Mohaymen Kiaran McLaughlin
Tapit—Justwhistledixie, by Dixie Union
Breezed a half in :49 2/5 as he awaits his big showdown in the Florida Derby, where he will attempt to deprive Nyquist of a $1 million bonus. This actually was the second fastest of 34 works at the distance. Solid, dependable, and professional; this will be his biggest test. In the Brisnet speed figures, he still has the fastest late pace figure at 115 in the Holy Bull Stakes, and although that figure dropped to a 99 in the Fountain of Youth, his overall speed figure increased from a 97 to a 102, second only to Nyquist’s 103 in the San Vicente. Also, his Thoro-Graph figures stand out among this group of 3-year-olds, with only Nyquist remotely close to him. For the followers of the Rasmussen Factor (inbreeding to top-class broodmares, he is inbred top and bottom to Foggy Note through her son Relaunch and his full sister Moon Glitter.
Destin Todd Pletcher
Giant’s Causeway—Dream of Summer, by Siberian Summer
I realize this is a huge jump for this colt, but two weeks ago I said that he was my dark horse for the Kentucky Derby, and after the Tampa Bay Derby there is nothing dark about him any longer, and no one else has really blown me away, except perhaps Mohaymen, so I’ll take a shot that his two races at Tampa Bay were legitimate. This colt looks like the real deal, and has been since the light bulb went on inside the eighth pole of the LeComte. That’s when he woke up and decided to become a racehorse. He missed the stakes record by a fifth of a second in the Sam Davis and he set a new track record of 1:42.82 in the Tampa Bay Derby, earning one of the rare triple-digit Beyer figures. Now all he has to do is duplicate that away from Tampa just to prove he’s not a one-track wonder. He has matured faster than any horse I’ve seen in a long time and I don’t believe we’ve seen the best of him by any means. His approximate fractions of :24 2/5, :23 2/5, :23 3/5, :24 2/5 and :06 2/5 in the Tampa Derby were very strong and he once again came home his final sixteenth in fast time. When Castellano reared back and hit him right-handed about 50 yards from the wire, he jumped back to his left lead, indicating he doesn’t need or want any encouragement. What was most impressive was the 7-length gap between Outwork and the third horse, and in spite of his lack of experience, Outwork was always thought to be something special. To demonstrate how much he keeps improving, he beat Rafting by 2 1/4 lengths in the Sam Davis and beat him by 10 1/4 lengths in the Tampa Derby. Castellano tried pulling him up on the turn, but he wanted no part of that either, tossing his head around, and actually took off again nearing the backstretch. In short, this colt has the class, toughness, pedigree, speed, and foundation you want to see in a Derby horse in a year when few can boast that.
Nyquist Doug O'Neill
Uncle Mo—Seeking Gabrielle, by Forestry
I decided to squeeze him in just ahead of Mor Spirit only because of his unbeaten record, his gameness, and his nose for the wire. I’m still skeptical about his prep schedule, but he does run in the Florida Derby a week before Mor Spirit runs in the Santa Anita Derby and I’ll have a better idea where he stands. With only the one seven-furlong race under him, I have absolutely no idea how he’ll stack up against Mohaymen stretching out to 1 1/8 miles. He needs to get battle tested at some point going that far. Who knows, maybe he is special; I believe he’ll have to be to knock off Mohaymen and then have enough bottom to stretch out again to 10 furlongs with so few miles under him. I would have preferred to see him run in the San Feipe and Santa Anita Derby and then have his showdown with Mohaymen on the first Saturday in May. If both went to Kentucky undefeated that would have made a great box office draw. But it’s difficult to ignore that $1 million bonus. He is scheduled to arrive at Gulfstream Park on March 28, where he is expected to face a very small field, and with Zulu likely to pass the race, it looks as if he’ll have only one horse to really worry about.
