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Closing the Door on the 2011 Triple Crown

Next week this blog will officially switch over to Breeders' Cup Chat, where we can begin talking about the second half of the racing season. Before we do, let's review the 2011 Triple Crown by giving quick updates on all of the 3-year-olds that won graded races this year and what their immediate futures might hold.

As far as who the 3-year-old champion might be, it looks like the first horse to get a second grade I win will have the edge. You can vote for your pick at the bottom.

Also, I will be on vacation from July 11-19 and I am looking for a guest blogger or two during that time. You pick the subject. Let me know if you're interested.

3-year-old graded stakes winners of 2011

Sham (gr. III)--Tapizar--Still recovering from surgery to correct a bone chip suffered in Robert B. Lewis. No works since injury.

Lecomte (gr. III)--Wilkinson--Back on work tab June 28 three weeks after finishing ninth in the Ohio Derby. Maybe turf is in his future?

Holy Bull (gr. III)--Dialed In--Derby favorite will undergo knee surgery this week and miss the rest of the year.

El Camino Real Derby (gr. III)--Silver Medallion--Has been freshened since he finished fourth in the Lexington Stakes. No works since then.

Robert B. Lewis (gr. II)--Anthony's Cross--Never saw a reported injury but has shown no works since April 18, a week after finishing fifth in the Santa Anita Derby.

Risen Star (gr. III)--Mucho Macho Man--Will get a short breather after running in all three Triple Crown races and could be pointed to Travers.

Sam F. Davis (gr. III)--Brethren--After finishing 11th in Arkansas Derby, was working steadily for Pletcher in New York but missed about three weeks of training at the beginning of June. Returned to work tab June 21 with a slow four-furlong breeze.

San Vicente (gr. II)--The Factor--Still recovering from hairline fracture on hind ankle. Baffert is hopeful he can make it back for King's Bishop at Saratoga.

Southwest (gr. III)--Archarcharch--Unfortunately, was retired after fracturing front leg at the start of the Kentucky Derby.

Fountain of Youth (gr. II)--Soldat--Will go back to turf after failing in Kentucky Derby. Was being pointed for Virginia Derby in July but shows no works since June 6.

Hutcheson (gr. III)--Flashpoint--Working steadily at Aqueduct since finishing last in Preakness. Look for him in an upcoming sprint in New York or New Jersey.

Gotham (gr. III)--Stay Thirsty--Ran big to finish second in Belmont Stakes. Will point for Jim Dandy and Travers at Saratoga.

San Felipe (gr. III)--Premier Pegasus--Still recovering from surgery to repair a cannon bone fracture. No word on his current status.

Tampa Bay Derby (gr. II)--Watch Me Go--No races since finishing 18th in Kentucky Derby. Has been recently returned to training with a couple of breezes at Colonial Downs.

Rebel (gr. II)--The Factor--See above.

Louisiana Derby (gr. II)--Pants On Fire--Returned from the Kentucky Derby with an impressive win in the June 18 Pegasus (gr. III) and is being pointed to the Haskell next month.

Spiral Stakes--Animal Kingdom--Upset Kentucky Derby winner was tripped up by an injury after the Belmont and is being pointed for a fall return.

Sunland Derby (gr. III)--Twice the Appeal--Has not returned to the work tab since finishing 10th in the Kentucky Derby.

Florida Derby (gr. I)--Dialed In--See above.

Swale (gr. II)--Travelin Man--Finished fourth in Woody Stephens in most recent start. Top-level sprints are still in his future.

Wood Memorial (gr. I)--Toby's Corner--Forced to miss the Kentucky Derby after coming up lame, he has been shipped back to Fair Hill to resume light training with Graham Motion.

Bay Shore (gr. III)--J J's Lucky Train--Finished second in Woody Stephens.

Illinois Derby (gr. III)--Joe Vann--Finished fourth in Peter Pan and third in Matt Winn two weekends ago.

Santa Anita Derby (gr. I)--Midnight Interlude--After failing in Derby and Preakness, made a successful turf debut in Tsunami Slew Stakes June 17 at Hollywood.

Blue Grass Stakes (gr. I)--Brilliant Speed--Finished a good third in the Belmont and is being pointed for the Haskell.

Arkansas Derby (gr. I)--Archarcharch--See above.

Lexington Stakes (gr. II)--Derby Kitten--Third in Lone Star Derby on June 30. Will likely be pointed to major races this summer.

Jerome (gr. II)--Adios Charlie--Just missed in Peter Pan on May 14 and has been working regularly at Saratoga.

Derby Trial (gr. III)--Machen--Won Derby Trial, is expected to be entered in this weekend's Dwyer at Belmont.

Kentucky Derby--Animal Kingdom--See above.

