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Keeneland January: Final Thoughts

The Keeneland January horses of all ages auction is not a sale regarded as a trend-setter or a barometer of the commercial marketplace. Traditionally, it is an auction of mostly odds and ends, and most people don't point horses specifically for it. They sell there because they need the money or a horse wasn't ready for another auction. The catalog can vary widely in quality from year to year.

Nevertheless, the results reaffirmed those from late last year, which showed the market has taken a huge hit from the global financial crisis. Some people argue that owners are holding back their best horses - and there is plenty of evidence that that is the case -- but the results have been consistent, with drops in the 40%-50% range at all levels of the market.

This year's January sale had some interesting offerings - Horse of the Year Azeri, a white yearling colt, and a palomino 2-year-old filly - that spiced up the proceedings.

The buy-back of Azeri, at $4.4 million, wasn't a big surprise because Michael Paulson had set a world Thoroughbred auction record at Keeneland last September when he bought back her first foal, Vallenzeri, for $7.7 million. Owners have a right to do this under the rules of Thoroughbred sales, but these actions will make the future marketing attempts involving Azeri and her family much more difficult. Azeri attracted a crowd of onlookers, but there was little electricity. Most prospective buyers behaved more like spectators than intense bidders, and Vallenzeri's buy-back, no doubt, contributed to that.

As a reporter, I'm not really looking forward to Vallenzeri's appearance at the Keeneland April sale of 2-year-olds in training because of the possibility of a big build-up and another no sale result. I wish Michael Paulson (the trust that actually owns the horses, and the bank that considers the horses collateral for loans) would either set no reserve or a very reasonable one, let it be widely known, and then stick to it. Unfortunately for Azeri and Vallenzeri, they probably now will no longer be able to command the prices they deserve to bring because of the uncertainty about the owner's willingness to sell.

White Prince, the white yearling, sold for $60,000, but credit problems were later found, according to Keeneland, and the colt was returned to his breeder. Indications were that there was some confusion on the part of the bidder in thinking the price was $6,000, not $60,000, and credit hadn't been established at the latter price's level. The palomino, Splash of Vanilla, attracted a $14,000 bid and will go in a racing stable.

There were complaints from onlookers that these unusually colored horses were able to sell for good prices, even though their bloodlines weren't strong, while other horses with better pedigrees and of more common colors were overlooked by bidders. In such hard times, it looked frivolous. But, in my opinion, it gave some dreary sessions a little boost, and if those horses race it will be fun to see them at the racetrack. The palomino wasn't a bad-looking individual even though her pedigree was lacking in black-type, and the co-breeder said the reason he brought her to Keeneland was because he thought she looked athletic. A little frivolity isn't a bad thing, once in a while, when the mood is so grim.

What do you think about white and palomino horses? Are they good things or are they a waste of time for racing and sales? What about Azeri and her offspring? How should they be marketed now? And what do you think they are worth?

14 Comments:

I think that unusual horses are a good thing.  They are not an everyday occurance in racing.    I think in some ways this is a good way for colored breeders to break into the racing scene, as most of them breed breed for show prospects. Also this way you're not only buying for the pedigree itself.  Pedigree is important but it doesn't make a racehorse.  Look at Seabiscuit, they thought he was a blue-collared boy and he won some huge races, even won against a tripe crown winner.  Selling Azeri is just a publicity stunt I feel.  If he really wanted to get rid of the horse, he would have sold her.  

Abbey 22 Jan 2009 12:03 PM

Do breeder's complain when a very athletic looking horse with weaker bloodlines sells for a good price? Who cares if people buy for color. It's their money. If the colorful horses weren't there, that doesn't mean they would have spent their money on other horses. Really, they're registered thoroughbreds selling at a thoroughbred auction, so get over it. Just my opinion.

Tiznowbaby 22 Jan 2009 12:04 PM

I'm not a fan of breeding for color but the market determines the value of the horse.

I agree with you completely regarding Azeri and her offspring regarding announced reserves.  They're going to be a hard sell now!

JA 22 Jan 2009 12:07 PM

You would love to sell a white or palomino horse for the prices that were paid for rather weak pedigrees.  You keep hearing that this sale was a buyers dream but I could not believe  the  amount of mares that were just not commercial quality. For example, one mare had 6 foals, two to race, no winners, not mated with a feed tub by water bucket pedigree. No Bid!!  Just give her away if she can be a riding horse.  Deidre, this sale is almost as bad as the Fasig-Tipton Maryland sale in December.  The key question is what to do with these unwanted mares, some in foal, and why are these horses still being bred?

Thor 22 Jan 2009 12:11 PM

 I would think that the White Prince and Splash of Vanilla would be a novilty attraction as you indicated. Who knows maybe they can make it at the races only time will tell. At least they gave the people at the auction something different to look at.