Mor Spirit Bob Baffert
Eskendereya—Im a Dixie Girl, by Dixie Union
His defeat in the San Felipe likely just sidetracked him a bit, and he still is a major contender, especially when the distances stretch out, but it is worth mentioning that he ran his first half in :47 and next half in :49 2/5, and with a horse like him you’d like to see that reversed a little more or at least have a narrower gap between the two. In the Robert Lewis he went in :48 and :48 4/5, which is more his grinding style. While he’s never shown a powerful run on the turn and has never been an explosive closer from the quarter pole to the sixteenth pole, he does seem to put it in another gear in the final sixteenth, shading :06 seconds in the Lewis, and you could see him quicken in the final sixteenth of the San Felipe to get second. Gary Stevens said he was pulling hard early and that’s definitely something you don’t want to see from him. He did appear to be at a disadvantage on that track and made his move along the inside before swinging out. It is also worth mentioning that the horse who beat him in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes, Airoforce, ran poorly next time out, as did Toews on Ice, who he defeated in Los Alamitos Futurity, and now so has Uncle Lino and I Will Score, who he defeated in the Robert Lewis. He’s going to have to show he can beat better horses than that. He did finish in front of Exaggerator in the San Felipe, but that colt lost all chance early and had to make a near-suicidal move from far back. This defeat does not at all detract from his reputation, but I still would like him to show in the Santa Anita Derby he can beat the best in California or at least relax early and accelerate quicker before he hits the sixteenth pole.
Danzing Candy Cliff Sise Jr.
Twirling Candy —Talkin and Singing, by Songandaprayer
It was hoped the San Felipe would firm up the 3-year-old picture in California, but it just added more questions that won’t be answered until the Santa Anita Derby. Danzing Candy proved he’s for real with a decisive score, but, again, it must be noted he went his first half in :46 and next half in :50 1/5 before coming home in a respectable :06 3/5. Those kinds of fractions are not what you want to see in the Kentucky Derby, where you don’t want to go that fast early and that slow late. Sometimes, you just can’t figure out Santa Anita. You have a son of sprinter Kodiak Kowboy who had been two turns only once and had never been farther than 1 1/16 miles run away with the Santa Anita Handicap on the front end and then you have this colt wire his field when none of the other speed horses in the race challenged him at any point. Just as a reminder in relation to the Kentucky Derby, his broodmare sire Songandaprayer set the fastest half-mile (:44 4/5) an three-quarter (1:09 1/5) fractions in the history of the Derby before fading to 13th in the 17-horse field. What I do love about Danzing Candy’s pedigree is that his paternal and maternal grandsires are both great-grandsons of Fappiano through Crypotclearance and Unbridled, and there is no stronger influence on the breed right now than John Nerud, who bred Fappiano and Unbridled. Although I’d love to see him come from off the pace, if I Will Score, Uncle Lino, and Smokin Image couldn’t outrun him, or wouldn’t, who is going to outrun him early in the Santa Anita Derby? We still have no idea how effective he is coming from off the pace, so why take away his best weapon now? The Kentucky Derby is another matter.
Suddenbreakingnews Donnie Von Hemel
Mineshaft—Uchitel, by Afleet Alex
He had his final Rebel work delayed a couple of days because of the weather, but finally was able to breeze 5 furlongs in 1:02. There are so many talented horses pointing for the Rebel, if he can beat the same ones he handled pretty easily in the Southwest, as well as several hot newcomers, he’ll have to be taken very seriously, especially how impressive he was last time out in his first start away from Remington Park. Watching every one of his races last year, you couldn’t help but be impressed with his versatility and overall look of class and how he could beat you in different ways. He jumped up in class and ran the best race of his life in the Southwest and I’m anxious to see if he can duplicate that effort or even take another step forward against several talented shippers from California and Florida with great potential. Although he came from the clouds and exploded late in the Southwest, he demonstrated at Remington on several occasions that he does not have to be that far back.
Exaggerator Keith Desormeaux
Curlin—Dawn Raid, by Vindication
This colt, as talented as he is, has me stumped. I could have put him as high as 4th based on his class and consistency or ranked him lower until he proved he can come home and win. His slow start in the San Felipe, which knocked him right out of contention, and then he made premature mad dash through the field that he, of course, was unable to sustain. This isn’t the first time he’s been headstrong in a race. I don’t mind him finishing third, but if he’s going to finish third I’d rather see him do it the right way. Once he broke slowly, thanks to Smokey Image coming out on him, and found himself in last, some 10 lengths off the lead, which definitely is not where he wants to be, I would have preferred if Desormeaux, conceding he wasn’t going to win from there, had decided to try to get him to relax and settle in stride and then make one late move and hope to pick up a piece of it and teach him to do his best running late. But whether he gave the colt his head or he was dragged along, that move between the half and three-quarters when he made up 7 lengths while seemingly out of control is not what you want to see from a horse on the Derby trail. When he hit the quarter after having pulled to within a length of the leader, he was pretty much done. His quarters in :23, :23 2/5, and :25 1/5 reflected that. There is a difference in pulling out all stops to win a prep race and conceding defeat and using the race to take a step forward. I can’t blame Desormeaux because I have no way of knowing how much control he had over the colt. It’s reached a point in his career where you have to wonder if he has the temperament to run classic distances. Trainer Keith Desoremaux, having similar questions about the horse, said, “I would like to think he’ll move forward off of this. He might be maxing out at a mile, too. That’s what’s going through my mind right now. But we’ll stay here for the Santa Anita Derby, try them again and try and prove me wrong.”