Preakness (gr. I)--Shackleford--Ran well in all three Triple Crown races. On target for Haskell next month where he could be the favorite.

Woody Stephens (gr. III)--Justin Phillip--Breakthrough win for colt that had been close in previous starts. Returned to the work tab June 20 and June 27.

Belmont--Ruler On Ice--24-1 upsetter will also point for the Haskell.

Affirmed Handicap--Coil--Won in his first start around two turns. Will likely run in the Swaps on July 9 and point for the Haskell three weeks later.

Pegasus (gr. III)--Pants On Fire--See above.

Matt Winn (gr. III)--Scotus--Won Matt Winn for first stakes victory. Haskell and Travers are possibilities.

Iowa Derby (gr. III)--Prayer for Relief--Another Baffert late bloomer could show up in major New York races this summer.

Also, To Honor and Serve, who was third in the Fountain of Youth and Florida Derby before straining a suspensory ligament, had his first work back on June 26 at Belmont for Bill Mott.

"He's back on the track and had a little breeze," Mott said. "He's doing fine. We hope to have him ready for something at Saratoga."

The other top 3-year-old entering the season, Uncle Mo, continues to jog at WinStar Farm, where he has been since May 9. Up 110 pounds since his arrival, Mo will begin galloping next week and is doing very well according to Mike Repole.

76 Comments:

Highly impressive and much appreciated update. Brings back some good memories. It's been awhile since the Triple Crown prep races haven't been the highlight of the year with all of the promise and hope, before we have the injuries to our favorites and a muddled and disappointing Triple Crown with a lot of that having to do with the exclusion of top horses due to injury. I do think that Animal Kingdom had a very impressive Triple Crown and with the right trips could have been a Triple Crown winner. I also love the gameness of Shackleford who had no chance in The Belmont's 12f. It was just too far for him under any track condition. Premier Pegasus was the Derby horse to beat for me until his injury. I'm really looking forward to The Factor in sprints and up to a mile. I still believe that Shackleford or Animal Kingdom will be 3yo of the year with Animal Kingdom being BC Classic material.

Dr Drunkinbum 28 Jun 2011 4:13 PM

Nice review Jason, it's good to be back in the loop.  

Dont know if you have any info but I wondered what happened to Bandbox? I know he wasnt a graded winner but I liked his style.

Cant wait to see Shack dripping in sweat looking just this side of lunatic blast home again - Bring on the Haskel.  

Zen's Auntie 28 Jun 2011 4:18 PM

I hear Pre Peg and the other Cho horse will be back to working in the next 2 weeks..

Billy's Empire 28 Jun 2011 4:52 PM

Jason:

I know he hasn't won one this year, but what about the plans for Astrology?  Thanks.

DanC 28 Jun 2011 5:06 PM

Astrology just ran off the board in Iowa Derby. I think the plan is to re-evaluate.

Jason Shandler 28 Jun 2011 5:07 PM

Thanks for the update Jason I really hope Uncle Mo makes a recover its a shame that its taking so long. I would like to see the champ back in action and I am glad that M repole wants to run him at 4 if possible. I think he will be a beast when he returns.

It aint easy being good! 28 Jun 2011 6:45 PM

Terrific overall review of the 3 yr. old stakes winners this year.  I'm glad you included the updates on those who have joined the ranks of the injured, you got the rest of the injured that I missed in last night's Toby blog. Amazing number of injuries, out of control like you stated.  I say one of the reasons is the light 2 year old foundations coming back to haunt them (trainers) when the 3 yr.old campaigns kicked in.  The champion out of this crop, well I'd like to think Uncle Mo was robbed by nature of his chance of it.  Animal Kingdom had such promise and the look of a champion, I'm of the same mind as Dr. D above if he had better trips he may have attained the TC or 2 jewels of the crown.  Animal Kingdom has that awareness, I saw it in him in the Belmont post parade (in person), he looks right at things like Curlin did and carries his head high.  At least 3 or 4 Belmont starters seem to be making it to the Haskell.  That's Ruler On Ice's home court (Monmouth) and papa Roman Ruler won the Haskell there.  Ruler On Ice's "antics" could also be a sign of high intelligence.  He reacted to a new situation going into Belmont's Winner's Circle, they are prey animals that view things as predator's entrapments or enclosures.  They are claustrophobic and neophobic, afraid of new things, and that could explain the fear of flowers and reluctance to enter the Winner's Circle, he was checking out the situation first, pretty smart.  Jason, with that being said, I would suggest a blog on "The Starting Gate", it's invention by Clay Puett in 1939, it's reconfigured or nonreconfigured or engineered improvements since.  Why are they still hitting their heads on bars and losing teeth or getting caught under the gate?  The ear pulling has to be curtailed, and in QR's case the blindfolding backfired on an already highly stressed animal, albeit it may work in more normal cases.  It just seems they have not improved the gate and it is such as small space encased in too much metal.  Although it provides a fair start to a race as opposed to no gate and a free-for-all start, can't it be made a bit safer? Why is the status-quo accepted?  A sign on a major highway in N.J. today I actually saw while driving to work, "Success is being always in construction." (Route 3 East, N.J.)

