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September, Here We Come

Yearling sales are a big deal.  If you want to gauge the strength of the industry, take a look at the yearling market.  (And if you're really into such things, you probably already subscribe to TBH MarketWatch...).  Each year, thousands of yearlings go through the ring (in 2008, we'll probably see more than 14,000 of them, with maybe 10,500 sold). 

For more detail, take a look at an 8-year summary of North American yearling sales, or look at yearling auction results by individual sale (click the "yearlings" tab to see sales results for 2007 and for 2008 year-to-date).

So, it's June.  The beginning of June, even.  The tail end of horses-in-training sales.  Why am I discussing yearlings?

Because those sales are already in the works.  Fasig-Tipton's July select session and Saratoga August sales are right around the corner.  The colossal Keeneland September yearling sale follows shortly thereafter.  Many of the sales, in fact, have entry deadlines long since passed. The sales companies are preparing catalog pages, double-checking consignment details, and preparing for barn after barn full of rambunctious yearlings.

And because I've got a colt going through the ring in September.  Over the next few months, I'll post regular updates on the whole process of going through a sale.  Many of you have done this before -- some of you do it every year -- and your comments are appreciated.  And for those of you who are new to Thoroughbred auctions, this is a great opportunity to ask questions of your fellow readers!

So, here's the start of my story:  I have a colt by Honour and Glory (on SRO) out of my Broad Brush mare Brush Back (her pedigree).  Here is the colt's five-cross pedigree and TrueNicks rating.  He's on the small side but well-conformed and attracts a good bit of attention.  Small, unfortunately, is generally a detractor for yearlings.  The colt has excellent ground manners.  We went through a spell when he reared up constantly; I was able to stop that behavior, fortunately, and he's now quite well behaved.  

The colt (he's unnamed... sales yearlings generally are not named prior to their sale) is pastured 22 hours a day and is stalled for morning and evening feedings and grooming.  I put him up overnight twice a month to familiarize him with being stalled for long periods, but otherwise, I want him to "be a horse" and run/graze/socialize as long as possible. Because of his time outdoors, he's got some sun-bleaching, another detractor when going through the ring.

I've decided to send the colt to Montessori Farm for sales prep and consignment.  Lots more on those details will come in future posts.  For now, suffice it to say that the colt's daily routine will change significantly starting mid-June (about 90 days out from the sale):  he'll see more stall time during the day to make his coat darker, he'll have a more formal exercise regimen to build some muscle, and he'll learn to walk and pose for viewings by potential bidders.

While this colt is my first foal out of Brush Back, she has had six previous foals, all of which were sold at the Keeneland September yearling auction.  Their yearling prices have ranged from $5,000 to $105,000.  One of them went on to sell for $600,000 as a 3-year-old.  The mare's progeny yearling average is about $40,000, with mostly mid-range stallions.  Honour and Glory's lifetime progeny yearling average is just under $60,000.  If this colt continues to develop nicely and the yearling market remains steady, he should beat those averages come September.

In occasional posts over the next three months, we'll look at decisions made along the way:  breeding choices, the multitude of expenses to get from breeding to newborn foal to yearling, the "sales prep" stage, and finally the colt's pre-auction showings and his trip through the ring.

11 Comments:

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The Five-Cross Files 05 Jun 2008 12:14 AM

I WISH YOU WELL ON THIS JOURNEY TO THE AUCTION RING WITH YOUR COLT. I WILL READ YOUR POSTINGS AND LOOK FORWARD TO YOUR OUTLOOK/COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIENCE.

I KNOW YOU ARE NOT SOLICITING ADVICE HOWEVER THAT $600,000 SALE OF THE COLT "BIG PICTURE" WAS DISPUTED. UNDER THE THREAT OF LAWSUIT, IT WAS SETTLED OUT COURT. I KNOW THE SELLER WAS K. RAMSEY AND THE BUYER WAS P. REDDAM BUT MY MEMORY FAILS ME AS TO THE REASONS FOR THE DISPUTE.

I HOPE THE ECONOMY IMPROVES FOR THE SAKE OF YOUR SALE. I WOULD SUGGEST THAT YOU SET A RESERVE, IF IT'S NOT MET, THEN BREAK/TRAIN THE HORSE FOR THE RACE TRACK, & RACE HIM. DON'T HAVE HIM PREPARED FOR THE TWO YEAR OLD SALES, I HAVE SEEN TOO MANY HORSES THAT DEVELOP PROBLEMS BECAUSE OF BEING PUSHED TOO SOON, AND GROOMED ONLY FOR THE SALE.  