Greenpointcrusader Dominick Schettino
Bernardini—Ava Knowsthecode, by Cryptoclearance
Why does it seem as if this colt last raced six months ago? For a horse I originally had No. 1, I’m running out of things to say to justify even having him in the Top 10. I only have him at No. 8 because I believe in the horse. Maybe I’m letting his Champagne victory cloud my thinking, but that win, his throw-out performance in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile when he suffered an ulcerated eye, and his odd race in the Holy Bull when he was on the pace the whole way still gives me hope that he can put everything together come Derby Day. But as I’ve been saying all along, as strange as his performance was in the Holy Bull, his schedule since that race is even stranger, especially if he runs in the Louisiana Derby off a two-month layoff and then has six weeks until the Kentucky Derby, something that has never been accomplished before. I think he’s good enough to beat the Fair Grounds horses or at least be right there, but I have no idea how effective he’ll be in the Kentucky Derby with one race in 14 weeks and trying to become the first horse in history to win the Derby straight from the Louisiana Derby. If he’s going to have a long gap anyway between races, perhaps waiting another two weeks and going home for the Wood Memorial and having only four weeks to the Derby would give him a better shot. But I really have no idea anymore. All you can do is hope Schettino’s plan, as unusual as it may be, is the right one and he can get this colt to the Derby in peak form. He surely knows his horse better than I do or anyone else. His Thoro-Graph figures have him sitting on a big race, whenever and wherever that may be.
Gun Runner Steve Asmussen
Candy Ride—Quiet Giant, by Giant's Causeway
Turned in a bullet 5-furlong breeze in 1:00 3/5, fastest of 34 works at the distance. The main question with him is how far he can move forward off his Risen Star victory. He definitely ran as if there’s lot more there, especially with the Louisiana Derby being his second two-turn race off a layoff. If you follow Brisnet, he is the only 3-year-old to have run triple-digit early, middle, and late pace figures. The most impressive aspect of his Risen Star score is that he was able to take the lead at the head of the stretch and keep it the entire length of that long Fair Grounds stretch, despite not having run for nearly three months. It’s now a question of whether he can again hold off the late runs of Mo Tom and Forevamo. And he may have a new challenger in Greenpointpointcrusader. My main concern with the Louisiana Derby is the timing, back to six weeks before the Kentucky Derby. Do you wait that long or squeeze in another race in three weeks? Most trainers will wait, but as I’ve been saying it’s never been accomplished before, so it’s something to think about. There is a lot to like about this colt. He looks to be a classy individual with the look of a stayer, and how about a Winchell exacta of Gun Runner and any son of Tapit, who Winchell bred and owned. And remember, Asmussen is on the Hall of Fame ballot this year, and who can forget Wayne Lukas, Gary Stevens, and Neil Drysdale all winning the Kentucky Derby the same year they were elected to the Hall of Fame.
Mo Tom Tom Amoss
Uncle Mo—Caroni, by Rubiano
Breezed a half in :48 3/5 in preparation for the Louisiana Derby. We really don’t know yet what this horse’s ceiling is because he never puts together back-to-back clean races, but one thing you have to admire about him, for a deep closer he’s remarkably consistent. Even when he’s had his stretch run stopped cold, either by jumping over to his wrong lead and ducking in to the rail or having to check sharply due to interference, he still finished strong to get third. His two stakes victories were impressive visually, but came at the expense of Tom’s Ready, who has been inconsistent, and he’ll have to beat better horses than that if he’s going to keep progressing and be considered a serious Derby contender. In the Louisiana Derby, just wheel him to the outside and give him a clear run, even at the expense of losing ground, which often doesn’t hinder a horse’s chances at Fair Grounds. If he gets beat, but is flying at the end, that will at least be another step in the right direction.
