Still Searching For a Big Price?

As you guys know from previous blogs, when it comes to Kentucky Derby Future Wagers, I am all about big prices. I won't go near anything less than 20-1 and with only about five weeks until the Big Show, I am looking for even larger odds than that.

So in search of landing a bomb, I decided to venture outside of the "official" Future Wager pool and went shopping on online sportsbook accounts, which are based overseas. You guys are probably well aware of the ones I'm referring to. After scouring the web, I found a few sites that have odds not just on the top contenders, but practically any horse that has a prayer of running May 3.

I was looking specifically for a few horses that I've had my eye. And I found what I was looking for.

The first horse I checked on was Numaany, a Canadian-bred colt who broke his maiden at Aqueduct in November. I was turned onto this horse by my co-worker Lenny Shulman. If you haven't seen this race, you have to check it out. I've never seen a horse bolt like this in the stretch and come back to win. Amazing

After that race, Numaany ran twice in Dubai, last out finishing an impressive third in a stakes event for older horses. He took all the heat in the early going and fought like crazy in the stretch while stuck on the rail. He is an A.P. Indy colt owned by Godolphin and trained by Saeed bin Suroor. He will be running in the UAE Derby this Saturday and if wins, will be supplemented to the Kentucky Derby.

I found him at 100-1. At those odds, he was worth a twenty spot.

The other horse is Tomcito, who I also found at 100-1. As you know, I like this horse even though he has not been tested against American horses. A son of Street Cry, he likes the distance and has been dominant in Peru. Will he be the next Canonero II? We'll find out in the Florida Derby, but those odds, he was worth a stab.

Others you may want to consider are Face the Cat (100-1), an allowance winner for Todd Pletcher who will make his bid in the Florida Derby, Medjool (100-1), the third-place finisher in the Lane's End Stakes after jumping from the maiden ranks and who may run in the Lexington, and finally, for those of you who are still War Pass backers, he is 18-1 at this moment. My how quickly things can change.

By the way, after being 50-1 three weeks ago and 25-1 last week, Big Brown is down to 10-1. If you didn't hit him then, you missed the boat.

Keep searching for that big price!

 

27 Mar 2008
1:56 PM

Comments

Glad you found Numaany, he is on my list to add to RTTR contest if he does well Saturday and they bring him early to Kentucky.

Others I like- Texas Wildcater & Roman Emperor who ran with Visionaire. Odds will be juicy...

Doug 27 Mar 2008 2:44 PM

Tomcito at 100-1 for the KYD? I'd bet those odds! They'll be sweating that out on Saturday for the FLD. If he finishes in the money (or wins) and secures the cash for a gate the First Saturday in May they'll be crying.

Reminds me of an article on the recently deceased Winning Colors. It recounted that her grooms in the Lukas barn knew she had something so they pooled money and went to Mexico where they found a futures book that was giving over 100-1 odds on her for the Derby. They made a very nice return on their "inside information".

Glimmerglass 27 Mar 2008 6:47 PM

I don't know who'll be the next Cannonero, but if there IS one this year, he'll be a good one as I saw Cannonero work at Santa Anita as a four year old, and he was a beautiful and strong animal---certainly the best of his year, 1971, my first Derby, won by a real good one, Cannonero II......

Matthew W 29 Mar 2008 3:22 AM

Colonel John all the way...  Love his conformation and running style.

His workouts have been very promising and his bloodlines will tell that the distance is no problem...  Love his daddy, Tiznow...  what a runner!!!!

Go get ''em'' John !!!!

Mindy Corbin 01 Apr 2008 9:30 AM

Does Golden Spikes, who will be running in the IL Derby, qualify? He has blazing speed, I gather, and his classic-looking pedigree, Seeking the Gold o/o A.P. Interest, suggests he should have no problem navigating two turns

Bryce Be Quick 01 Apr 2008 3:03 PM

Bryce: Golden Spikes' trainer Marty Wolfson said he is not going to the Derby. Needs more time, I guess.

jshandler 02 Apr 2008 6:21 PM

TOMCITO IS BEST IN THE DERBY. BE CARFUL, BE CARFUL WITH TOMCITO

SORPRISE MACHU PICHU TOMCITO

RAFAEL TULLIANO 03 Apr 2008 4:53 PM

Thanks, Jason, for your usual fine insight-- this time into Marty Wolfson not hearing the siren call and listening to the horse instead? I gather he is a trainer akin to Shug McGaughey-- never push the horse, the horse will tell you when he is ready to step up? Theoretical-- will the owners push if Golden Spikes wins the IL Derby?

Bryce Be Quick 03 Apr 2008 7:43 PM

Great comments from above. My longshot pick for the Derby right now is: Smooth Air. I saw his races, the Hutchinson and the Florida Derby via the Internet. I think this horse can track the pace and make a late run. We'll see.

Robert 04 Apr 2008 2:09 AM

My longshot is another Asmussen horse named King`s Silver Son. It`s taken him a while to get going, but his late run in the Rebel was impressive. He needs a big effort in next week`s Arkansas Derby to get in the hunt with graded earnings.

Rivercitysmitty 06 Apr 2008 10:39 AM

Watch out for the closers! With War Pass, Recapture The Glory, and Big Brown, and I am sure a couple others there will be a battle up front at the Derby. We know Colonel John is a big finisher, and will see what Pyro has to offer this weekend. But watch out for Smooth Air who began to start moving on Big Brown at the end and with another 1/8 of a mile he would have got there easily and I think with increasing speed. Court Vision may be a sleeper too. He can have a big finish too. I think two of the above three will be on the ticket at the derby. With all the horses I listed in this note you may have the exacta and the Tri too.

DickBee 09 Apr 2008 10:36 AM

I think the Derby basically comes down to whether Big Brown is a superhorse or not. If he is the race is over. If he isn't, it's wide open as to who will win. Colonel John is an obvious contender based on his brilliant turn of foot the last eighth mile in the SA Derby..

Don 10 Apr 2008 3:46 PM

King`s Silver Son!! He could possibly be the best closer of all this year, but will have to run 1st or 2nd at Oaklawn to get in.

Rivercitysmitty 11 Apr 2008 12:08 PM

If War Pass is held back, and Recapturetheglory gets and easy lead, there may be no stopping him. Remember what War Emblem did? So many of the horses this year are closers, and if any horse gets an uncontested lead and the pace is slow enough, then they may hold on

Shannon 17 Apr 2008 6:26 PM

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