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Pope: Reward Horses that Generate the Most Handle with Higher Purses

28 Comments

Protecting Uncle Mo

By Fred A. Pope

Our 2-year-old champion colt, Uncle Mo, is in good hands. His trainer, Todd Pletcher, is one of the best. His owner, Mike Repole, is a successful businessman committed to the sport.

In marketing terms, Uncle Mo is a brand. Based upon the success his owner Mike Repole had with Vitaminwater, few people know better how to develop, promote and protect a brand. But it is hard to protect the brand that is Uncle Mo in Thoroughbred racing.

In the real world if Mike Repole’s former brand, Vitaminwater, was on the shelf of a grocery store and the store owner said to him, “I will not pay you based upon the sales of your brand, instead I’m going to pool the sales of all drinks and pay that money out later as I see fit."

If that had happened, Repole might have said, “Pay me for the sales of my brand, or you won’t get my brand."

That seems reasonable. If the store knows the amount of Vitaminwater sold, why not pay Repole for the sales it generated? Actually, they did know and they did pay him for the revenue his brand generated. That’s how the real world works.

It is hard to protect the brand that is Uncle Mo in Thoroughbred racing. Although host tracks know how much money a race generates in minutes, the talent in the race is not paid their share of that revenue. Instead the money goes into a purse account pool, for other racehorse owners, in other races, at some time in the future. That might work in a commune, but not the real world.

My business is marketing, where the variables we work with are: product, price, distribution and communications. New technology is impacting these elements to introduce new brands and re-vitalize old brands.

The issue of how we compensate our talent has intrigued me for years, as our sport is the only one capable of directly connecting the talent in a sporting event to the wagering revenue generated. Currently there is no connection. I believe new technology in the distribution of racing, can give us a real world model for compensating our talent, and change how we package racing products for horseplayers and fans.

These changes will allow us to protect Uncle Mo and other brands in racing.

Currently, the racing secretary uses the racehorse owners’ purse account to assign set purses for races. If the wagering revenue on a race is greater than the set purse, the extra money goes into the purse account for future races. If the wagering revenue is less than the set purse, the purse account gets reduced.

Why not let the owners of the “brands” take the purse risk in each race?

Here’s how it can work. The racing secretary puts the race conditions together for a race. After the race is over and the wagering revenue known, the top finishers split the purse portion. If the race generates a lot of wagering, they split a big purse (and the track operator gets an equal share). If the race was not popular with horseplayers, the top finishers get less.

Everything is clean. The talent is paid for the value of their performance. After the race is over, the purse account is zero. Next race.

This isn’t about redistributing money in the existing pie. This is about changes needed to grow the revenue pie and the sport.

Changing the Incentive
Today, the incentive in racing is to duck competition. With set purse amounts, you can make good money avoiding competition, even in graded stakes. That’s why we have Grade 1 races with 5 horse fields. The result is a noncompetitive race that few people come out to see and few people wager on it. Such a race might generate less wagering revenue than a $5,000 claiming race with a full field.

Racing’s customers and fans are turning their backs on what our sport says are the best races, because the incentive in racing is for owners/trainers to avoid competition. That needs to change.

We need the incentive in racing to where owners/trainers enter races with full fields of competitive horses because that is where they are going to win the highest purse money.

Think about that. Good racing products for horseplayers and fans would generate good purse money. Bad racing products would lose in the marketplace and stop being presented. That’s the way the real world works.

Everybody knows there are too many races being packaged. This is the right basis for thinning the herd. There are many problems in racing. Most are about money and fall under two main categories: Integrity of the Sport and Integrity of the Wager.

The integrity of the sport is not only impacted when participants cheat in a race. The wink and nod cheating when bad races are written to benefit owners/trainers and those races are presented to the betting public also impact it. What makes a bad/good race? Some would say a race you can easily figure out is a good race, however, most would say just the opposite. The more competitive the race, the better the race for horseplayers and fans.

There is something appealing about finding out who has the best horse, football team, etc. It is so appealing that people will bet billions of dollars this weekend. NFL coaches and the talent will hype their game to increase viewership. What would they do if they got a share of the gambling on their game? Exactly.

