Chrome Is Ready for More - by Eric Mitchell

Here we go again. Let the questions begin regarding California Chrome’s attempt June 7 to become the first horse since 1978 to sweep the Triple Crown.

The doubts that nipped at the heels of this son of Lucky Pulpit heading into the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) will be back as he faces the “Test of the Champion.” Can he get the distance? Will the 11⁄2-mile Belmont Stakes (gr. I) be the barrier his genes cannot carry him across?

Critics will continue to scrutinize the performance record of Lucky Pulpit, a son of Pulpit who never won beyond 51⁄2 furlongs and never started in a race beyond nine furlongs. Then there is California Chrome’s dam, Love the Chase, who won at a mile but had only that single win in an $8,000 maiden claiming race at Golden Gate Fields.

Family offers insight into what an individual might be, but genetics is funny. NBA great Michael Jordan is six feet, six inches tall while his parents were described in a biography by David Porter as “average height and non-athletic.” Any perceived distance questions related to California Chrome’s actual ability would seem to have been answered by his easy win in the Derby and his equally convincing victory in the Preakness Stakes (gr. I). Does this mean 12 furlongs is within reach?

Similar questions were raised in 2004 when Smarty Jones made his bid for the Triple Crown. Roy and Pat Chapman’s homebred is by miler stallion Elusive Quality, who won at 11⁄16 miles but whose average winning distance was 7.17 furlongs. Elusive Quality’s best races were in the one-mile Poker Handicap (gr. IIIT) and the seven-furlong Jaipur Handicap (gr. IIIT). In addition, Smarty was out of I’ll Get Along, a daughter of 1986 champion sprinter Smile. I’ll Get Along won at a maximum distance of a mile and 70 yards and had an average winning distance of 6.57 furlongs.

Smarty Jones came into the Kentucky Derby undefeated and won by 23⁄4 lengths, then decimated the Preakness field by 111⁄2 lengths. In the Belmont, distance didn’t seem to be the issue with Smarty Jones. He finished a game second by a length to Birdstone, who outkicked him in the final sixteenth of a mile.

The outcome of Smarty’s Belmont was the result of racing luck, not any genetic limitation. Pedigree analyst Avalyn Hunter has observed that Smarty Jones possessed such exceptional balance and athleticism that he outperformed what he otherwise would have appeared incapable of on paper. Smarty also did have some stamina influences not too far back in his pedigree, through second damsire Foolish Pleasure (winner of the 1975 Kentucky Derby and second in the Preakness and Belmont), and third damsire French champion Herbager (winner of the Grand Prix de Saint Cloud at 2,400 meters, about 11⁄2 miles, and the 2,100-meter Prix du Jockey Club, French Derby).

Like Smarty, California Chrome has stamina influences through his female family, which has now produced four Kentucky Derby winners. Love the Chase’s tail-female line traces back to Uncle’s Lassie, the dam of 1929 Derby winner Clyde Van Dusen. Uncle’s Lassie’s daughter Betty Derr is the second dam of Iron Liege, who won the 1957 Derby, and the third dam of Swaps, who won the Derby in 1955.

It is also worth noting that Lucky Pulpit’s distance limitations may not have been genetic but the result of a respiratory infection he had early in his 3-year-old season, according to Hunter’s research.

California Chrome appears to be an outstanding individual who relishes a route of ground and is poised mentally and physically to take on more.

The real question is how he’ll handle the Belmont Park surface. Among the 12 horses that are now being pointed for the final Triple Crown test, six have already performed well at Big Sandy. Samraat and Danza both broke their maidens at first asking at Belmont, while Wicked Strong broke his maiden there in his second start. Tonalist and Commissioner finished one-two, respectively, in the May 10 Peter Pan Stakes (gr. II), and Preakness runner-up Ride On Curlin finished third Oct. 5 in the Foxwoods Champagne Stakes (gr. I) behind Havana and Honor Code.

Trainer Art Sherman didn’t seem too concerned following the Preakness, describing California Chrome as “phenomenal” in the way he keeps stepping up and meeting every challenge. Despite the new track and the added distance, he expressed every confidence the colt will continue to excel.

