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The "Freak"ness is on like Donkey Kong!

And they haven't even opened the infield yet. 

If you are perceived as (insert your word here), it is best not to open your mouth and remove all doubt.

First off, of course, Rachel Alexandra has a right to run in the traditional male classic.  On the other hand, I can understand that some of the folks feel that Jess Jackson in mid-battle for the World Series, traded for a 30-game winning pitcher.  That would not be possible in baseball.  In football, you win a series of games to make it to the Super Bowl.  This isn't baseball or football Dorothy.

 

A Filly's Look Back

The last two fillies comparable to Rachel's situation were Genuine Risk and Winning Colors.  Even though they were Derby winners, she is coming into this race with that kind of hype, warranted or not.  This is what happened in their quest to take down the Black-Eyed Susans.

 

Genuine Risk

Genuine Risk rolled into the Kentucky Derby after a third place finish in the Wood Memorial in 1980 behind Plugged Nickle.  The chestnut filly was by Exclusive Native out of the Gallant Man mare Virtuous.  She was owned Mrs. Bertram Firestone and trained by Leroy Jolley.

As we all remember, Leroy Jolley was the trainer of Kentucky Derby Winner Foolish Pleasure, when his colt took on the spectacular but ill-fated Ruffian in 1975.  He hurled some poorly chosen comments towards the press after her injury that left him open to a lot of criticism, but he also made this comment to the Washington Post with a sense of sadness, "The ones who run best are the ones who run hardest, even if it kills 'em."

In 1980, the situation was different, but the roles were somewhat reversed.  It was Mr. Jolley's filly facing a field of colts in the 1980 Derby. 

 

1980 Kentucky Derby

 

Two weeks later, things got ugly.  After three Triple Crown winners in the seventies, the thought of a filly being the next Crown winner wasn't hard to imagine. 

Well, Codex, D. Wayne Lukas and Angel Cordero had another scenario in mind.  They, along with owners, Tartan Farms, wanted their son of Arts and Letters to win a classic race.  The colt won the Santa Anita Derby, but he was not nominated for the Kentucky Derby, so he sat on the sidelines for that race.  He was front and center on Preakness Day, in more ways than one.

 

The 1980 Preakness Stakes

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I0iFI7aLsQY

 

Although the event certainly appears legal, it was not widely accepted as the right thing to do.  Cordero's reputation as an aggressive rider made people quiet furious at the time.  Even the mild-mannered Joe Hirsch was angry. 

Genuine Risk went on to run in the Belmont Stakes and ran a solid second there also, well ahead of Codex.

 

Winning Colors

Moving on to 1988, D. Wayne Lukas is now the one with the Derby winning filly, Winning Colors, the daughter of Caro with her rider Gary Stevens.  Woody Stephens entered the mix as the trainer of Forty Niner, ridden by Pat Day.   The situation was a little different than the first scenario.  Forty Niner did run in the Kentucky Derby.  Woody had commented to the New York Times the week of the Derby "I can't see her (Winning Colors) winning the Derby........Forty Niner could outrun Winning colors from the gate if that's what I want.........If we draw outside her we'll put the pressure on.  If we draw inside we might go to the lead.  That might be her weakness."

Let's back up and take a look at the romp Winning Colors put on in the Santa Anita Derby in her last prep race to understand what Stephens was talking about.

 

1988 Santa Anita Derby

 

Now, the 1988 Kentucky Derby

 

Well, after the race, I'm sure Stephens was thinking about what he said and knowing that the filly had everything go her way, he probably wasn't happy with Day's ride and Stephens wasn't going to let her have her own way in the Preakness.

 

1988 Preakness Stakes

 

Whatever this was, it seems to me that it was worse because at least Codex won the first one.  Forty Niner finished poorly and the connections were probably ashamed of their tactics.  In fact, Woody Stephens commented after the race "She's probably better than I thought she was." 

Gary Stevens had harsh words for trainer Stephens.  The longtime conditioner admittedly told his jockey he wanted to send Forty Niner for the lead and to stay away from the muddy rail inside.  What happened was a lot of bumping and bullying of the filly.

 

Present

Now here we are in 2009.  Rachel Alexandra will line up in the 13 post and her fate may not be her own, but hopefully after the past weekend, everyone will be on their best behavior and race everyone the same.

An interesting note, Rachel Alexandra's broodmare, Lotta Kim, is sired by Roar and Roar was a son of Forty Niner. 