This year the NFL and NBA will try to change the compensation model for the talent in their sports. Why not just keep doing what they have been doing? Obviously, what was working years ago isn’t working for one side today. They will go through the costly process of changing the compensation model, because they believe the changing business makes it necessary.

Maybe, just maybe, the system we have been using for compensating our talent in racing has become a problem, a big problem. This year, if things go well, Uncle Mo’s races could have total wagering handle of more than $200 million. With average takeout of twenty percent, the wagering revenue generated by Uncle Mo’s races, $40 million, will go somewhere else.

Of that $40 million, about $10 million (5% of the $200 million wagered) will go to the host tracks where the races are held and be split between track operators and future purses. The remaining $30 million (15% of the total wagered) will go to those simply taking bets on Uncle Mo’s races. Why?

Why can’t the top finishers in Uncle Mo’s races receive the $20 million in purses due from wagering on their races? Our stars need to be compensated for the revenue they generate. That’s how the real world works.

Racing’s welfare system is not working for those putting on the show, thus it is not working for Uncle Mo, and the other brands in the sport. Racing needs the same distribution model as the Apple brand, where Apple sells customers direct, through bricks and mortar outlets and through on-line vendors.
It doesn’t matter where the sale is made, or how the sale is made, the money flows to the Apple brand, not to Goggle. The first step to getting a new compensation model to protect Uncle Mo and the sport is a new pari-mutuel tote/wagering system.

Integrity of the Wager
Currently we have three tote companies that do not seem to work well with each other. They cannot stop “past posting”, where betting continues after the start of the race. Their technology was good when all wagers were on-track, but that was before the avalanche of off-track and Internet wagering.

Racing can have a new, central tote/wagering system that allows bettors to wager on every racetrack in real time. It would not only settle accounts with winning bettors and tracks, but also when the results are official, send the purse money to all the winning connections of the race. It addition, it would pay all state taxes immediately. How about that? One system, with all accounts settled in minutes, not weeks and months.

This system will return racing to an “on-track” business model where all revenue stays in racing, like Apple. This will infuse hundreds of millions of lost dollars into purses and to host tracks putting on the show. It will continue to allow each state racing commission to set the percentage of takeout and taxes. (If eventually the states agree to a compact agreement and set national rates, that’s a bonus).

This new system would also eliminate the “settlement” issue, where 1,100 offtrack outlets scramble to settle with the host event. It eliminates off-track bet takers, such as recently bankrupted NYCOTB, from keeping hundreds of millions of dollars in wagers and then not paying the host tracks and purse accounts.

But, the main advantage of this new technology is to provide customer friendly services, such as sending a message to every customer with the results of their bets, including a video link to the races they wagered on with the horses they bet on highlighted. Uncle Mo could be in living color minutes after the race.

The question is, “Can the separately owned, three-tote system do for racing what a new central system can deliver?” I think we all know that answer. Technology companies like IBM, or perhaps Goggle, would be thrilled to show the partners in racing how much money and integrity they could save the sport with a new, state-of-the-art wagering system paid for and upgraded through a percentage of each wager.

In the 90s, Apple introduced a tablet computer named Newton. About the same time, the Jockey Club introduced a plan for a new tote system and both failed.
The ideas were not wrong. It just wasn’t the right time. The time is right for Apple’s iPad, because new technology makes a tablet work. The time is right for new technology to deliver a tote/wagering system for racing with many of the capabilities outlined above.

During the January Sales at Keeneland, people were pitching the opportunity to invest in new ADWs to game the upside-down, off-track revenue model. One entry price quoted for individuals was $10 million. That means ten individuals might put up $100 million to start new ADWs, when perhaps $100 million is all it would take to start a national tote/wagering system for the whole sport, that would make the current ADWs archaic.

Technology waits for no one. We should not lose this opportunity because of who currently owns what. Companies go in and out of business every day because customers move to innovation and to those brands that meet their needs. The owners of the talent, racehorse owners, are equal partners by law with track operators on wagering revenue. They have every right to demand a new, national tote/wagering system to both restore integrity to the wagers and assure the investments in their brands are protected.