“I think when we get to Belmont this horse is going to run big,” Sherman said after the Preakness. “I really do.”
We do, too.

40 Comments

Leave a Comment:

BelmontBarb

"The Chrome" is a very special and spirited colt and with ease glides across these tracks surfaces like he's been there before.  Belmont is as others quite different - the track is a sandy type grade and somewhat unusual to a horse that has not been across it before - but that's the case as we go to most other tracks and this colt has adjusted quickly and used his ability and talent to overcome those changes adapting to his surroundings in a magical and mystical way so it seems.  Does not seem to be any excuses here for him and the "media" certainly has lost its job on this trail of the Triple Crown because "The Chrome" has taken it on ~ and he will continue to do so.  I can't imagine he is going to give up his CEO title now.  What a horse ~ What a fantastic ride ~ What a ride he is taking us on - what heart and courage - something the critics have less of - they could learn a lot here.  Seems Bob Baffert even had to cheer him on and how cool is that! Go Chrome!

20 May 2014 9:52 AM
Deltalady

Agree with BelmontBarb.  Junior is showing us once more what it was like to race in those thrilling days of yesteryear, when horses routinely ran on a week's rest, when they traveled all over the country (a la John Henry, Round Table, et al), and they ran on turf and dirt, transferring their form to either surface when called on to do so.  It didn't seem to matter what the surface, they got the job done.  While I truly do believe he is a "throwback" and is sound, I'm still crossing my fingers that Chrome stays healthy.  His strong foundation and his being in training since early in his two year old season seems to have toughened him up and made him less susceptible to the rigors of the game. As we have seen, every leading horse that was on the Derby Trail in January has been sidelined because of injury, albeit most have been minor in nature and will not prevent them from competing down the road, still, to do what Junior has done, and making it look so easy, is worthy of note and admiration. He is taking us on a ride of a lifetime...most of us weren't around to watch the thrills of Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed, but we have been given the gift of California Chrome, and I intend to savor every exciting minute of the journey. Win or lose, he's the real deal and is giving the sport a much-needed shot in the arm, drowning out the naysayers and harpies who keep insisting that horseracing is a dying sport.  If this experience with California Chrome has taught us anything, it is that there is a pent up demand for the best that the sport still has to deliver. Those in leadership need to take note:  Use this opportunity to get the American sport realigned with the rest of the world.  Fix what's wrong and stop fighting intra-jurisdictionally. GO CHROME! GO JUNIOR!!

20 May 2014 11:02 AM
Pedigree Ann

Even if you weren't around back then, in your position you should know that before the 1990s, not all sprint champions were distance-limited. Dr. Fager and Forego were named champion sprinter, even though they won races at 10f and 2 miles, respectively, in the same season. Precisionist won the 10f Charles H. Strub S in the same season as he won the BC Sprint and the title.

Smile at 3 won the G1 Arlington Classic at 9f and was placed in the G1 American Derby at 10f (on turf, I believe). He was not limited to sprint distances - he went in the Sprint because he was unlikely to do well in the BC Classic (was not a G1 type two-turn horse at 4), the only two options open to him. The Dirt Mile might have suited him best, but he didn't have the option.

20 May 2014 11:47 AM
Bloodline Bob

This is how I know that CC will win the TC. In 1978, I bet ALYDAR all 3 times against AFFIRMED and we had a Triple Crown winner. Well, I've bet RIDE ON CURLIN in the Ky. Derby + Preakness so far + I'm betting him again in the Belmont on June 7, 2014.

20 May 2014 12:08 PM
qhorsenuts

I have to agree with DeltaLady "His strong foundation and his being in training since early in his two year old season seems to have toughened him up and made him less susceptible to the rigors of the game."  I think Art Sherman's old school approach to Chrome's success has been key.  I hope he gets the most of this 3 week rest, but I'm anxious to see and hear how he works on "The Big Sandy".  I'm glad Victor is his jockey and his experience in this triple crown situation can only help Chrome.  

CALIFORNIA CHROME ALL THE WAY!