Whitmore Ron Moquett
Pleasantly Perfect—Melody’s Spirit, by Scat Daddy
I needed a last-second replacement for Zulu (see below) and I’ve been wanting to put him in the Top 12 since his eye-popping move around the turn in the Southwest Stakes after having to check along the rail and losing position. With such a large competitive field that includes three live shippers, it’s a gamble putting him on now, but I’ll take a chance he will improve off that second-place finish, in which he was coming off only one 6-furlong sprint this year. I could have easily put Cupid or Cherry Wine on here instead, but gave him the edge because of his stakes experience and having a race over the track. His move was so explosive he passed pretty much the entire field, and you when you make that kind of move in a 14-horse field and are the only one doing so, it’s hard not to notice. He did get a bit tired late, allowing Suddenbreakingnews to charge by him, but he had every right to. He is by a Breeders’ Cup Classic and Dubai World Cup winner, but the only nagging element of his pedigree is his female family, with his dam being by Johannesburg’s son Scat Daddy and his second dam being by Tale of the Cat; that’s mostly speed to middle distance at best. But Tale of the Cat did sire the $6 million earner and distance horse Gio Ponti, as well as Alabama, Breeders’ Cup Distaff, and CCA Oaks winner Stopchargingmaria, and Wood Memorial winner Tale of Ekati, who sired last year’s Preakness runner-up Tale of Verve. Also, Whitmore’s dam has the much-coveted Rasmussen Factor, being inbred to the Claiborne-bred mare Yarn, who is a full-sister to grade I winner Preach, the dam of Pulpit. So, perhaps there is enough pedigree on both sides to get the 1 1/4 miles.
Outwork Todd Pletcher
Uncle Mo—Nonna Mia, by Empire Maker
A lot of what I said below about Zulu pertains to this colt, who ran a super race in the Tampa Bay Derby, and it took a track record and triple-digit Beyer to beat him. Like Zulu, he will not have a lot of foundation for the Kentucky Derby, especially with two of his four career starts at 4 1/2 and 6 furlongs. You never see Derby horses these days starting out at 4 1/2 furlongs in April. But he has bounced back this year with two huge efforts and nearly wired the Tampa Bay Derby field in his first two-turn race, finishing 7 lengths ahead of the third horse, which is something you love to see. There is no doubt this is a very gifted colt, and much has been expected of him from day one. There are several horses in Saturday’s Rebel Stakes that I feel could knock him off the Top 12 with a big effort, but for now I’ll let them sort themselves out. In the meantime this colt has to be recognized for his powerful performance on Saturday.
KNOCKING ON THE DOOR
I decided to make a last second (literally) change and drop ZULU from No. 11, where I originally had him, and just put him on hold for a week or two until things surrounding him become clearer. I have been a big fan of Zulu right from Week 1, but, as of this writing Monday night, he has not worked since the Fountain of Youth; that’s 17 days, and now Pletcher says, and wisely so, he likely will not run the colt in the Florida Derby if both Mohaymen and Nyquist are in the field. That appears to be an excellent decision, because you don’t want to have to subject a horse with so little experience and miles behind him to a hard race against the two leading 3-year-olds in the country who are undefeated and totally battle-tested. In addition, I’m not comfortable having two Pletcher horses next to each other at No. 11 and 12 who are so lightly raced and inexperienced, having run four of their six combined races in sprints. Remember, what Zulu and Outwork are attempting to do has not been accomplished in modern times. As I’ve mentioned, the only two horses in the past 98 years who won the Derby with four career starts or fewer are Animal Kingdom and Big Brown, and neither of them ever ran in a sprint. So until Zulu works again and plans are firmed up for his next start, I will just keep a close eye on him.