With the new central tote/wagering system taking wagers direct from customers and with the compensation of our racing talent based upon the value of their performance, a new energy and incentive will drive the sport.

The actress Angelina Jolie does not appear on David Letterman’s show to promote the movies of other actors. She is there to promote her brand and to increase the ticket sales of her new movie. That’s the way the world works. If we want racehorse owners, trainers, jockeys and track operators to get involved and promote a race, then give them the money wagered on that race. Don’t expect them to promote a race when all the money goes somewhere else, like it does today.

There is great potential for additional sources of revenue to soon be available to racing, i.e. social media, games and services we cannot even imagine now. These new revenue sources are based upon commercial rights to each brand. Are the owners of the brands to simply give their commercial rights to track operators to squander away to the benefit of others, some not even connected to racing? That is what is happening today.

Time for Change
Changing the compensation system for talent can restore integrity with real world incentives for packaging our races. By establishing a new tote/wagering system, we can restore integrity to the wager and deliver enhanced customer service. This isn’t about redistributing revenue; it is about the modern methods needed to grow the sport by targeting horseplayers and fans.

Richard Duchossois, former owner of Arlington, in a recent speech to the Thoroughbred Club of America called for racing to define a new “Goal Line” and he said that would determine what has to be done to get there.

In business management, Strategies precede Structure. Deciding what must be done is more important than who does it. You have just read my analysis and proposals for how to give Thoroughbred racing the fighting chance it does not have today. These are not big changes, but they will have big results.

We need racing secretaries to move from writing bad races to attract horses, to once again being valued for their ability to put together competitive races that make money for racehorse owners/trainers/jockeys and track operators. They need to be thinking about horseplayers and fans.

That’s how you change the direction of the sport and protect Uncle Mo and all those who will follow him. Once we move in that direction, the other “big Mo” will shift toward Thoroughbred racing.

How do we make these changes? One way is to get racehorse owners, like Mike Repole, who understand the value of building and protecting brands in a room and put this analysis and others on the table. That’s when you define the “Goal Line”. Then figuring out how to get there will be easy.

Broad concepts in racing’s mix of product, price, distribution and communications will determine how change can be implemented. Once a new wagering platform is in place, new ideas and methods can be tested and perfected at individual tracks, then rolled out nationwide.

The business methods in use today are artificial and upside down, so many of the inherent problems that plague racing now, will go away when we move to new, real world methods.

Summary
The ability of a racehorse owner to develop, protect and promote the individual brand name of their horses is severely compromised by the current methods in the sport.
In a fast changing world of technology and social media, Thoroughbred racing allows the foundation of brand management, commercial rights, to be taken hostage by track operators, who have squandered and given away those rights for little value. The owner of Uncle Mo has no rights to his races.

The compensation and distribution systems in racing are completely upside down. The owners of the horses putting on the show receive no direct benefit for the revenue their talent is generating. Our welfare system has not only failed, it has corrupted the very foundation of who has the best horse.

Our sport has exhausted every possible advantage of monopoly and is now declining because we continue to do what has always been done and ignore the basics of operating like a modern sport. We have great opportunity to link current and new customers to the talent in our sport and reach the full potential of legal wagering through technology with increasing capabilities. At the same time, we can start to develop and enjoy fan growth and revenue streams available to all other modern sports.

Racehorse owners need to understand the enormous potential of controlling their individual rights to their brands, the talent in the sport, and how those rights can be used collectively to benefit Thoroughbred racing. The owners of the talent in every other sport reached this conclusion years ago and got ahead of us.

Exploring new ways to package and present racing based upon giving our present and new customers what they want, instead of what the industry wants to give them, is the answer to success in our sport. The best way to protect a brand is to make it economically viable.

The best way to protect Thoroughbred racing is to embrace real world business methods to make the sport economically viable. Then it can take care of itself. The first step is a new, national tote/wagering system. Every other step depends on taking the first step.

© Fred A. Pope 2011

28 Comments:

It's about time racing stepped into the future.  

Mary P 03 Feb 2011 3:00 PM

The sport needs a new tote system badly, but feeding into the unfound paranoia of past posting is ludicrous.