20 May 2014 12:19 PM
WayneAnthony

While I respect genetics, I have come to realize that when it comes to athletes performance, equines or humans, it has no place. Am sure that they are sundry thoroughbreds over the years that have out ran their pedigree short comings, due to their undenying talent and ability to compete. California Chrome is no exception. He has matured from being just competing, to becoming a formidable competitor. Anyone who doubts this, does not understand the competitive resolve of a true champion coming of age right before our very eyes.

20 May 2014 12:20 PM
food fight

Look i would love to see another triple crown winner but i think 3 races in 5 weeks and never run over the big sandy are tall orders for this very talented colt. Then there are the rested and able competition in the likes of Tonalist, Commissioner,Danza,Samraat,of this group i really like Commissioner i think he will love the distance and there is enough quality in the field to soften up CC and let Commissioner roll down the lane.So i will be all in on Commish to win and CC Danza Tonalist Wicked Strong for second.Ride on Curlin 3rd and 4th in supers.    

20 May 2014 12:34 PM
Cassandra.Says

Good for Avalyn Hunter; she has some journalist genes.

I too went looking for a spoiler in Lucky Pulpit's race record, reading all his charts sequentially from his first start forward.

His maiden win, in July at Holly Park, was brilliant. He wired his field at 5.5f on turf in 21.81, 22,17, 12.34, out in 6.61. Holding on well after those fractions puts a youngster on the Triple Crown watchlists.

In his next, and third, start he fought off some pressure and came back from the gallop out with a chart notation "bled mouth." His subsequent history suggests that it was "bled lungs" and massively, through lasix, to be visible from the stands immediately post race.

Seven weeks later he started in the G2 Norfolk stakes where he seemed to belong. He ran a half in mid-pack and stopped to last, beating only two horses that were eased. His next and final win was two years later in a "stakes" minimally qualified for black type, with a smaller purse than his maiden win.

Before I went looking I had posted "The race record is not the horse. There are Danzigs out there." A race horse has no spare parts and can be compromised, as Uncle Mo showed us, by something as remote as poor liver function. A horse with a single fatal flaw can outbreed itself. Lucky Pulpit has done that.

20 May 2014 5:08 PM
iceman92

will any of Chromes competition be wearing nasal strips for the Belmont?

20 May 2014 7:24 PM
Needler in Virginia

OK, while I'm a huge believer in the genetics of every living thing, there can be no argument that freaky things happen when a momma and papa get together. Does anyone remember that a Bold Ruler could NEVER get the Derby distance?? So how did THAT theory work out for the Secretariat nay-sayers? And I'm NOT saying CC is Secretariat; I'm just sayin' that until we see what he can do at Big Sandy, we shouldn't get our knickers in a twist just yet. The truth is, we have no idea how well CC is going to manage the distance, but we can damned sure hope he does what we're dreaming about.

No way I'm counting him out. Ever since I first saw him run he's made the hair on the back of my neck stand up and that hasn't happened in ages. His turn of foot, his amazing ability to get those lead changes quickly (and almost invisibly), his ability to rate and manage new situations all speak of a horse well beyond his age in sense and maturity. All those things speak of a true race horse with a great deal of talent. His owners, trainers, groom, exercise rider and jockey have done all things right with CC, and show no signs of changing things. We just might be watching a stone miracle here; I for one am loving the ride we're taking with California Chrome.

Cheers and very safe trips to Junior and Company.

20 May 2014 9:49 PM
Geronimo2123

There have been sprint champions in the past couple of decades that could carry their speed. Hard Spun and Big Drama come to mind. Hard Spun won a gr 1 sprint and was voted top sprinter of 2007, even though he won up to 9f and was a multiple placed at classic distances. Big Drama won at 8.5f, twice, and was beaten by a head at 9f in the WV Derby and finished in front of mine that bird. Tale of the Cat from about a decade before that was one who won at 2 turns and sprints and was placed at 9f. I loved Dr. Fager. Good post Pedigree Ann

20 May 2014 10:29 PM
sceptre

What Mr. Mitchell stated, and implied, about Smile is correct. Smile has also proven to be a speed influence. I can't however, agree with Ms. Hunter's assessment of Smarty Jones' physique. I don't (didn't) see exceptional balance and athleticism in him. Rather he was (is) a somewhat sprinterish appearing, a bit short-legged type.

