As I wrote yesterday, Big Brown will win the Belmont. With that already established, I believe the best way to make money on Saturday is by playing the late Pick 4, which is a $1 million guarenteed. Look at it this way, it really becomes a Pick 3 when you single Big Brown in the final leg. And if you get one price horse in the middle, the $1 will likely return about $1000, just as it did Preakness day.
Here's how my ticket will look. It's a $1 ticket that costs $96. Feel free to send your picks.
Race 8 - Acorn: Zaftig (1), Indian Blessing (2), Game Face (3), Golden Doc A ( 5)
Many people are using Indian Blessing in a single here. Not me. I'm not so sure she will be in her best form returning from her freshening. If she wins that's fine, but I think there are some decent upset chances in here, especially Golden Doc A, who ran respectably in her dirt debut in the Kentucky Oaks. She is likely to improve.
Race 9 - Woody Stephens: Ready's Image (2), Groomedforvictory (4), J Be K (5), Fatal Bullet (6)
You can't leave out Ready's Image and J Be K, but there are also some upset possibilities here. Fatal Bullet is stepping up, but he was dominating last out and I love horse entering in fine form.
Race 10 - Manhattan: (3) Shakis, (5) Out of Control, (6) Strike a Deal, (9) Proudinsky, (10) Dancing Forever, (11) Stream of Gold.
I'm going six deep in this wide-open affair. I feel confident throwing out Better Talk Now and Pays to Dream, who will be hard-pressed to repeat his Dixie. I think this will be a price race and if I had to pick a winner, I would go with Stream of Gold, the bulldog 7-year-old who is due to break through.
Race 11 - Belmont: It's going to be easy folks. The closer we get, the more confident I feel. Brown wins the Crown!