Similar to the ludicrous notion that fans are turning their back on the big races.

Make good points why drag them down with ludicrous assertions?

Moses 03 Feb 2011 4:25 PM

Mr. Pope  you are congruent with the time period!  Thank you!

Red Heart Douglas Helzer 03 Feb 2011 5:24 PM

Finally, a voice with reason and direction! Let's put a halt to grade one racing with five horse fields.  Changing the compensation system for talent is the key.  

SirPenn 03 Feb 2011 10:08 PM

Nice to have one tote.

Other than that, most racehorses are not candidates for being a Brand and the few that are don't last long enough to be a Brand. Zenyatta did became a Brand in her last year and a half of racing and she's gone. Barbaro - let's not go there. Uncle Mo? We are all hoping, hoping, as we did for Eskendereya and so many others. If our hopes come true we'll have a Brand for a few months. Oh, and every time Uncle Mo enters a race it will become less competitive, worse for the bettors and Uncle Mo's connections will be punished.

Actually, the Brand is Horse Racing which needs Breeders, Owners, Trainers and tracks. It's not welfare to make it worthwhile for all.

Nice to read about a new idea but  this one needs more thought. Handle is hard to predict or plan on.

Brigitte 03 Feb 2011 10:27 PM

Uniformity is going to be a key factor in the success of the sport.  With all of the organizations within the sport fighting with each other (the tracks, the tote systems, the racing tv channels, owners/breeder organizations, etc.) nothing is ever going to get accomplished.  Excellent article.

Equination.net 04 Feb 2011 11:29 AM

i agree with pope and would love to send/email this to everyone in my address book but don't see an option at the top of the page to do so....

peacesus 04 Feb 2011 4:31 PM

You said it all right there.  That's the cure.  BUT  Let one trainer, one owner, one jockey endorse your idea and they will find themselves locked out.  I've heard of trainers making suggestions and finding themselves without a set of stalls, owners without trainers and jockeys without horses.  The industry has a "shut up or you don't play" attitude.  Until this hurdle is overcome, forget your suggestions.  By the way?  Still have your job here?

CHoffman 04 Feb 2011 5:06 PM

Some good ideas.  But the missing link here is the tracks.  They are not making good money, not investing in the game, not making good decisions.  Imagine trying to put together a successful concert tour without the venues.  

The tracks don't feel like they have the power or the choice to fight with OTB outlets that don't pay their fair share.  So we are stuck in an industry that subsidizes places like NYC OTB, Mid-Atlantic tracks/OTB's that refuse to pay their share, and the same for Las Vegas race books.  

The result is the tracks make less money on each race.  Because of this, they have less investment in the success of each race and each day of racing.  That's why tracks are cutting back on race dates.  

The problem is the pie is cut up so many different ways, nobody has enough invested in seeing any one thing succeed.  Think about that for a second.  Even with the Derby, Churchill Downs does not make enough money that they promote the Derby anywhere nationally.  And the OTB outlets (and tracks) nationwide feel they don't make enough money, so they don't promote the Derby either.  So, it's a downward spiral.  

From that point, Fred's right in that it would be better to let one group make all the money and invest in growth.

Mark 04 Feb 2011 5:44 PM

Mr. Pope,

Re-your model for purse distribution:

I think you failed to account for some variables. On-track handle does constitute part of the overall pool, and is, in part, dependant on the entire card. The stronger the card, the more likely more bettors will turn out and thus increase the overall daily pool. Not only will the feature attract a larger pool, but all races on the card. All else equal, why should a 20K claimer in the 1st receive a greater purse than a 20K claimer that happened to compete on a non-stakes card?. On- track handle aside, horses (all) that compete on weekends/high profile racing days tend to attract more wagers than those competing on other days. Owners would be at the mercy of the racing secretaries who write the condition books...Lastly, the relative "popularity" of a horse-at the higher end- is already somewhat built in to the purse structure. One could argue that it's already top-heavy (purse-wise) at the upper end of the spectrum. As your proposed scheme should have little, if any, impact on overall handle, the net result would be a futher shrinkage of the number of horses in training. From the fiscal perspective, owning racehorses is very much a homerun or nothing enterprise-increasingly so in more recent years. If the total yearly pool remains constant and the more "popular" receive more of it, then all others will receive less. The net effect would be an ever lessening of the "all others" to a point where only the perceived most popular would remain. Problem is that perceived "better" or "best" are relative terms-that without the "lessers" there are no perceived betters or bests. Racing would eventually disappear, but for, perhaps, one day, at first, and then disappear completely, as not too many would be interested in the competition between the few remaining.      