20 May 2014 11:28 PM
sceptre

Belmont field is shaping up to be very weak. If Candy Boy is right, hope that Sadler reconsiders and sends him to Belmont.

20 May 2014 11:34 PM
Valiant King

As a twelve year old I thought Spectacular Bid was a lock to win the Belmont and the Triple Crown.  Just as Affirmed and Seattle Slew had the previous two years.  But we are still waiting. I'm 46 now and cannot believe it.  They will gang up on him, more so than the Preakness. But with his push button ability and Victor's knowledge, the chance is very good he will do it.

21 May 2014 4:23 AM
Pedigree Ann

Cassandra - Lucky Pulpit ran well with very good horses in the fall of his 2yo year and into the early part of his 3yo year. He ran Castledale to a head in the 8f G3 Generous S on turf; Castledale went on to win the Santa Anita Derby. He ran second in the Santa Catalina (G2, now the Lewis), defeating Master David, who was well fancied in the Derby after a close second in the Wood Memorial. He was not just a sprinter, as so many have tried to imply. Something went seriously wrong with the horse after the Santa Catalina and he was never the same; probably his wind affected, so that he could only sprint.

The same complaint applies to Smile, the damsire of Smarty Jones. Smile won a G1 at 9f at 3, for Akotosh's sake. Forego was champion sprinter the same year he won the REAL JC Gold Cup at 2 miles; Precisionist was champion sprinter the same year as he won a G1 at 10f. Just saying Smile (or Gulch) was a champion sprinter and not noting their other accomplishments (Gulch won the Met Mile twice, 2nd in the Woodward, 3rd in the Belmont) is misleading.

21 May 2014 6:22 AM
Pedigree Ann

Eric - Chrome has run well on Poly Track, Cushion Track, Santa Anita's speed favoring track, Churchill's frequently cuppy dirt full of clay, and Pimlico's rain-affected dirt. He doesn't need to take his track with him. He barely touches the surface before his foot leaves it again, anyway. Quite efficient racing stride.

21 May 2014 6:29 AM
Lise from Maine

Hi!

Good luck to California Chrome and his team!

He is a special horse, and he will make every effort to win.

Hopefully he doesn't get injured and drops out.

This horse racing industry needs this win as I see it as a dying profession, and I have only been interested in horse racing since Barbaro won the Kentucky Derby in 2006.

Love to California Chrome and his team.

Thank you!

Lise from Maine

21 May 2014 8:46 AM
Your Only Friend

Can he get the distance......who knows.....but like they say... no one else has run that far either.....time will tell....

21 May 2014 9:15 AM
Zengal

I am probably the only one on this planet that is not on the Chrome bandwagon.  Sorry, do not call me a hater because of this.  I have been watching the triple crown for 47 years now and I have seen plenty of great horses run (via tv of course).  I have read a lot too.  I am for Ride on Curlin.  This little horse ran one gutsy race in the preakness.  Like his sire he has placed in most of of his races.  He hasn't won the big one yet, but neither did Palace Malice untill the Belmont.  I know ROC is not as well bred as Malice, but I have faith in him.  ROC doesn't have a shabby pedigree either.  I know I will probablt get a lot of negative comments over this, but what I speak is true, if you look further in most horses pedigree you will find many of great horses.  What will happen in the Belmont is anyones guess.  Remember Smarty Jones?  I hope for a day horses will not race on any meds including Bute and Lasix.  I remember a day when no horses were allowed any bute or lasix, that was like over 15 years ago.

21 May 2014 9:37 AM
TK Lawless

And, to echo Pedigree Ann....Precisionist was a pretty damn good route horse in his day as well, even though he was named Champion Sprinter off his Breeder's Cup win. He won the Swaps & Strub Stakes back when those races were still contested at 1 1/4 miles. Here's hoping Art (& Alan) Sherman stick to their stated plan and aren't tempted to drill & overtrain (ala Van Berg with Alysheba) CC in an effort to "help him get the distance' ... The 'El Gran Senor' Horatio Luro, should be heeded ... "Don't squeeze the lemon dry"!