Courtesy of Becky Johnston


18 Comments:

I'm not worried about Rachel Alexandra taking the middle leg of the Triple Crown.  I don't think she will, but if she does, she does.

My major concern is that she is coming back too soon in the toughest company she has ever faced...by far.

Even mentioning her in the same sentence as Winning Colors or genuine Risk is grossly misleading and simple minded.  Rachel DIDN'T win The KY Derby...she didn't even run in it.  She beat a slowish maiden special weight winning filly in The KY Oaks.  So what if it was by 20.25 lengths?  Her time, on a fast track, did not lay over the time for the colts the next day, where many say it played like peanut butter.

What is the point here?  Is running her in The Preakness good for her?  Would it be good for racing to see a filly get hurt on national TV...again?  Why even risk it, in this specific race under these specific conditions?

Run her against colts later, after she has proven herself against older fillies, or at least a 3 YO of higher caliber than she's faced to date.

I have never hoped I was wrong about something before in my life, but I feel a disaster coming.

Gary 15 May 2009 3:07 PM

I hope they don't beat up on her too much.  Maybe she will get so far in front that it will just be Mine That Bird flying up on her at the end.....and I remember Leroy Jolley's comment after the Ruffian/Foolish Pleasure race to the effect of, the best horse won, I've hated him since.  I know that is unkind, but there was that beautiful filly hurting in the middle of the track and he said such a horrid ugly thing.    

Marcia 15 May 2009 3:09 PM

I agree with Gary.

I think the best outcome would be Mine That Bird wins and Rachel Alexandra comes out o.k. Thanks to Jess Jackson and his overblown ego, she has an excuse if she doesn't win.

Karen in Indiana 15 May 2009 4:01 PM

It's Mine That Bird, w/Nile, Man, and Clem-no different from the derby

except for a different mix underneath that could have the Quarter in there.

Rachel will go out right away, but it will not be race riding that gets to her, it will only be the speed that takes the toll in the last 1/8th.

Lets hope to see a great-safe race.  

Kevin 15 May 2009 4:50 PM

Winning Colors beat the boys even BEFORE the Kentucky Derby.  "Catch me if you can Colors" reeled off some serious fractions in the Santa Anita Derby (109 and change!) finishing up 8 in front clocking in at 147 and change!  Team 49er dismissed her in the Derby saying she will never get that loose again.  Well history does repeat itself.  Let's just say that RA has a little more history to make before she can be put in the same sentence as the Roan (no grey) filly.

Householder 15 May 2009 6:30 PM

Regardless of who she ran against a 20+ length victory in any race is impressive. All I know is that if Big Brown wasn't on top of his game, Eight Belles would have destroyed the rest of that field a year ago.  Not sure what this filly can bring to the table but she looks like she could take these. This isn't the crop of males on the triple crown trail I've seen in recent years. Though if Mine That Bird runs like he did in the Derby, watch out, his pops upset an undefeated horse in the Belmont.

Toga4life 15 May 2009 6:36 PM

Rachel Alexandra is the ONLY horse in this field to run more than one beyer over 100.  She's had 4, on 3 different tracks, in different conditions.

I think she'll stalk Big Drama and pass him on the far turn, with Take the Points coming up to snatch 2nd.

Lmaris 15 May 2009 8:44 PM

THIS IS A JOKE!!!!!! I do agree with Andy Beyer in the Washington Post- RA should run because this is one of the worst (as with last year) Preakness fields in the history of the sport, but what is pathetic is that if she does win- this filly will be elevated to 'superstar' status by the people on these boards with limited (or no) knowledge of racing.

I made a large 'gimic' bet online- the Mine The Bird would be off the board- just like I won a huge bet I made in the Derby that FF would be off the board as the favorite.

RA has a great chance to win tomorrow- not because she is a great filly- but because she is running against a joke of a male three year old division.

Amy Skipper 15 May 2009 10:18 PM

There is no reason RA can't win this, eight belles did not break down because she ran in the derby.  Colts break down as well, remember Barbaro no talked about him not running in the preakness.  Anyone remember Prairie Bayou who broke down in the Belmont. I am so tired of all this total extremist attitude. RA has big shoes to fill and as someone pointed out above that if not for Big Brown Eight Belles would have trounced the rest of last years derby field. I also agree that she is not in the same breath as Ruffian,Genuine Risk and Winning colors but that doesn't mean she shouldn't have the right to try and prove her worth. Amy I don't believe the male 3yo div is a joke but it is very average and she is as good as these. Go RA I will be rooting for you.