Alex'sBigFan 28 Jun 2011 6:55 PM

My favorite is Animal Kingdom but my vote went to Shakelford. Not only is he talented and gutsy but he has weathered the rigors of the TC trail better than all of them. I have a feeling that he will continue to show up, win some and give the other horses a run for the money if he doesn't win the race himself. He is sound and very determined. I think that he will survive the war of attrition that this year as been so far.

Shakelford for 3yr old Champion!!! And the best part? He's a gelding, he'll be baaack next year!

Zookeeper 28 Jun 2011 7:51 PM

With Animal Kingdom on the shelf for a few months, it looks like Shackleford could wind up being the 3 year old champ if he can win the Haskell. Lookin at Lucky did it

last year by winning the Preakness and Haskell, while finishing a solid 4th in the BC Classic. Shack could end up being a major player at the end of the year as well. Another horse Im very interested in is Bob Baffert's Coil. This horse has the look of something special. As the season goes on this horse will only get better. Right now he is my darkhorse to win the Breeders Cup Classic.

Splits of 12 28 Jun 2011 8:27 PM

I see Ruler On Ice is only getting 3% of the votes. As crazy as it sounds, if he wins the Haskell he is on his way to becoming 3YO champ.

Another thing to consider: If Pants On Fire wins Haskell, he now has Louisian derby (gr. II), Pegasus (gr. III) and Haskell (gr. I) to his credit. That might be more than anyone else has to show.

Zookeeper: Shack is not a gelding. You might be thinking of Ruler On Ice.

Jason Shandler 28 Jun 2011 8:36 PM

Gotta love Shakelford!  I so agree with each of Zookeeper's views.  There's something unique about this horse.  

He's a fighter.

Freetex 28 Jun 2011 8:43 PM

Duh! It seems I haven't survived the rigors of the TC myself!!! First. I misspelled Shackleford's name and then I call him a gelding.

Sorry Shack! At least my vote went for you.

Zookeeper 28 Jun 2011 8:48 PM

What if a 3yo's first Gr.I score comes in the BCClassic?... will/should he be 3yo Champ? Say,for instance the winners of all 3 TC races fail to win another Gr.I this year?..

Carlos in Cali 28 Jun 2011 10:36 PM

Ruler On Ice is no longer a gelding since the Belmont Stakes. He grew them back down the stretch. Ted From LA is rumored to have been gelded by McIlroy after the U.S. Open because Ted made fun of him after the Masters. Shack(has both) is my favorite after Runflatout but I voted for Animal Kingdom. Runflatout is a ridgling unless it has descended.

Dr Drunkinbum 28 Jun 2011 10:59 PM

I thought Tapizar was already back in training a few weeks ago?..

It also seems like the 3yo Filly Championship is up for grabs.

So far,I'd vote for Zazu on account of her being the most consistent & accomplished of the bunch. John Sadler mentioned she'll have a "Blind Luck-like schedule" this summer,but the Delaware Oaks is too quick of a turnaround after her Hollywood Oaks triumph over Ky.Oaks heroine Plum Pretty.The Alabama will likely be her next outing.

Speaking of Plum Pretty; BBaffert said she'll ship for her next race and her owner wants to run her "in races with big pots".

The race for the Eclipse Awards is in full bloom and Del Mar has ZERO meaningful dirt races restricted for 3yo's, male or female.

BTW: Keep an eye on Arthur's Tale when he comes back,he just started getting good when he finished a fine 2nd in the Wood Memorial and got injured.

Carlos in Cali 28 Jun 2011 11:46 PM

ZOOKEEPER

Good luck to your horse in the future.

Mike Relva 28 Jun 2011 11:52 PM

Based on recent history, the Preakness winner seems to have an edge, especially when a different horse wins each Triple Crown race. As great as the Derby is, it isn't a race that often goes to the best 3 year old.

Stevebiscuit 28 Jun 2011 11:54 PM

I see the possibility of well placed horses winning more grade 1's like Shack under a mile and an 1/8th, Toby's Corner and Brilliant speed at more classic distances.

I see a first grade 1 win in MMM's future too and I think Midnight Interlude could become a force on the turf.  

Injury and Illness have been daunting this year - I really cant wait to see the Real MO Go again.