21 May 2014 10:19 AM
Where You From?

Ladies and gentlemen, the nasal strips are a non-factor. The only reason it has become an issue is because the press has to have something to write about. Did anyone even think that Belmont was going to let CC walk away because of a band-aid over the colts schnoz?

I'll tell you the major player missing from this race, and CC's dance with becoming a legend....Untappable. The filly is Cali's only true competition. I'd love to see them square off.

You?

21 May 2014 11:26 AM
Cassandra.Says

Wayne, Wayne, Wayne . . . how can you think "genetics" has nothing to do with character? Temperament, competitiveness, courage, however you want to cast it, is more notably heritable than most other characteristics.

Even to the specifics: Northern Dancer's sons were emphatically and dramatically NOT whip horses, like Dad; Ribot was a savage, and passed it on; ditto many in the Hail to Reason line, currently represented by the last Dynaformers. You don't see inherited temperament in the Tapits? Watch them a while; I think it will strike you.

21 May 2014 1:39 PM
Cassandra.Says

Bold Ruler sired quite a few horses able to get classic distances once Phipps discovered Princequillo mares. Prior to that the concentration of classic winning mares in Bold Ruler's book went mostly in vain. Bold Ruler had the most unbelievable books ever, champion mares from around the world.

21 May 2014 1:48 PM
themailmansson

Maybe michel jordan is the mail man's son (hehehehehe)

21 May 2014 1:54 PM
Soldier Course

Food Fight

Tall orders? What about Afleet Alex? He ran in all three Triple Crown races, had clipped heals and went to his knees in the Preakness, and still won the Belmont Stakes. Now that's a tall order. If he did that, then California Chrome can do it too. Accentuate the positive. Time to send good thoughts out into the ether.

21 May 2014 3:51 PM
sceptre

Cassandra Says:

Sorry, but you're wrong. Bold Ruler was bred to countless *Princequillo mares, but only a small few showed any aptitude for classic distances.

Also re-other posters:

It's rather absurd to classify Smile similarly to a grouping of Forego, Dr. Fager, and Precisionist. The latter three demonstrated far more distance aptitude than did Smile. Actually, Forego belongs in another group altogether. And, back in that day Arlington Park was quite speed favoring-not a good yardstick from which to judge inherent stamina.    

21 May 2014 4:56 PM
Cassandra.Says

"Cassandra - Lucky Pulpit ran well with very good horses in the fall of his 2yo year and into the early part of his 3yo year. He ran Castledale to a head in the 8f G3 Generous S on turf; Castledale went on to win the Santa Anita Derby. He ran second in the Santa Catalina (G2, now the Lewis), defeating Master David, who was well fancied in the Derby after a close second in the Wood Memorial." [Pedigree Ann]

In the post you referenced, I said I had read every one of Lucky Pulpit's charts. We do not interpret them the same way.

BTW, Lucky Pulpit did not "run Castledale to a head in the Generous." You're reading the pp preview wrong. Dealer Choice was second by a nose to Castledale with Lucky Pulpit two lengths back in third after having led in the stretch. He also led into the stretch in the Catalina before finishing second. In the Santa Anita Derby, Lucky Pulpit was also in the field; he set the pace until Castledale blew by him and he stopped to last.

One of the tells in the racing decline of a bleeder is consistently losing ground late.

You seem to be saying that a bleeder can't race at all. Think of your history. Many of the old time greats were notorious bleeders. More recently we saw the shameful deterioration of wonderful La Prevoyante, who took quite a few votes from Secretariat for Horse of the Year in her 12/12 two-year-old season.

We know for sure the last time La Prevoyante bled. At the end of her four-year-old year she collapsed on the track and bled out from a ruptured lung. Do you really think that was the first time? How then to explain her  two-year decline in class and stamina?