sceptre 04 Feb 2011 10:53 PM

I like these ideas, and please excuse my ignorance for asking about something that perhaps everyone else knows, but who is Fred Pope?  Any financial interest in this that your readers should know about?

On Spec 05 Feb 2011 12:44 PM

This could solve the lack of advertising racing suffers from.  People with horses they perceive as "good" or "great" will be taking out full page ads to promote their animal.  Maybe.  The breeding shed is still where a colt makes his biggest money with the least expense.

CHoffman 05 Feb 2011 12:50 PM

So Uncle Mo is a brand after running all of three races? Makes me wonder if Eskendereya was also a brand a year ago this time. The problem with any reward system is that it results in others sometimes unfairly being penalized.

Giddyup 05 Feb 2011 2:53 PM

Many good points.  Racing needs a unifed, updated, cutting edge  tote system. That is great for everyone in the business.  It also needs more convenient, easily accessible and non-intimidating points of entry for new fans-- i.e., the track needs to be a pleasant place to go.  It can't be dingy, dirty, unfriendly, confusing,have poor amenities, or attract skeevy characters.  How does your local track measure up?

Effective marketing, which racing has no clue how to accomplish, allows consumers to want the product. But the product has to fill a need first, and the above drawbacks are apparent at too many tracks.  

My one point of disagreement: the idea of adding purse money to races featuring horses that draw more betting money seems like a fantastic opportunity for misuse and abuse.  Doesn't take much imagination to see how that can be turned to one's advantage. (And by the way, its Google, not goggle...)

pg303 05 Feb 2011 3:42 PM

Mr.Pope.... That is how our business (greyhound racing) pays its purses, based on handle the best dogs get the biggest points per performance....Their is no set purses for anyrace, just a point system where the better dogs get more points than the lesser ones based on the handle for that days wagering...

Dogman Danny 05 Feb 2011 6:08 PM

You are nuts!

Dumfounded 05 Feb 2011 11:40 PM

Like most of the things Mr. Pope writes, this is an interesting concept and seems to make sense. Maybe it would make sure we really "prove" our stars based on who they beat instead of which "name" races they win.

Convene 06 Feb 2011 6:14 PM

The Graded Stakes Commitee is not doing the sport any favors by putting so many graded races out there.  For example, Saratoga's Sword Dancer and The Arlington Million are two very similar races yet they are conflicting with one another because they are run one week apart and instead of bringing the quality horses together it is dividing them.  As a result, you have two somewhat lackluster fields and betting races.  

Dave T 08 Feb 2011 5:38 AM

Great article. Unfortunately the only way that there will be this sort of monumental change is if the industry collapses first. Im still a fan of a central body governing the entire sport in the United States. Uniformed drug policies, and wagering options. Right now there is no incentive to owners to run their horses. The breeding industry is too lucrative. You have unsound horses winning one or two races and then being rushed off to stud to breed more unsound horses. I digress... great article.

A. Evers 08 Feb 2011 7:32 PM

Fred:

You wrote:

"Currently we have three tote companies that do not seem to work well with each other. They cannot stop “past posting”.

Are you saying the computers cannot be programmed to stop all wagering, say 15 seconds before post time? That is all that would be required to stop "past posting" if it exists.

As an additional check, all bets could be time-stamped and all bets that show a time-stamp later than the actual start-time would be treated as void.

This is so simple, it is probably currently available.

JerseyBoy 09 Feb 2011 8:35 AM

Fred Pope has been putting out good ideas for years.  Has anyone ever used any of his ideas yet?

Doubt it.