Zen's Auntie 29 Jun 2011 12:37 AM

My eyes are on Ruler.  I believe this horse is only going to get better.

Rockinar Dragonz 29 Jun 2011 6:57 AM

Still too early to tell. I think AK's injury opens the door for Shackelford but he's gotta step up and win at a 1 1/4. If not, look for Mo to come back and dominate in the Classic. It's at his favorite track.

GoldenBroom 29 Jun 2011 8:54 AM

Great run down on horses competing and on the sidelines.  I would love Shakleford to win HOY just because he has been so melined in the betting and ratings.  He gave his all in the KD, Preakness and Belmont. And he is still healthy! What the hell more do people want?

catmom 29 Jun 2011 9:15 AM

jason

Does anybody care about this 3yr old crop???

This crop reminds me of the 93 crop.

mrullo 29 Jun 2011 10:06 AM

The Factor could come back and win a couple, too, you never know. I like Shackleford thus far, as someone else pointed out, he's survived the 3 races seemingly better than anyone else. I'm curious to see if ROI continues to improve as well. Animal Kingdom is still in the hunt if he can return and win/place in a couple. I guess it's really up for grabs. Pants On Fire, too, has a chance if he should win a couple more. Regarding the fillies, I think Havr de Grace is injured, correct? and what about Turbulent Descent? I seem to recall that she may be running in races 1 mile or less. I like Zazu a lot. She's consistent and improving, game in every race. And what of Awesome Feather? I heard she was working again, and I'm wondering when/where she'll run next. So many injuries to so many horses, none have had any obvious trajectory that hasn't been interrupted by them.

Sue MacGray 29 Jun 2011 10:35 AM

There's another one who finished up the track in Iowa, but who had already won the Ohio Derby:  heard anything about Caleb's Posse?

Texohky 29 Jun 2011 1:06 PM

Just read that Animal Kingdom's fissure turned out to be a slab fracture. I'm so disappointed; he seemed to be the Triple Crown MVP (especially with his eventful Belmont trip). Barry plans to point him to the 2012 World Cup, possibly without a prep.

Flynne 29 Jun 2011 1:59 PM

What a bummer regarding Animal Kingdom.  Sure do hope Irwin doesnt get enticed into selling him.  Want to see him race at 4.   Looks like the fillies are doing best this year.  Hope Inglorious runs in the Breeders Cup.  Other than that, this year has been a huge disappointment with all of those injured horses.  Hope Shack stays sound.  Right now, he is the best.

derblin 29 Jun 2011 2:26 PM

I change my vote to Shackleford. It was a tossup for me in the first place but with AK out it's an easy pick.

Dr Drunkinbum 29 Jun 2011 2:27 PM

Quite possibly this is the most average, fragile group of 3 year olds to hit racing in years.  Such a disappointment to lose Animal Kingdom, one who looked like he could be a good horse.  Hopefully he will make it back at age 4.

Runfast159 29 Jun 2011 2:35 PM

Very bad news about Animal Kingdom. I was looking forward to seeing more of him this year, possibly at the BC. I hope that Mr. Irwin means it when he says that he'd like to race him at 4 and 5. What a concept! Here's hoping for a complete recovery and many more victories for our Kentucky Derby Champion!

Zookeeper 29 Jun 2011 2:49 PM

Just read the AK news...What's the summer classic schedule? It may take us til the fall to figure this mess out now...I still don't see how a horse that can't win at 1 1/4 can take 3 year old of the year honors.

GoldenBroom 29 Jun 2011 3:23 PM

Really unfortunate news for Animal Kingdom, but I'm not surprised. He has an excellent team (medical and otherwise) that will continue to monitor his condition as required. I do hope he makes it back to racing next year. Shackleford now has the lead in the 3-year-old division--as Dr.D said, it's an easy pick.

Karen in Texas 29 Jun 2011 4:53 PM

Any fillies in contention?? I do believe that Animal Kingdom would have been the Belmont winner had he not sustained the hind leg fracture. He was starting to make his brilliant run when it was suddenly cut short. I don't see any choice for 3 yr old honors until after the BC races. Hopefully there will be some late bloomers who will show some class and talent, as well as some of the current crop returning from various illnesses and injuries.

Wrensflight 29 Jun 2011 5:31 PM

The best three year old out there might be Winter Memories, especially if she can run the table in turf stakes and win the BC F/M Turf.  I know it may be a tall order, but she looks the part and I think she can beat the older F/M turfers this year.