 As for Azeri and her son Paulson and his banks need to realize that they are not going to get the kind of money for those horses they would have gotten a year or more ago. Azeri is one of a kind and definitely worth a huge price. In todays economy she's not going to bring it. So keep her. As for Vellenzeri he needs to race and prove he can rate with the best of the two year olds. Just because he has pedigree doesn't mean he can run. Just look at the Green Monkey, who would want to take a chance for huge bucs and get something like that.

DONNA 22 Jan 2009 12:34 PM

I agree with you on the buy-back of Azeri. I'm not sure what he thinks she's worth, I guess it's more than 4.4 mil. It will be quite a circus with the 2 yr old. Shades of The Green Monkey?

As far as the "horse of a different color" they are TB's in a TB sale so why not? There's lots of junk out there so if someone wants to pay more than they are worth,who's to say they are not worth that?  Bottom line is the guy signing the sales ticket thought so.

Wanda 22 Jan 2009 12:35 PM

As an owner/trainer, I'm delighted to see my competing buyers dazzled into bidding on a novelty. It's just that much less money I have to work against. I don't know of any statistical research that has been able to correlate color with performance, so I don't consider it in my appraisals. The saga of Azeri is but another "colorful" chapter in the history of thoroughbred racing. The horse's management may well bear justified cricism, but the wealthy patrons of the turf can make decisiions that the rest of never could, and I wouldn't want to change that. Do you really want to see the racing business become a cold, emotionless series of transactions?

jay nehf 22 Jan 2009 12:54 PM

The big farms and companies can say and complain all they want. If an operations sees something they like, then they should go get it for the reasons they want.

That is the beauty of this sport. Not everyone is in it purely for dollars, people actually like novelties and the life style, thus buy horses for bread and butter races, not just the graded stakes.

I bet the company that purchased the palomino will now receive a lot of fan support, free advertising by being mentioned with a horse who has a unique trait, and we will see how well the horse runs...because it is going to race.

aspradling 22 Jan 2009 12:56 PM

Candy Spots was "spotted" and he won the Preakness stakes!!!!I don't think his spots hindered his racing ability.

goodtimes 22 Jan 2009 3:18 PM

Very thougt provoking article. Thanks.

The Tetrarch and Mumtaz Mahal were very unusual colours and it did not stop them being very fast and having a great influence on the breed over here in the UK!  So who knows what The White Prince and Splash of Vanilla may or may not achieve.  Whether they achieve much or little they had every right to be at the sale!

As for Azeri and Valenzerri well it is hard to be confident that you would be allowed to buy them isn't it? I doubt that Allen Paulson would have been behaving like this!!!!!  Either Michael Paulson wants to sell them or he does not.  He wants to make his mind up.  From all i read of his comments vaccillating is the word!!!!  I would not want to sell either of them so can sympathise with him, but it is unfair to offer them for sale and then snatch them back so to speak!

God Bless

Best Wishes

Abbie

Abbie Knowles 22 Jan 2009 8:07 PM

Well, owning one of the foundation palomino stallions, Glitter Please, I am quite please to see these colored horses being presented.  I hope I am alive to watch the first palomino or cremello go past the finish line.  History will make a mark.

If these colored horses take the lead, I bet the others maybe a bit apprehensive to pass!

Gigi Nutter 22 Jan 2009 10:14 PM

Our horses get a little jumpy seeing Paints-can't even imagine what they would think of Palomino and White!  

There were solid mares to be had in this sale.  There were also mares that should be lawn ornaments.  I do not know the "requirements" for getting in to this sale, other than being a Thoroughbred, but it seems that some of these mares and their resulting off-spring should NOT have been in the sale.  

We breed to race, not to sell.  Our mares may not be "commercial", but they produce usable foals.  Maybe some of these foals on the sale will be usable, but it sure seems as though they bred these "common" mares to "uncommon" stallions because they had the money to do so.  Just because you can doesn't mean you should.

Dreamer's Mom 23 Jan 2009 9:58 PM

Why wouldn't a person bid on the Paulson horses if offered? People race their horses to win, who knows, they may be the lucky bid.

It seems though that Paulson loves those horses maybe more because of their connection to his father. The businessman in him says they must go, but maybe his heart cannot accept it. That's a good thing. If he has to sell, he needs to sell them privately where he can stay connected. He has a baseline value in today's market for them. Hand pick the buyer(s). If her colt is a contender, watch her price go up higher. Better Than Honor sold for $14 million last fall as a proven producer of extraordinary off-spring.

Color, I read where White Prince's brother just won so that makes most of the colt's dam's off-spring winners. Likely this colt will be a winner too, given opportunity.

As to the $6,000 vs $60,000 nonsense--that sounds like a lame excuse unless that $60,000 bid was the only bid placed by Whitman. What about the competing bidders? What happened to them?

newsline2 25 Jan 2009 6:21 AM

I would appreciate someone explaining the "buyback" in an auction. I understand the reserve price issue, but if there are bids or a horse is bought back, does the consignor pay a full commission on the highest bid? Partial commission? Is there any cost at all to a "buyback"?

Don McDougall 04 Feb 2009 2:30 PM

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