  • Scot's reply:  Thanks for your comments.  ... Reserve prices:  another great topic to address in a future post!  ...  As for the sale of Big Picture, both parties agreed that the sale occurred as reported; the question was whether the colt had an undisclosed injury before the sale.  (Original BloodHorse.com articles here and  here.)  ...  I agree with you about 2-year-old sales -- they encourage overly aggressive training practices.  Which gives me a chance to send kudos to Frank Stronach's Adena Springs, whose policy is to show their juveniles under tack without fast works. Thank you for responsible leadership!
KAB 05 Jun 2008 12:31 AM

I thought the dispute over Big Picture is that he had been heel nerved and it was not disclosed pre-sale.

WT 05 Jun 2008 10:29 AM

I love the mares from the ack ack line. Were you breeding for speed in this cross?  Do her foals tend to be on the small side?  If so, I think a cross to Point Given would certainly add the needed size, throw in a double dose of Native Dancer that is missing from her pedigree and bring back her sires Classic distances, what do you think?

  • Scot's reply:  I've seen race footage of some of Brush Back's earlier foals, and I went to see her 2005 Officer colt when he was being sold as a yearling.  They appeared to be a bit bigger than my '07 colt.  I bred Brush Back back to Honour and Glory and she has an '08 suckling filly that looks like she'll be fairly big.  Why Honour and Glory?  Check back over the weekend! 
davisondad 05 Jun 2008 2:21 PM

i find it interesting that you've mentioned your mare's produce sale prices, but not how they've performed at the races.  With as many foals as she's produced, you should have an idea if they are competitive on the track.  At this point in her breeding career, i would think that the performance or lack of in her offspring should significantly affect the sale price of the yearling.  

  • Scot's reply:  Six foals of racing age... four winners ... three repeat winners ... one stakes-placed winner that's still running ... and a 3-year-old that has run six times, placed twice, and will run again this coming Saturday, for a low-end tag.  Only one black type foal (and he happens to have been the least expensive yearling), so she hasn't had a break-out foal to this point.
catnip lane 05 Jun 2008 2:55 PM

my father owned/part owned a race horse in the 50's and i have his silks and two copies of cahokia downs programs from 1959. looking for information on these. could you advise.  i enjoy reading your blogs. thank you

  • Scot's reply:  Neat! Google offers a huge array of information on Cahokia Downs... a good place to start.  Join a "racing history" discussion group/chat room to see if you can locate anyone who has first-hand memories of the racecourse.  Keep digging!
polly h. 09 Jun 2008 8:38 AM

What are the requirements for the yearling sales?  I know I can not just take any yearling to the sale and sell it.  This is the part of the business I desire to get involved with so when purchasing my mare I want to make sure I am going to purchase something that will produce a yearling that will be able to be entered in the big sales.  As we talked earlier I am going to look for a diamond in the rough but I want to make sure I can get a return on my investment and build my investment.  I will start very small with rather inexpensive horses by doing my homework and building my way up to the level most people are on who participate in this blog.  With that being said how picky are these sales?  Your thoughts?

  • Scot's reply:  Starting with "rather inexpensive" horses means one of two things:  1/ you're willing to train and race the first few foals to "prove" the mare, or 2/ you're willing to lose some money for several years while you learn the ropes. Most small breeders lose money because breeding is a numbers game.  Many successful large breeding operations figure they'll lose money on 7 out of 8 foals, but the eighth foal will bring enough to cover the losses and have enough left for profit. If you're only breeding a couple of mares a year, you don't have the numbers on your side (I speak from experience!). ... As for the sales, most yearling auctions are "open sales" that accept any/all entries.  There are state-bred and "selected" sales that have individual requirements.  If you want to know the rules for a particular sale, check the sales company's Web site or request a nomination form (it will include any requirements).
MrElmero 10 Jun 2008 2:19 PM

Scott

What does it cost to send your yearlings for sale prep?  This is something that has to be figured into the business of being profitable.  Also, do you do anything to the yearlings to help their confirmation when they are babies?  I have heard of surgeries being done at a young age to help correct faults.  What do you know about this?

  • Scot's reply:  Yearling sales prep depends on your location and the class of the foal.  I figure most yearlings need 90 days of pre-sale prep.  At $25/day, that's $2,250.  At $40/day, the figure is $3,600.  I've been lucky and haven't had to deal with major conformational defaults.  I've worked with my farrier to do corrective trimming, but I generally shy away from surgery unless medically necessary. I support a "full disclosure" policy for any corrective procedure when a weanling, yearling, or horse of racing age is being sold.
MrElmero 11 Jun 2008 1:53 PM

Also, how important is that state bred/state foaled when it comes to the yearling sale ring?

  • Scot's reply:  Important.  It's hard to compare apples to apples since pedigrees are likely to be more important to sales prices, but foals bred in states with strong incentive funds almost always outperform similarly-bred foals that are not eligible for such rewards. 
MrElmero 11 Jun 2008 2:55 PM

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