Footlick 29 Jun 2011 6:19 PM

Terrible news on Animal Kingdom.  I feel bad for Mr. Irwin.  AK was carrying our hopes.  I hope it is not career ending for him and that he can come back to racing.  We still have Shackleford, thank goodness.  And Jason, you have something there when you say ROI with a Haskell win could become our 3 yr. old champ.  Pants On Fire as well, and they are owned by the same owners, the Halls I believe.  If only Mo could come back and shine in this next chapter of the 3 yr. old division in the fall.  I wish they could get a handle on exactly what is causing all this fragility, even though the cases vary, it is still too many injuries in the breed.

I actually had my heart set on seeing Animal Kingdom again in the Haskell, I'm now thankful I saw him a few minutes in the cold and rain in New York.  

Alex'sBigFan 29 Jun 2011 6:29 PM

I agree with GoldenBroom, I just don't see a horse with distance limitations like Shackleford being a 3 year old champion. He is currently 3 wins for 8 starts, hardly championship numbers. I do love him as a race horse, but he would have to win a significant race at a mile and a quarter, before I can get behind him for champion.

Has Nehro been retired? he would get my vote for 2nd place champion.

It seems like so many good ones who try to come back after injury, just never regain that status when they return, but if anyone does, I hope its Animal Kingdom next year. I was looking at his breeding and comparing it to Sea the Stars(after watching the video currently being shown on this site), and I was surprised at the some of the common influences. It just made me think what might have been.

predict 29 Jun 2011 8:30 PM

Thanks for the updates Jason. I agree with those who picked Shackleford. Very sorry to see Animal Kingdom has a more significant injury than originally thought. I cannot believe how many have been injured. Sure does make one realize how amazing it is when a horse makes it to 6 years old  uninjured and still competing at the top level. Makes me think there is something to the theory of waiting another year before racing them. That we are starting too soon. I really hope Uncle Mo can come back this year and race. Glad to hear he is doing so well. My heart is with him and the girls. Also, Zookeeper wishing you the best of luck. Dr Drunkinbum the idea of a neutered Ted from LA made me LOL!

Paula Higgins 29 Jun 2011 9:54 PM

I was suspicious about the way Animal Kingdom clipped heels in the Belmont--

"Maragh, aboard Isn't He Perfect, veered left from the No. 11 post into Mucho Macho Man, who in turn bumped Animal Kingdom."

Maragh was suspended for careless riding (the stewards obviously didn't buy the "it's an accident spiel." Now, Animal Kingdom is out for the year with a slab fracture. Funny that the chain reaction prevented AK's winning the race. Accident? Watch the Genuine Risk-Codex Preakness and the intimidation there. I was reminded of high stakes Physics experiments where dominoes have to fall the right way...except that one miscalculation at high speed is exponentially riskier than a domino effect on a table.

jbluesbeatle 29 Jun 2011 11:05 PM

So much for the pure German blood lines.

MikeM 30 Jun 2011 6:06 AM

Zazu is zensational Dialed In and Nick Zito-great racehorse/trainer relationship but:

Shackleford fought his heart out in the races. When I look at him I think of Secretariat. He races for himself and just has the confidence of a champion. Plus he has a wonderful family backing him up-they really love him.

Fran Loszynski 30 Jun 2011 8:14 AM

Paula Higgins

    Just to be clear- I in no way, shape or form condone the act of "neutering" or "gelding"  our dear friend Ted From LA or any other blogger by a Professional golfer using a 9-iron or even a sand wedge. The ritual is barbaric and should be condemned and outlawed or at least banned.

Dr Drunkinbum 30 Jun 2011 9:50 AM

Question: Does anyone do fantasy horse racing? If so, what are the best/most user friendly sites you have found? Thanks.

Jason Shandler 30 Jun 2011 11:25 AM

I believe that it is a bit too early to predict the 3 year old champion since no horse this Spring has truly put in a strong and consistent campaign.  Regretfully, yet another 3 year old--our KD winner, Animal Kingdom--has joined the list of horses out for the rest of the year.  So, it is possible that if Shackleford or Ruler on Ice win the Haskell and/or Travers, they will be strong contenders for the honor.  On the other hand, if the muddled Spring pattern continues for the Fall, we may be seeing a new shooter come into play for the title.  I, for one, do not care.  Right now, the fillies and mares have dominated the sport in the last few years both here and aboard.  I have been following them (Blind Luck, Havre de Grace, Zazu, Goldikova, Inglorious to name just a few) with great interest and hope that they will be well represented when awards are passed out early next year.  Who knows, given how weak the male contingency has been and if the voters of they awards are able to think "outside of the box", perhaps we may be seeing yet another female win Horse of the Year honors.

genie918 30 Jun 2011 12:04 PM

Dr Drunkinbum,

ON that gelding and ridgling comment you were a riot (LMAO).

I fancy Uncle Mo to return and explode leading up to the Breeder's Cup and take home the 3YO championship bacon.

