremes in the last three. Will try the turf for a second time as a sharper, more developed runner. Pace scenario may favor an off the pace trip.

Race 9, 5 Brokered (4-1) has been on the wrong side of two straight modest speed Flows, including his return off an 8 month lay-off. Work tab in the last 10 days inspires, as does the presence of favorite turf influence Eddington.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 23:51:10 GMT

Thank you Mary -

Exacta box or super the more productive play.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 23:44:08 GMT

BHP r7 o.o.f. 7,9,3,8. Congrats, Phil. I picked the wrong broodmares in that race.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 20:38:43 GMT

Hollywood Friday Race 7

7 Oscillator (7/2) and 9 J and S Express (9/2) both exit chasing runs behind the w-w winner of an Extreme for Speed. Both will appreciate a closers Flow, which is possible considering the amount of speed that is in the gate.

Tri boxes: 7, 9 with 2, 3, 8, 10 ($24).

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 19:19:34 GMT

Clarification to above:

Saturday, Aqueduct, R4, #1 Monopolize (2-1)

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Plod Boy Phil — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 19:16:06 GMT

A bit off topic, Monopoly, a second time starter in the 4th at Aqueduct on Saturday, was spectacular in defeat when debuting at 7f while widest throughout and against the Flow of an Extreme for Speed. Will move up in the polls after two turn try tomorrow.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

LovedMyAlydar — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 18:32:21 GMT

Yeah that is something about this country. We don't appreciate our history. Tear it down and put up zero lot line subs. Yippee! Too many people live in a virtual world anymore as the real one slowly fades away. What a shame indeed.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Plays: The Hollywood Park Swan Song

Mary Zinke — Fri, 20 Dec 2013 17:48:13 GMT

Dania beach: 6,5,3,2. Why: 6Faced faster pace(6 and 5 in graded stakes), 5speed, 3Brown that has been running well, even though only 1 race lately, 2Euro Brown with a long layoff, but could maybe beat all of these.

I'm very sad about my friend and all of the Barn 70 South sweeties having to leave their happy, peaceful home at Hollywood Park. If you view the BHP races on calracing, they may play "Happy Trails" after the final race, as they have done after each season closes at that track. Missing that lump in the throat event due to work. I had Jessie take photos of the nearby houses more of which will eventually replace the beautiful Hollywood Park grounds. What a shame.