Bottom line: I think Lucky Pulpit went wrong well before the Santa Catalina, and his subsequent races demonstrate a distinct pattern. Bleeding is progressive. Each time it happens there are more weakened blood vessels and scar tissue.

I think "ran well with good horses" is damned with faint praise. From his earliest races, we might have expected more than that.

21 May 2014 6:20 PM
Ranagulzion

California Chrome is evidently just too good for the 3YO compettion right now. He is fast, thrives on racing and relishes a distance of round. Its going to be jubilation on Belmont Stakes day when the 36 years Triple Crown drought is broken ...the writing is on the wall folks. Believe it!!!

22 May 2014 1:02 AM
Cassandra.Says

"Sorry, but you're wrong. Bold Ruler was bred to countless *Princequillo mares, but only a small few showed any aptitude for classic distances." [Sceptre]

"Countless?" "Small few?" [And btw, what does "small few" modify?] It takes about 40 seconds to find out that Bold Ruler sired 34 named foals from Princequillo mares. If you don't care enough to look it up, or check out other facts, why post?

These foals broke almost 2 to 1 fillies to colts, meaning the PQ grand-daughters had limited chances to show their stuff beyond a mile, and also that their broodmare value was so high they were shipped back to the farm at any sign of trouble.

Misty Morn, e.g., had two Bold Ruler colts and four fillies. The colts were both champion 2-year-olds and Successor stayed. Bold Lad was effective up to a mile. The four fillies won two races among them. It's not impossible that this reflected a chance distribution of ability, but more likely it goes to the old saying "You can't just wave your pedigree at them." You can in the sales ring.

Your post not only does not address what I said, but it is meaningless. Since Bold Ruler sired only a handful of stayers in total, 100% of them could be by Princequillo without contradicting what you say.

22 May 2014 4:53 PM
Cassandra.Says

"Does anyone remember that a Bold Ruler could NEVER get the Derby distance??"

No, nobody remembers that. Lots of people make it up, though. It's a lot easier to win an argument if you get to write the script for your imaginary opponent.

Bold Ruler sired the filly Lamb Chop in his first crop and she won the Coaching Club American Oaks at 10f, in 2:02 4/5, on her way to the three year old filly championship.

22 May 2014 5:06 PM
Pedigree Ann

Well, many years we don't have anything more than good horses around, nice horses, maybe very nice horses. Excellent horses seem to come around in bunches, and the greats, too (Buckpasser, Damascus, Dr. Fager racing together; Secretariat and Forego in the same crop). So some years, you have to make do with good. But certainly, Lucky Pulpit had more in him than he was able to show. That happens to more horses than we know and could be how an unconsidered stallion (or mare) sometimes jumps up with an outstanding runner. Carry Back is the poster boy. But don't forget Kip Deville, Best Pal, Little Mike, etc.

23 May 2014 6:28 AM
GiddyUpBoyWhoa

Maybe Chrome is just out running his pedigree. Whatever, the Belmont looks to be his race to lose. If he shows up, runs like he has been, Victor continues to keep him well placed and out of trouble, and Chrome fires, its all over. We'll finally have a triple crown winner. I thought the Preakness was California Chromes best race yet, and he did not look fully extended to me.

23 May 2014 3:15 PM
sceptre

Cassandra Says:

You actually proved my point in your rant. 34 named foals out of *Princequillo mares is quite a lot (fairly synonymous with "countless" in terms of horse breeding numbers wouldn't you say?). And very, very few won at classic distances--I didn't hear you cite more than a slight few! Not though, the "quite a few" which was your point. So, my point was that *Princequillo mares with Bold Ruler didn't make much (if at all) a difference relative to Bold Ruler's ability to sire distance oriented runners. Your rant has no logic/no meaning, and I'd suggest that, in the future, you do the research before posting unfounded observations.  

23 May 2014 3:24 PM
sceptre

Cassandra Says:

Before you utter more nonsense; please tell us who were the "quite a few" classic oriented Bold Ruler horses that Mrs. Phipps bred (out of *Princequillo mares) "once she discovered Princequillo mares?"

