2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Weekend — Mon, 23 May 2011 13:07:56 GMT

well, i was right about all of the tosses, I just had the wrong speed on top, and after looking at shack in the post parade and how hot and washy he was, I still would not of bet on him. he ran a gutsy race and held on.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Coldfacts — Sat, 21 May 2011 11:49:03 GMT

EX KEY: $2

Dance City

with

Mr Commons

Astrology

Shackleford

Isn't He Perfect

Dialed In

Animal Kingdom

TRI KEY: $1

Dance City

with

Mr Commons

Astrology

Shackleford

Isn't He Perfect

Dialed In

Animal Kingdom

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Pedigree Ann — Fri, 20 May 2011 22:43:12 GMT

"Flashpoint wire to wire. Shack does not want to take him on early and if he does FP will sit nicely right on his back. Lightly raced and ready to roll. Grandsire is Boundary who sired Big Brown. "

Grandsire (damside) is Two Punch, sire of Smoke Glacken, Punch Line, K. O. Punch, et. al., and Two Punch Lil, a SW sprinting mare who couldn't last out a mile. You are expecting the offspring of two sprinters to run better than either of them did at longer distance. It can happen, but it isn't as likely as the other outcome (the apple falling not far from the tree).

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

joeywoge — Fri, 20 May 2011 18:29:03 GMT

Flashpoint wire to wire. Shack does not want to take him on early and if he does FP will sit nicely right on his back. Lightly raced and ready to roll. Grandsire is Boundary who sired Big Brown. AK, MMM and Astrology round out the tri and the super. Good luck!!!

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

yeager055 — Fri, 20 May 2011 16:54:45 GMT

First a comment to KY VET. no need to say the u all statement,cocky will get u know where darlin. you are not the only one who wins money.I used to break race horse. and for ur info we HVE NOT seen Macho Mans best race yet,are u forgetting he is still young! Dont take a rocket scientist to see that.Yea u right Dialed In didnt handle the dirt in his face so yes he has a great chance of pulling it off, as does most of the field.. so i'm gonna speak for those who don't want to say this... stop being so rude..he who thinks he knows everything really knows nothing in the end...No disrespect but the horses are more important than your money...I hope Macho wins just to prove you wrong...luv ya

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Johnny — Fri, 20 May 2011 15:08:59 GMT

Truth is the Jury is still out on all these horses.

I say this because there is a horse for the Course in this race.

Concealed Identity 2 for 2 over the track out of Smarty Jones..

This horse will be getting some $$ from me across the board and will be in my exotic tixs..

Good Luck..

My main win bet is Dialed In though..

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

TC — Fri, 20 May 2011 14:59:46 GMT

@PomDeTerre

I didn't write a whole lot about who I was going to bet. I usually don't divulge that information as everyone will make their own betting decisions, regardless of what I would say on the matter. Instead, I chose to "Predict the Order of Finish", like the title says.

@KY VET

You make a good point. I'm not sure what you're counting as "fired" though. Dialed In must have fired in the Florida Derby. Right? Sway Away however had never had that breakthrough performance, despite most of us thinking he has the talent to win at this level. He needed his last race and hopefully he was putting in some work while awaiting the Preakness. Norman Asbjornson also fits in this category, he is on the cusp and it is just a matter of time. Solid point, but it's up to debate and you are also assuming every horse bounces every time, which in and of itself is flawed. The Preakness usually holds to form. The best horse has won in Baltimore for the last 10 years in a row. Animal Kingdom just might be the best horse in here.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Weekend — Fri, 20 May 2011 14:48:01 GMT

Dance City in the Arkansas Derby was fractious in the gate, pressed the pace, was past by Sway Away, and then passed him back for third. The Fifth place horse in that race, Alternation, came back to win the Peter Pan. ( I had him huge)Nehro then finished second in the Derby, so all signs point to Dance City being the real deal. Discount him if you want, but he will be a factor.

Astrology, 2nd in his last race, was pinned on the rail in the Jerome, and was flying faster than any horse in that race, a good second. This is his third start off a layoff and from being sick, and is with a trainer that knows how to win the Preakness.

Flashpoint has shown great speed, and has been training fantastic. Not sure if he is going upfront or not, but he is another fresh horse that could be a factor.

Shackleford, he may well go the lead, but it will not be an easy one, so he will tire and fade.

Mr Commons has no shot, being turf pedigree and 14 hole.

King Kongie has not shot being a turf horse also. This is not like CD track.

Throw out Midnight Interlude. He is this years flying private. Almost last in the Derby, then comes back to run a lackluster 11th in the Preakness. Calling it now.

Concealed Identiity, really? Norman Absorjan, toss.