I am going on record right now by saying that there are three new faces running in Saturday’s Rebel Stakes who look to be sitting on a big effort and would skyrocket near the top of the list with a victory or a huge performance. They are CUPID, CHERRY WINE, and CREATOR, any one of which could have made the Dozen this week except that I was unable to decide which one to put there. It wouldn’t be shocking if any of the three wind up there next week. All have Derby horse written all over them, style-wide and pedigree-wise, and I can’t wait to see how this race, which is expected to draw a huge field, will play out, and how they stack up against Suddenbreakingnews and some of the other locals. I am also looking hard at RALIS because I still feel his Hopeful victory was as impressive as I saw by a 2-year-old last year and he simply went off form after that. He could return to that form and run a big race or he could be a bust again. I lean toward the former. Ralis tuned up for the Rebel by working 5 furlongs in 1:02 1/5 in company with dual stakes winner FRANK CONVERSATION, who is headed to Dubai.
Cherry Wine has been ready to run for two months now, but has missed two possible engagements, one when he spiked a fever right before the Fountain of Youth. His last two races have been sensational, blowing away his opponents with devastating moves on the turn and a quick turn of foot at the head of the stretch. We don’t know what he beat, but in his last start he demolished the impressive Pletcher-trained maiden winner BATTERY by 6 lengths, drawing away from him with ease, and Battery came back to score impressively in an allowance race at Gulfstream, earning a big Brisnet speed figure.
It seemed like a bold move running Cupid in the San Felipe Stakes, especially against stablemate Mor Spirit and with the Rebel Stakes coming up. Sure enough, Baffert wound up working the colt 6 furlongs in 1:11 3/5 the day before the race and then scratching him from the San Felipe. Like Peyton Manning, Baffert has been known to call an audible at the very last minute if he doesn’t like the defensive alignment. We’ll see if this one pays off.
It may sound strange, but I’m almost as excited about these horses as most of the ones in the Top 12.
So, you have a strong local Rebel contingent, headed by Suddenbreakingnews, Whitmore, Creator, and American Dubai, and others, and with shippers Cherry Wine, Cupid, and Ralis, you have one of the most intriguing races of the year for some horse to break out into the big-time.
Another who came very close to making the Top 12 is MY MAN SAM. I have to admit I love what I’ve seen from this colt and I foresee him being on the list in the next couple of weeks. The only thing keeping him off this week is that he is another who will have only four career starts before the Derby and hasn’t run in a stakes yet. But he really looks like a Derby horse to me and running the race he did behind MATT KING COAL and finishing ahead of MO POWER is nearly equivalent to running in stakes company. He is one I’d love to have in the future book at a huge price.
And there is CONQUEST WINDYCITY, who looks to be on the verge of breaking out into the big-time. He’s been working sharply, and his 1:01 breeze at Oaklawn was a bullet move, fastest of 32 at the distance. Mark Casse has SIDING SPRING in the Rebel, so he likely will look elsewhere with Conquest Windycity.
Now, let’s take a look at the horses who disappointed over the weekend. The first obviously is BRODY’S CAUSE, and as someone who had him ranked at No. 3, this was a hugely disappointing effort, especially since Dale Romans said he was training super and even sent him to Tampa for his final work, in which he turned in a sharp half-mile breeze, indicating he liked the surface. But he simply never showed up and was not in the race at any point in perhaps the most baffling performance I’ve seen this year. Although having only two preps has proven successful over the past decade, if you go that route you better get something positive out of both races and get battle-tested fast. You can’t afford to waste one of those races. All we can do now is see how he came out of the race and put him on hold. You know he’s a far better horse than he showed on Saturday.
Also in the Tampa Derby, RAFTING, RIKER, and ECONOMIC MODEL simply were outrun badly by better horses and do not measure up.
In the San Felipe, SMOKEY IMAGE bore out at the break, went wide into the first turn, and things got worse from there. He basically was going through the motions by the time he lumbered up to the quarter pole. He has demonstrated a funky way of running at times and it will be interesting to see how he came out of the race.
Chad Brown has some decisions to make regarding his three Derby hopefuls stabled in New York. SHAGAF is a definite for the Wood Memorial, and if Brown wants to split them up, FLEXIBILTY could go for the Blue Grass Stakes and MY MAN SAM for the Arkansas Derby. Flexibility breezed a half in :48 2/5 and should be tough wherever he runs next. I still consider him a forgotten horse.