Rowner 16 May 2009 5:15 AM

It is asking an awful lot of a filly to compete with the boys in the Spring Classics.  . .that is why a filly victory in these races is so rare. Rachel's 13 post position, in my opinion, is not going to help. She has to cope with real speed horses inside of her. Big Drama,Take the Points, and I think Pioneer of the Nile will be in the first flight. I also believe that Freisan Fire will involve himself quite early in the race. This could mean that Rachel gets hung up on the outside. If Calvin chooses the rail early he will lose a great deal of ground in getting over.I don't think the rail will open up for him in this Preakness.

That said , these races take a great deal out of a filly. How many races did Winning Colors win after her Derby victory? What happened to Genuine Risk after her Triple Crown Races?

wista 16 May 2009 10:48 AM

Rachel Alexandra is the best horse in the very weak Preakness Field. She ran a 108 Beyer Speed Figurs in her dominating performaance in the Kentucky Oaks and still she did it with a mere gallop. Mine That Bird ran a 105 Beyer Speed Figure while giving it all he had to win the Derby. The only reason that Mine That Bird even had the opportunity to run in the Derby is because many of the better horses were scratched.  Most of the horses that ran in the Derby have never even been close to running a Beyer Speed Figure over 100.

Rachel Alexandra has every right to be in the Preakness field. I am a huge fan of Ruffian, Winning Colors and Azeri (I even named my youngest daughter after her) and I believe Rachel Alexandra is as good as any of them. Bob Baffert and D wayne Lucas think she is the real deal and they have trained some of the best fillies.

Why is everyone saying that she should not run in the Preakness because it has only been two weeks and that is not enough time? Why do you think that just because she is a filly that she is a weaker horse?

I really hope that she does win and does so just as dominating as she did in the Oaks.

Stacy Householder 16 May 2009 3:24 PM

Everyone always player-hates the fillies, like they have no chance. The reason not so many have won, is because not so many have RUN!  

ANON 16 May 2009 5:19 PM

Guess some of you supposed wrong.  She is every bit as qualified to be listed with Genuine risk (who I loved), and winning colors. She may even be better.  She was fabulous today, and she was not running her best.  Imagine what she will do at her best?  I think she should get horse of the year!!!!

wendyg 17 May 2009 1:20 AM

The Filly RA is laughing at all you doubter's now!!!!!

rowner 17 May 2009 6:39 AM

Life and death to beat a "fluke". I doubt she's laughing.More like laying down in her stall for a couple of days.

MikeM 17 May 2009 10:08 AM

Jeeze MikeM. If She Had Run Off From The Rest f The Field, You Would Have Jumped On The Bandwagon. The Only Reason That You Aren't At This Moment Is Because You Seem To Think That It Was A Fluke. Who Knows, Maybe These Fields Are Some Of The Strongest There Have Ever Been And The Reason That They Appear So Weak Is Because You Have One Or Two Horses That Run Better Than The Others. She Ran A Massive Race On The Front End And You Actually Need To Give Her Some Credit.

Whisperoak 17 May 2009 1:26 PM

She did it! Rachael Alexandra becomes the first filly to win the Preakness since 1924.

So, the question is: can a jockey win a triple crown? Calvin Borel, the jockey of Mine That Bird for the Kentucky Derby victory, made a great call when he decided to ride Rachael Alexandra over Mine That Bird in the Preakness.

Generally, the Belmont is not all that exciting when a Triple Crown is not possible, but this time I think the excitement is mounting. We have a 50-1 shot taking the Derby, and the first filly in 85 years taking the Preakness; both of which have stirred up incredible fan support. Imagine another sport which leaves the choice: the underdog, or the underdog?

Who is my Belmont pick? I say that the filly takes two out of three Triple Crown events, and wins the Belmont by at least one length. So much for a man’s game.

Mr Will

mrwillssports.blogspot.com

Mr Will 18 May 2009 1:26 PM

Whisperoak  I never said it was a weak field and I hardly think MTB is a fluke. In fact my hat is off to RA precisley because she held on to beat a very,very good horse.

My point was that she was all out to beat a horse that many on these blogs etc labeled a fluke.

MikeM 18 May 2009 3:35 PM

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