Highway 44 Avenger 09 Feb 2011 3:38 PM

Great ideas I also think that you need to get more people involved. Mike Repole really impressed me at the awards with his speeches they were funny, witty and alot of it made sense. One thing he said was that he was going to try and get people involved again and interested well I think that one way to get the public back into the Horse Racing is let them take part in it. I think they should have a contest prior to the derby and have a drawing with some of the contenders and let their be a draw that they are part of the excitement for the day. Let's use Uncle Mo for now, someone draws his name maybe that person can be party the Uncle Mo team meaning they can experience in a taste of it maybe have seats with the owners, get to go to the paddock horse wins a pictures be part...Maybe its a bit much being the Derby is so a bit large to do that but think of how many people interested in becoming an owner to experience the thrill of a high profiled race being part of it up close and personal. I have been lucky to have that chance and its alot different being part of the event then just watching it from tv or say the seats way way way out there............. just a thought

Carla 09 Feb 2011 4:47 PM

In Britain, the races that have the most betting are not the races that attract the best horses. The Group 1 races are weight for age or scale weight races. The big betting races are the handicaps, with 25-30 runners with weights from 140 lbs on down. (And yes, horses carrying 140 lbs can win while conceding 30 lbs.)

It is similar in Australia, where the big handicaps like the Melbourne Cup attract all the betting action. But there, the best horses still run in handicaps and concede the weight.

The tendency in the US has been to emasculate handicaps and/or turn them into wfa races. We don't see 15-25 lb weight-spreads anymore or weights on very top horses in the 130s where they belong. Tracks want the big horses to run and sacrifice field size to get them; who wants to take on Invasor unless they get a significant weight concession?

Pedigree Ann 10 Feb 2011 9:01 AM

More like “voice crying in the wilderness”, Fred!  What a novel idea!  Apply the principles of our wonderful free enterprise, market-based system!  The current “welfare” system the sport is operating under is squeezing the life out of the every aspect of the industry.  I like the way your mind works. So many ills can be addressed by an adjustment in how talent is rewarded. One such area that would benefit would be to give the commercial breeders an incentive to “improve the breed” as well as breed for speed.  We might actually return to the days when horses could start 30-40 or more times with no ill effects.  All I can say is, I do hope you bend the ear of those in the sport who can actually spearhead some major reforms along the lines you suggest before it’s too late.  From reading and listening to Mike Repole, he just might be the right person for the job of heading up just such a commission.

Deltalady 11 Feb 2011 1:36 AM

I'm thinking if they did this, all the 5000 claimers and such would be in the slaughter house, and all that would be run is a 3 race program with only stakes horses, no pick 4, no pick 6.And back to the rich getting richer.Also curlin made 10 million, and mo could too,isn't that reward enough?

Karl 11 Feb 2011 4:23 PM

Well, when they reward the bread n' butter horse (who pays out the same $$$ at the window for a 5-1 bet as the big grade 1 horses), who races weekly, laying their poor bodies down for the sport that lets them run hurt and doped up, who gets to ride a crowded rig a thousand miles to get thwacked in the head with a bolt gun and hopefully dies before he's hoisted up by a back leg...

Then I'll go gaga over the "big horse" that everyone loves.

For me...it's the bread n' butter folks and runners that need to get a decent paycheck...

Rachel 11 Feb 2011 5:35 PM

transmissions of horse racing is in the dark ages. channels like hrtv and tvg should be on basic cable, all races should be free on internet without having to deposit money into an account. used to have youbet, then twinspires comes in and asks you to jump thru hoops to get to next page. lokk at otb's and race track age groups and it's easy to figure out most won't be with us long [myself included]. if new blood is not avaiable to easy access to racing, game over. to me the number #1 improvement would be to get those 2 racing channels on basic cable. take care fans, articles like this can start some new thinking, thanks for some new blood

mike s 13 Feb 2011 7:12 AM

"The owner of Uncle Mo has no rights to his races."

False.  He has the right to enter whatever races he is eligible, the right to earn those purses, the right to scratch, the right to negotiate a match race or appearance bonus with tracks, etc...  

The reason the model continues is for stability.  This proposal seems to try and discourage horse ownership even moreso than today's climate.  

The host tracks should be recieving a higher percentage.  

joe 13 Feb 2011 6:10 PM


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