HIT IT A BOMB, winner of the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf has no Kentucky Derby aspirations, according to a Coolmore representative, and will point for either the English or French 2,000 Guineas. Also on the foreign front, MARKET RALLY, impressive winner of the UAE 2,000 Guineas and Al Bastakiya, will look to complete the UAE Triple Crown in the UAE Derby. The son of Unbridled’s Song, out of a Mr. Greeley mare, broke his maiden at Monmouth Park when he was owned by Gary and Mary West, who purchased the colt at Keeneland September for $210,000 before selling him privately after his maiden score to Sheikh Ahmed bin Rashid al Maktoum.
TOM’S READY, who is looking to bounce back from a poor effort in the Risen Star Stakes, indicated his sharpness, breezing 6 furlongs in a strong 1:13 2/5 in preparation for the Louisiana Derby. Larry Jones said his recent allowance winner JENSEN will skip the Louisiana Derby and point instead for the Spiral Stakes. The colt’s sire Hard Spun loved the Polytrack and Jones says Jensen reminds him a lot of Hard Spun. He breezed 5 furlongs in 1:02 3/5 at Fair Grounds. Also skipping the Louisiana Derby is ZAPPERINI, who could also show up in the Spiral or the Rushaway Stakes on the same card. One horse pointing for the Louisiana Derby, Risen Star runner-up, FOREVAMO, breezed a half in :49 2/5.
Getting back to the Spiral Stakes, it looks as if Mark Casse will be giving AIROFORCE a chance at redemption over the Polytrack surface, feeling he ran too badly in the Risen Star to take that effort at face value. And considering how well he ran in the slop at Churchill Downs last fall, it at least gives Casse some hope that the Kentucky Derby is still an option. A new shooter for the Spiral emerged over the weekend when SURGICAL STRIKE turned in a powerful stretch run to win the John Battaglia Memorial going away by 2 1/2 lengths.
COCKED AND LOADED continues to train sharply, breezing a half in :47 3/5 at Tampa Bay Downs. UNBRIDLED OUTLAW continues to train forwardly for his 3-year-old debut, breezing 5 furlongs in 1:01 1/5. Another whose training is picking up noticeably is SWIPE, who worked 6 furlongs in 1:12 4/5. DENMAN’S CALL who had been entered in the postponed San Pedro, worked 5 furlongs in 1:01 2/5. Also at Santa Anita, KASSEOPIA drilled 5 furlongs in 1:00 4/5. He could go for the Spiral or stay home and try the dirt in the Santa Anita Derby, which should draw a fairly small field. In New York, Wood Memorial hopeful CADEYRN breezed a half in :50 4/5 over the Belmont training track.
I mentioned a few Brisnet speed figures earlier. So, just who are the best closers and which horses have proven they not only can come home in fast time, but do so after running fast fractions throughout the race? It’s one thing to close off slow fractions, but the true dangerous horses are the ones who can run fast at any part of the race
In looking at the Brisnet figures, which gives you an early pace figure, a middle pace figure, and a late pace figure, here is a list of horses who have run a triple-digit late figure, but have showed the ability to maintain high speed at different points in the race. This is compiled by adding up each horse’s best early, middle, and late pace figures and coming up with a total number of points.
As mentioned earlier, only one horse has actually run triple-digit early, middle, and late pace figures, and that is Gun Runner, who tops the list (compiled before Saturday’s races) with 311 points (100-107-104), followed by Mohaymen (307 points), the Pletcher-trained Battery (297), Exaggerator (293), Flexibility (292), Fellowship (289), Mor Spirit (289), Destin (282), My Man Sam (282), Greenpointcrusader (281), Rafting (279), Brody’s Cause (275), Cupid (267), and Suddenbreakingnews (266). Remember, being on the bottom of this list still is favorable, because it means the horse has at least run a triple-digit late pace figure.
If you’re totally confused, just look at the points and figure the ones at the top have a higher cruising speed and do not have to depend on running slow early in order to close fast late. The horses with the fastest late pace figures, regardless of the early and middle figures, are Mohaymen (115), Cupid (111), Greenpointcrusader (109), Destin (109), Fellowship (109), Mor Spirit (108), Rafting (107), and My Man Sam (105).
In looking at the Thoro-Graph figures, this is not a particularly fast group of 3-year-olds compared to past years. Mohaymen has the two fastest numbers run this year, while Mor Spirit has the fastest number run by a 2-year-old, which actually equals Mohaymen’s career-high number in the Fountain of Youth, so there is a lot of speed for him to fall back on. Look for a good number of career-high figures in most of these horses’ next start.