Ranagulzion 30 Jun 2011 12:26 PM

Dr Drunkinbum

For sure using the 9-Iron or the Sand Wedge is barbaric.  The Driver is the club of choice by most gelders.  Those that like to torture use a Putter.

LAZMANNICK 30 Jun 2011 12:54 PM

Dr. Drunkinbum:  interesting picture re use of implements.

I don't do golf.  However, gardening -- and especially dead heading roses with the clipper thingies -- give me an analogous picture.  Thank you.

p.s.  Filly for 3YO of the year.  As everyone already knows (because I have been boring): Inglorious!

mz 30 Jun 2011 2:00 PM

Ted from LA leaves for a day and comes back to this?

Bob from Boston 30 Jun 2011 2:47 PM

Forgot to wish everyone (especially those who wish they were Canadians) HAPPY CANADA DAY!

(July 1st -- OK happy America Day too.)

mz 30 Jun 2011 3:04 PM

Dr. D and Lazmannick - Too Funny! :) And Ted from LA, best be that for your own comfort and safety you walk in groups and carry a putter yourself!

jbluesbeatle - I posted before and will say it again. The debacle at the beginning of The Belmont involving Maragh not only knocked out 2 but 3 competitors, Animal Kingdom included and now he has a more serious injury than at first speculated. I don't feel that issue was put under strict enough scrutiny and that chapter in my own personal estimation is still open. The stewards saw something if they suspended him, so what did they see and when did they see it?  

And Jason, thank you, you did all of our homework for us. Great thorough rundown. A few of those names i had totally forgotten about. Nothing has been decided yet, and that can only keep the interest at a peak level til the fat lady sings!

Have a wonderful vacation Jason and be safe.

And while you are away how about Dr. Drunkinbum and Ted from LA taking over as guest bloggermeisters.

Thank you Jason.

Linda in Texas 30 Jun 2011 3:41 PM

I dont think the German bloodlines had anything to do with Animal Kingdom getting bumped in the Belmont.  They may have, in fact, allowed him to finish the race.

I think Linda in Texas would make a good guest blogger.  Good having a lady's perspective.  TVG has fastasy horse racing site.

Do have a great vacation, Jason, and be ready to lead us through the rest of the year when you get back.

derblin 30 Jun 2011 7:27 PM

Dr Drunkinbum, actually I was thinking of another "method' for Ted from LA. Ever see the movie HIDALGO? The Sheik was going to remove Viggo Mortensen's "manhood" with what looked like an ice cream scooper-with claws. But I digress. Happy Canada Day mz and Happy 4th of July to the rest of us.

Paula Higgins 30 Jun 2011 9:50 PM

Jason,

I know he didn't win a graded race but what do you know about McLean's Music? 114 Beyer in his debut in March and then he drops off the earth? Any news on him?

Mary in VT 30 Jun 2011 9:52 PM

Fore !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Dr Drunkinbum 30 Jun 2011 10:00 PM

Derblin

   That's a good idea. The older female division is the best in racing right now so why not have the female blogger division run the show while Jason is gone. There are quite a few regulars and semi- regulars that could do it.

Bob From Boston

    I think Ruler On Ice started the whole thing. Since you're the only one that seems to be able to get a hold of Ted since he took out Bin Laden, tell him we're just joking around, even McIlroy was just joking but felt he needed some form of redemption, respectfully speaking of course.

MZ

  Yikes !!!! That was painful. I would choose the golf club over your method if it was done to me and I had a choice.

Ranagulzion

   I'm honored.

Laz

   In the hole !!!!! And now we'll be leaving golf and taking you to Monmouth where Shackleford will take the lead for 3yo honors.

Dr Drunkinbum 30 Jun 2011 10:16 PM

Shackleford is far better than anyone thinks. He'll sweep the Haskell/Travers/JCGC/BCC -- HotY. You heard it here first.

Shackleford 30 Jun 2011 11:45 PM

Jason:  Any word on the plans for Nehro?

How is Boys at Tosconova doing?

Thanks

The Deacon 01 Jul 2011 3:15 AM

Sorry but I'm not convinced that Animal Kingdom's injury resulted from him being checked at the start of the Belmont. More than likely it was brewing and it was just a matter of time.

MikeM 01 Jul 2011 7:35 AM

Linda In Texas

   Thanks. I think you would be an excellent guest blogger or blogster !!!!! It would be nice to get some of your special insight on here.

Dr Drunkinbum 01 Jul 2011 9:13 AM

Dr. Drunkinbum, Jason's blog is highly technical when it comes to handicapping, etc. I am not savvy in that department whatsoever.