You should have read more carefully my original post (to you). Yes, Bold Ruler did sire some classic distance types--but that's not what I was addressing. BTW: Lamb Chop and Gamely were not out of *Princequillo mares. And as an aside--I lived (real time) through Bold Ruler's entire stud career...Your last post addresses nothing.

23 May 2014 3:50 PM
Scott's Rail

Great insights and as usual Steve is point on.  The only thing that will GET CC beat is jockey errow.   We have been down this stretch before...Alysheba, Real Quiet and a few more.  Foolish confidence is detrimental, quiet assurance, sublime....:

23 May 2014 9:01 PM
Draynay

How many times has a horse won the Triple Crown facing 10 horses or more at Belmont ?

24 May 2014 9:08 PM
Signal

I beleive Chrome can do it all along,

but now we have johny come lately expert

predicted he will win the belmont, it could

be the jinks he does not need right now.

25 May 2014 6:31 PM
moonrise

Quoting Needler in Virginia:

"Ever since I first saw him run he's made the hair on the back of my neck stand up and that hasn't happened in ages."

^THIS exactly.

I've read about his sire and his dam and his chances and his detractors and listened closely to his trainer and riders. BUT this is what makes me believe that a Triple Crown winner is possible. I know it's not scientific, I know it's not practical, but it's been reliable...I was around for Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed. They made me feel this exact same way.

Even if he doesn't win the Triple Crown, he's a great horse and he's done wonderful things for the horse and the sport. I think he can do it! Go Junior!

30 May 2014 12:15 PM
Cassandra.Says

I'm such a sucker! Here's the data, not exhaustively researched.

The champions who stayed, in no particular order:

SECRETARIAT (Somethingroyal x **PQ), BOLD BIDDER (High Bid x To Market ex Stepping Stone x **PQ), LAMB CHOP (Sheepsfoot x Count Fleet), GAMELY (Gambetta x My Babu), WAJIMA (Iskra x Le Haar), SUCCESSOR, 2 y.o. champion, SW at 13f (Misty Morn x **PQ.

Not far behind: BOLD HOUR (Seven Thirty x Mr. Music), BATTEUR, EAC 10f T (Bayou x Hill Prince, son of **PQ), STUPENDOUS, classic-placed (Magneto x Ambiorix), BEAUTIFUL DAY, classic-placed (Misty Morn x **PQ), DEWAN (Sunshine Nell x Sun Again), TOP COMMAND (Polly Girl x Prince Bio, paternal 1/2 brother to **PQ), SYRIAN SEA, classic-placed CCAO (Somethingroyal x **PQ), TERENTIA, multiple classic-placed .

Judgement calls. These horses seem to me to have shown they had stamina but weren't top drawer, usually due to unsoundness.

BOLDNESIAN, won 4 of 5 starts including S.A. Derby and broke down,(Alanesian x Polynesian). KEY TO THE KINGDOM, only stakes performance was 1st Stymie H. at 9f, 1/5 off American record, beating solid G1/G2 handicapper Arbees Boy. Something wrong with this colt but it doesn't look like it was stamina.(Key Bridge x **PQ). PLUCKY PAN, 2nd Delaware H. @ 10f (Pucker Up x Olympia).

Doesn't make cut: Might (Sicarelle x Sicambre, also a Prince Rose-line stallion), not quite good enough, not quit far enough. Bold Lad (US), brilliant 2-y-o champion (Misty Morn x PQ), broke down in Derby, won Met Mile under 132 and off that I'd bet him to go farther, but he didn't actually DO it, so . . .    

04 Jun 2014 5:49 AM
Cassandra.Says

Bottom line: Princequillo daughters produced 9% of Bold Ruler foals but 31% of his stayers. Another was produced by a mare by a Princequillo son, another by a mare out of a Princequillo daughter. That's Princequillo up close on the dam's side of 41% of Bold Ruler's stayers. And Princequillo's sire Prince Rose appears once more through a different son, Prince Bio, to make his presence felt in 50% of Bold Ruler's stayers.

04 Jun 2014 8:53 AM

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