re: TimeformUS Weekend Stakes Plays - The Woodward and Del Mar Debutante

TnT — Sat, 30 Aug 2014 19:25:00 GMT

Boom place on optimizer !!!, and exacta box with WD and FI

English Channel

re: TimeformUS Weekend Stakes Plays - The Woodward and Del Mar Debutante

Coldfacts — Sat, 30 Aug 2014 17:27:14 GMT

Romansh: This has to be one of the most unreliable horse that rotates between G2 and G1 races. Every time he is tipped to move forwards he moves backward. He left the gates a 7-1 in the Donn and finished 11th and last beaten 35L. His trainer was puzzled. He won his next start which was the Excelsior G3 over 9F. A good 3rd in the G1 Met Mile behind Palace Malice saw him leaving the gates as the favorite in the Suburban where he was prominent before fading to 5th beaten 6L. Off the horrible performance he left the gates at 18-1 in the 9F Whitney and finished 7th beaten 13L.

In 2013 Romansh finished 5th in the Travers beaten 4L by Romansh and WCT. A year later Moreno goes gate to wire in the 9F Whitney, WTC finished and Romansh finishes 7th beaten 13L. Has Romansh regressed or does he need a trainer change? He is inconsistent and his trainer doesn’t seem to know the reason for same.

Does he deserve another chance in the Woodward? If pattern can be relied on for guidance, then it is likely he will run an improved race. He was beaten 4L & 11L in the Travers and P A Derby and in his next start he won the Discovery Handicap by 9L. He was beaten 6L & 13L in the Suburban and the Whitney and has never run 3 bad races. His trainer won 2 races on Friday including a stakes and the stable is on a high. I would give him another chance to be competitive and a long shot chance to win.

Last Gunfighter: At 46-1 in the 2013 Breeder Cup Classic he occupied last position for 90% of the race before closing steadily to finish 5th beaten 4 3/4L. He was given 6 months off after his Hawthorn Gold Cup victory and returned a winner in Mountain view at Penn National. His last two races resulted in 9th & 5th place finishes in the Suburban and Whitney beaten a combined 19 3/4L. Those performances certainly do not reflect the ability of this 5YO. I respect his trainer and if all was not well with this horse he would not have been entered.

Can he reproduce his 2013 BCC and Suburban performances or is he over matched? It should be noted that Place Malice, Game On Dude and Moreno finished behind in the 2013 BCC. All three have recorded victories in graded race in 2014.

There is nothing to suggest this horse will turn its form around. However, in a race where Moreno will not be allowed to dictate proceeding upfront, the race could set up nicely for Last Gunfighter. He has never run 3 bad races in row. He is due to run a big race and the Woodward is a tough spot to do same but so was the BCC.

He is my selection to upset.

re: TimeformUS Weekend Stakes Plays - The Woodward and Del Mar Debutante

Kipster — Sat, 30 Aug 2014 05:28:55 GMT

I'm taking Sunset Glow......seems a bit or bet more logical despite there is nothing logical about this game.