Your sense of humor is delightful and so too is Ted from L A or Bob from Boston, and of course many others.

Have a great and safe racing week end plus 1 and have a Happy Fourth of July everybody.

Linda in Texas 01 Jul 2011 11:55 AM

My picks for guest blogger would be Lazmannick or Dr. Drunkinbum. Laz has a wide range of racing knowledge and Dr. D is an aspiring writer (if I remember correctly). It would be fun!

Have a happy 4th of July everyone!

Karen in Texas 01 Jul 2011 12:48 PM

Guest Blogger how about the worlds best handicapper Draynay!!

Happy 4th..

Johnny 01 Jul 2011 2:06 PM

ZA ZA ZUUU!  I knew she would be short in the OAKS after a layoff.  

Like the look of another grey, Baffert's American Lady.  Test Stakes at Saratoga???  Get in while her stock is rising.

Triple Bend looks good.  Smiling Tiger is back in CA.  

Householder 01 Jul 2011 2:31 PM

Amercian Lady...looks to be a half sister to the Pamplemousse.  Looks like she got the "good half."  

Householder 01 Jul 2011 2:35 PM

For guest blogger, I propose a blog that begins with Alex'sBigFan announcing a topic, followed by Dr. D, Laz, Zookeeper, and Linda In Texas each writing a paragraph about the topic to lend a broad perspective.  

Oldie 01 Jul 2011 3:39 PM

Finally, news on Soldat!  At least he just has "hurty feet" and will get some rest.  I could not bear to hear of another injury, I'm kind of heartbroken over Animal Kingdom as it is.

Guest bloggers for Jason - Dr. D. and Linda in Texas would be just perfect!  Heck, Dr. D would make a great bloodstock agent and Linda a great chief steward, let alone bloggers!

Happy vacation Jason and Happy 4th of July everyone.

Alex'sBigFan 01 Jul 2011 11:46 PM

Johnny,Your idea would ensure many comments. It's been so quiet since the Belmont.

Mary Zinke 02 Jul 2011 12:10 AM

Shackleford is all guts and heart and will keep trying- and succeeding- at outrunning his pedigree. He was in the hunt for most of his races and always tries hard. Bwsides that, he's gorgeous. I loved Animal Kingdom's sire and was so happy when he had a good son on dirt. Everyone is saying that this crop is sub par but look at the heart of some of these horses- ArchArchArch included. I think running times don't always show the measure of a horse. Most horses run only as fast as they have to to win. And in today's World, most save some for the next race. Look at how many weeks in a row Shackleford raced and did well- and he's still around. Who else can say that? Cannot wait until they come up to my neck of the woods- Saratoga.

Ms Easy Goer 02 Jul 2011 2:11 AM

Oustanding stakes races today at Hollywood Park.  

Kudos to the Wygods and Bill Mott for shipping Courageous Cat out from New York 3 weeks after his win in the Poker.  The Wygods live in California, and Mott has always been sporting and shipped horses out West, going back to the days of Cigar, Geri, and others in the 90s.  

I know many were critical of Sherriffs and how he blamed the "Rockies" for not shipping Zenyatta, but if people are going to criticize Sherriffs you also have to criticize Eastern horsemen that act like California is in Asia.  The Hollywood Gold Cup next week figures to only have one shipper, the middling Dark Cove.

Due to the boldness of Mott and the Wygods, Courageous Cat is now a deserving gr.1 winner.  A horse with trmendous talent, Courageous Cat was on his game in the Shoemaker, and was handled excellently by P Val. I wouldn't be surprised if he jumps to the #1 spot in alot of the polls for the male turf division.

Still, it wasn't easy for Courageous Cat.  The popular Caracortado returned to his best form, and was finally given an alert ride by Talamo who, thankfully, had him more engaged early.  Caracortado came with his run in the stretch, but he just wasn't good enough.

The Sheomaker is definitely on a short list for race of the meet.

The Triple Bend saw the return of the nationally elite sprinter Smiling Tiger.  Smiling Tiger came into the Triple Bend already a 2-time gr.1 winner in California, and he had been just Twirling Candy's nose short in the Malibu of having 3 gr.1s.  Smiling Tiger proved he was a sprinter of national/international quality with a solid 3rd in the BC Sprint, and a win in the gr.3 Count Fleet at Oaklawn.  In his prior start, the Churchill Handicap, Smiling Tiger finished out of the money for the first time in his career, but he had tons of excuses, having been repeatedly blocked through the stretch while running on the notorious dead rail.

Back in California for gr.1 Triple Bend, Smiling Tiger proved that he is a level or two superior to the parochial Cali horses Amazombie and Camp Victory.  Smiling Tiger was simply devastating in the Triple Bend, dominating the race throughout.  And the time of 1:21 and 1 is outstanding for Cushion Track.