So this leaves us with Animal Kingdom, MMM, and Dialed In?

I am still questioning if Dialed In will be able to get to the wire first with all of the horses that will get a jump on him. If Flashpoint and Shack tire out, he still has to go by Animal Kingdom, MMM, and Dance City. I do not see it happening, so I will play against. MMM will be grinding at the end, and I love how he rebroke in the final furlong to get past Shack and almost catch Nehro. He is a nice colt.

AK is the Derby winner, and is the real dea. I had 50 to win on him in the Derby, and the tri, so I can't give up on him now. If he gets a clean trip, he could be a force.

So my picks are

1. Dance City

2. Animal Kingdom

3. Astrology

4. Mucho Macho Man

Box them up, and if you want to do a .50 6 horse box (60$) throw in Flashpoint and Dialed In. The only horse that will have a shot of beating that tri is Sway Away.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

MikeM — Fri, 20 May 2011 14:20:12 GMT

AK,MMM,DI is my triple box. Not very original but the others have alot to prove and it appears that The top three have come out of the KD in good shape. I will play a couple of bomb combos but all with AK.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Gardner — Fri, 20 May 2011 13:38:45 GMT

FWIW Dance City looks fantastic physically. If he still looks that good Saturday (and has double digit odds) I'll be putting a WPS bet on him.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Criminal Type — Fri, 20 May 2011 13:35:44 GMT

Giddyup, I will be boxing that trifacta. Im not brave enough to play it straight. LOL. I cant help but be impressed by Dance City. WOW, he is a spectacular looking racehorse. I'll have a couple on him tomorrow as well.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Fran Loszynski — Fri, 20 May 2011 12:47:31 GMT

SWAY AWAY his turn and kick are going to be awesome AND HE HAS G. Gomez! (Sway Away has Afleet Alex and Seattle Slew for family ties!)Something has to give there. Plus if you watch Sway Away really close he likes to run.

MMM

DIALED IN

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

GoldenBroom — Fri, 20 May 2011 12:21:34 GMT

The Animal! He's now what, 5 races, 3 wins and 2 seconds? Looking for our 2011 "stars" to come out and see who our consistent runners are. MMM, AK and Dialed In? Anyone else care to step up? Not that mess we had last year with all three races having 3 different top 3 finishers. blech.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Ranagulzion — Thu, 19 May 2011 22:40:01 GMT

1) Dialed In

2) Flashpoint

3) Mucho Macho Man

4) Animal Kingdom

5) Shackleford

The only other capable of an upset is Astrology IMO

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

KY VET — Thu, 19 May 2011 22:24:23 GMT

ANIMAL KINGDOM WILL BE 7/5 ..OF COURSE YOU ALL LIKE HIM...HE RAN THE BEST RACE OF HIS LIFE! NEXT, YOU ALL LOVE MUCHO....HE RAN THE BEST RACE OF HIS LIFE!.....YOU ALL HAVE FIGURED THIS GAME OUT...JUST BET THE HORSES THAT RAN THE BEST RACE OF THEIR LIFE....GOOD HANDICAPPING!! OOHHH WAIT....YOU ALL LOST ON THOSE KINDA HORSES ALL YEAR LONG HUH?...SO EVEN IF YOU WIN THIS RACE, YOURE STILL WAYYYYY BEHIND!!!! UNLIKE YOU, I UNDERSTAND THIS GAME. I MAKE MORE MONEY AT THIS GAME THAN ANYONE KNOWS....UNLESS COLDFACTS TELLS YOU THE TRUTH ABOUT HOW MANY TIMES I WAS RIGHT ON THE OLD MSN BLOG 3 YRS AGO...(WHICH HE WON'T) HES A WACK JOB......ANIMAL KINGDOM WINS IF HE DOESNT GO OFF FORM...WHAT CAUSES A HORSE TO GO OFF FORM? HMMM I WONDER......MMM RAN GOOD...MAYBE RUN 1 MORE GOOD.....HERES A CLUE TO MY CHOICE.....WHOS THE BEST HORSE IN THE RACE, THAT HASNT FIRED YET?.....HMMMM I WONDER.............DIALED IN WIN AND PLACE......ITS NOT ROCKET SCIENCE....

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Bunny Hinzman — Thu, 19 May 2011 20:04:03 GMT

Obviously, Animal Kingdom is worthy of the favoritism he is receiving at odds of 2-1. He gave nothing short of an excellent performance in the Derby, which he won by nearly three lengths in a quick time of 2:02.04. Graham Motion’s decision to ship him to Pimlico on the morning of the Preakness Stakes is a smart move. Being just a stone’s throw away from the Maryland racetrack, this chestnut colt will likely be more rested than the opposing horses that competed in the Derby, not having the luxury of relaxing at the more tranquil atmosphere of a training center. I also agree with the decision to keep Kentucky Derby jockey, John Velazquez, in the saddle.

Aside from the subject, I am a 14 year old horseracing enthusiast, and I write a blog about everything thoroughbred horseracing. I think you will enjoy reading. Find me at:

bitsnbunny.blogspot.com/.../bunnys-preakness-picks.html

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

lyricsdav — Thu, 19 May 2011 18:39:57 GMT

This race will be brilliant,real speed for the first quarter by no other Shackleford closed tied by Dance City and Flashpoint.Like the kentucky Dialed in will be dead last.Animal kingdom like the real King will be inthe thick of things just waiting for the moment to Give marching orders to his troop.At the end the King will be on his Throne with Isn't He Perfect standing by as the perfect chief, withShackleford his Deputy for the real courage he shown in marshaling his troop in battle with Mucho Macho Man as Macho as he is ruling over the others.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Giddyup — Thu, 19 May 2011 17:09:32 GMT

I have the same trifecta as Criminal Type but in reverse order. Sway Away gets a chance to show he should have been in the Derby when Uncle Mo got scratched and I like him as a longshot play too.

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

mario — Thu, 19 May 2011 16:23:26 GMT

slow k derby.so speed horse will win,and that's what i like....good luck!

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

surendra — Thu, 19 May 2011 16:08:22 GMT

To finish 3rd in the Kentucky Derby when just 2.88 years old was indeed a creditable performance. On that showing I rate Mucho Macho Man`s chances pretty high.I think I`ll play MMM for win despite knowing that a sentimental favourite is seldom a value bet.Rajiv should exercise good judgement in timing his final effort.Shackleford and Dialed in should follow him

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

ManO'WarMike — Thu, 19 May 2011 16:06:46 GMT

$50 Exacta Part Wheel,Tripe Crown winner (11)ANIMAL KINGDOM over (5)SHACKLEFORD,(8)MUCHO MACHO MAN, (10)DIALED IN.

No one will out finish the ANIMAL, have you seen that horses strides when he gets to rolling on the outside, reminds me of another big red horse...came home with a rush after slow early fractions in the Derby, the second fastest last half ever, behind big red(SECRETARIAT). Good luck to all!

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

yeager055 — Thu, 19 May 2011 15:59:12 GMT

First I hope all have a safe trip,with no injuries.my prayers are with ARCH. My opinion hmm, I think it's Macho Mans time to shile,this colt isn't even 3 yet and boy is he powerful....if Animal K can get the ride he did in the derby then yea he is in the top 3.I think Astrology is going to have a big run if he breaks good,Asmussen hit 3rd with Curlin to come back n win preeakness, he knows the deal. I'm not passing on Dialed In Or Shackelford, they are both still a threat and if Shack doen't get into a speed duel he just may hang in there and suprise everyone...for the upset i'm gonna go with Kinge Congie and Mr Commons..I was really looking forward to seeing Nehro in this race, that would have changed everything...Good luck to all God bless a safe race...

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

jimmy711 — Thu, 19 May 2011 14:20:07 GMT

Finally we shall see a triple crown winner,

the race will be faster than usual for having two fast pace front runneres ,and the deep closers will show their ability with a perfect run by Animal Kingdom to the winning circle

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Criminal Type — Thu, 19 May 2011 14:19:57 GMT

Mucho Macho Man, Animal Kingdom, Dialed In. Those are my Trifacta horses for The Preakness. I'll play a couple longshots as well, Midnight Interlude, Sway Away.

I could care less who Drayneigh and KY Vet bet. Does this guy really think we believe he is a vet ? Maybe veteran but not veterinarian. And, Im starting to wonder if the KY even stands for Kentucky.

I am really excited to see Shared Account coming out for her 5 year old debut. I had 20 on her in the Breeders Cup F & M Turf and she paid off at 46 to 1. I'll be putting a few down on her again. It could be an awesome day for Motion and Fair Hill.

Also, Paddy O'Prado (I love this guy) is making his 4 year old debut at Pimlico in the Dixie. There are a ton of nice horses filling up the Stakes barn at Old Hilltop this weekend. I am going over tomorrow morning to see what I can see. I'll be sure to take the camera

re: 2011 Preakness - Predict the Order of Finish

Gonzalez — Thu, 19 May 2011 11:48:13 GMT

Like PomDeTerre, I'm waiting for more input from the experts before making my picks. Draynay will be posting his from the back of his chauffeur driven Maybach fairly soon. I wait patiently.