A proven elite performer across the country on synth and dirt, Smiling Tiger should once again be ranked near the top of what is a loaded sprint division.  

GunBow 02 Jul 2011 10:59 PM

I picked "other" because if To Honor and Serve comes back running as well as he did at 2...he'll be tough to beat.  Love Pants On Fire and Premier Pegasus.  What happened with Rogue Romance?  I think Saratoga will define the 3 year old champ, more than any other meet.

Slew 04 Jul 2011 9:08 AM

Jason:

Uncle Mo to return to Pletcher July 11, point toward King's Bishop.

tcc 05 Jul 2011 5:48 PM

Oldie,

Thank you!  Many could do it here.

Whatever is decided is fine with me, I'll participate in any way.

Alex'sBigFan 05 Jul 2011 11:30 PM

A few weeks ago Jason wrote that we probably won't know how good Twirling Candy is until the Breeder's Cup.

Well, if Twirling Candy loses the Hollywood Gold Cup this Saturday, that would make him 0 for 3 in gr.1 races around 2 turns, and drop him out of serious Breeder's Cup Classic contention.

A win by Twirling Candy in the Gold Cup would certainly keep him on track for the Classic, but Jason's probably correct that we likely still won't have a crystal clear understanding of his Classic chances.

The reason is that the Gold Cup, being run on synthetic and without a pure frontrunner, is likely to produce one of those glacial 1:15 for 6 furlongs pace.  

Although Twirling Candy has yet to win beyond 9 furlongs on any surface, my belief is that he should be able to get 10 furlongs, at least on turf or synthetic. The typically slow early paces of turf and synth races turn stretch drives into battles of acceleration and brilliance.  Given a slow pace to deal with, Twirling Candy is able to conserve energy and preserve his brilliant turn of foot until the stretch.  That's precisely what happened in the Californian.

The typical pace of a dirt race, however, has a tendency to turn finishes into wars of attrition, and thus feature far slower final fractions.  Twirling Candy's style does not seem to lend itself to wars of attrition.  

In the Big Cap, Twirling Candy used up alot of his energy racing near a 46 and 3 pace, leaving him with little in the stretch(the bumping no doubt did not help).

Another good example of this is the Goodwood.  Although the Goodwood was run over Hollywood's Cushion Track, the race shaped up more like a dirt race.  Twirling Candy battled with Crown of Thorns through a half in 47 and 4 and 6 furlongs in 111 and 4.  For a dirt race, that's solid fractions; for Cushion Track that is downright blazing.  The result of the pace was that Twirling Candy faded the final sixteenth to finish 4th.

If Twirling Candy wins the Gold Cup sitting off a 1:15 pace, it will be somewhat difficult to translate the race over to the Classic.  

My guess is that Twirling Candy will ultimately prove that he can run 10 furlongs, maybe on synth or, more likely, on turf.  And we already know Twirling Candy can dirt, having won the gr.1 Malibu and gr.2 Strub.  What we don't know, and likely won't know until the Classic, is if Twirling Candy can run 10 furlongs on dirt.

For Twirling Candy fans, the best result this Saturday would be if Twirling Candy rates without incident behind a solid pace(fast for Cushion), accelerates on the far turn, and powers home in the stretch to win going away.  This result would go furthest to suggest that Twirling Candy can successfully run a classic distance over dirt.  

GunBow 06 Jul 2011 5:44 AM

I hope Shackleford is awarded this honor.  He is a beauty and all boy horse.  I have enjoyed watching all the kids this year.  They all were champions to me but the Shack has a real pull on my heart.

deb 06 Jul 2011 12:29 PM

I think Smiling Tiger is the best spinter period.  He faced the best last year when he was only 3.  He ran third at CD in last year's Sprint and he made his latest Grade 1 win look easy.  All systems go for this year's BC Sprint.  Watch for a 45-60 day layoff.  This has been the key to big runs for Smiling Tiger.

Twirling Candy...forget about him.  "I'm not Mr. Lebowski, I'm the Dude."  "Call me the Dude."  

Mr. Baffert is packing a potent 1-2 punch in the Gold Cup at this distance.  One will be pushing TC on the front while the other stalks.  Both have exerience with 1 1/4.

Householder 07 Jul 2011 2:42 PM

"What happened with Rogue Romance?"  Ironically, I know the answer to this.  mz didn't have a large enough sign so she and Ted from LA didn't "hook up."

Bob from Boston 07 Jul 2011 3:43 PM

Gee...thanx Bob for the update?

Slew 10 Jul 2011 9:49 AM

"The Dude" gets no respect.

Householder 06 Dec 2011 7:38 PM


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