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Revelations of the Catalog Page, Part II -- The Thoroughbred Industry's Techno Failure

The Five-Cross Files has been around for a year now, making this the perfect time to take things full-circle.  We started out by exploring the pages of a sales catalog for "revelations" (Revelations of the Catalog Page, part I) -- and it seems appropriate to have "part II" of that discussion today.

I'd originally planned a few observations about sire blurbs and consignor information as data fields that are included on the catalog page, with ideas on how to do a little more research on the information revealed in these sections.

The more I think about it, though, the more I realize that Thoroughbred sales catalogs are not as revealing as they should be. And that's a subject truly worthy of discussion.  (Especially since I promised yesterday to rant about horse racing problems.)  I believe that Thoroughbred auction books are indicative of a negative trend in our industry -- an overall reluctance to allow the sport to join the 21st century.

I refer to a common sight at the sales:  prominent bloodstock advisors and trainers carrying copies of the catalog that are dogeared, bookmarked, folded over, highlighted -- and annotated, denotated, and any other form of notated.  Why aren't our industry experts carrying clean copies of the sales catalog? 

Because the sales catalog, as a rule, is incomplete.  Smart investors for years have used the catalog only as a notebook.  They add to it their crib sheet information from Auction Edge and from myriad reports purchased from equineline.com and BRIS.  They use old catalogs to fill in the gaps in their new catalogs. They "have a system."  That system was truly an inspiration back in the 1920s and '30s. Perhaps even not bad in the '70s and '80s. For the past 20 years, though, such an antiquated approach has held the industry back from innovation and renovation and growth.

A few months back, I referred to the future of electronic catalogs.  Many of the comments were what I expected:  Oh, no -- I love my printed catalog. They should never change!

Folks, get ready for it.  Please don't get caught up in arguments about "Tradition" and "That's the way we've always done it." 

Look at any lucrative professional sport out there and what do you see?  A business that embraces technological innovation.  Look at horse racing and what do you see?  A shrinking audience, a dissocation from relevance in modern culture, ... and an abhorrence of technology.

I'm in a business that has a love affair with the printed word.  Publishers across America and around the world fall into one of three categories these days: 

  1. those that will adapt to new technologies (and live to conquer new worlds),
  2. those that won't (and won't), and
  3. a few that will carry on as anachronisms, fun reminders of how things used to be, never quite dying but never able to expand beyond a quaint little niche.

Horse racing relies far too much on outside investment to become one of the third category. The remaining choices are the ones we face today -- and the sales catalog is a visible benchmark of our distinct lack of progress to date.

Honestly, I don't understand the reluctance. Digital information is not just different, it's clearly and unarguably better

Most catalogs reproduce only three generations of the sale horse's pedigree.  Three! That's like reading the last three chapters of a classic book -- there might be enough to enjoy it, but you won't have a full understanding of how the plot (or the pedigree) developed over time, and you'll therefore never see the overall beauty of what's before you.

And it's not just about the appreciation of a full pedigree. Electronic data provides practicality.

Indices in a printed catalog allow you -- at best -- to search by sire, dam, or damsire. That's old-school thinking. Why not search by female family, to find every hip from the La Troienne line?  Why not search for all examples of Turn-to in tail-male, whether Turn-to is the grandsire or seventh sire or anywhere in between?  Why not be able to locate all horses at a sale that are inbred to the full brothers Graustark and His Majesty, or who have a Rasmussen Factor to Almahmoud?  In print, it can't be done -- pages cost money, and it's impossible to address every query.  In digital format, it's as easy as clicking a few buttons.

And what about the carried foal at breeding stock sales?  Why not show a pedigree box for the foal you're purchasing?  "It doesn't fit cleanly on a catalog page" is true for print catalogs -- but that doesn't make it a good answer in 2009.

Oh, you say, there's more to evaluating a sale horse than simple text on a page.  No one should buy a horse without a close physical inspection

Amen.

Indeed, that's true. But wouldn't it be useful to have a "visual" right in the catalog?  And not just one conformation shot, but several, from all angles?  And perhaps even a video of the horse walking?  And why not have the full radioscopes included in the catalog?  And nicking information?  And work times for siblings or previous progeny?  And data from other reports, synced up right on the catalog page?

Why?  Cost, that's why.  No, it's not the data that's expensive.  Photos and video aren't outrageous expenditures. There's no huge investment required for the information. The problem is printing and distributing a catalog on paper. 

I've used the Kindle reading device enough to be excited about its possibilities for Thoroughbred sales.  No complaints about battery life (is two weeks of use enough for you doubters?) or weight (less than a single sales catalog) or memory (view the current sale, plus every other sale conducted ever in recorded history, without beginning to reach storage capacity) or customizability (keep notes right on the catalog page -- and integrate every other report you have for the subject horse)

Imagine Fasig-Tipton, for its July Selected Yearlings Sale, sending out a Kindle to its top 500 buyers -- pre-loaded with the current sales catalog, and automatically updated with catalog changes as soon as they happen (no need to do anything, the Kindle does it for you).  Oh, and it will automatically download the next catalog as soon as it's released.  With your options and customizations already incorporated.  It's never out of date.

Pretty cool, even for those of us who like the paper catalog.  But essential to attract tech-savvy new owners in the next decade.


Look -- making the sales catalog into a digital product wouldn't -- by itself -- cure the woes of the industry.  But it would be a step in the right direction. 

Make no mistake:  fantasy football and golf-stats PDA updates and online gaming are not fads.  Sports that adapt are sports that survive.  If Thoroughbred racing has any shot of appealing to a new generation, it must embrace the technology available today and make the sport relevant to today's world, while still retaining the charm of a long and storied history.

So here are your marching orders find some way that technology is being used in Thoroughbred breeding or racing, and learn more about it

  • Watch one of the auctions on streaming video (it's available right on the home pages of most sales company Web sites). 
  • Play around with the Pedigree Online database
  • Figure out why Trakus technology should be part of horse racing, not just NASCAR. 
  • Sign up for a Webinar or take a free Horse Course on TheHorse.com. 
  • Or share your ideas about incorporating technology to make the sport better.
18 Comments:

Interesting stuff...i like it

sid fernando 11 Feb 2009 7:48 PM

That so called interactive horse racing game linked above is not what I would call a REAL game. No way to train your own horses. No way to breed your horses and race them. That's why I still love my English version of Winning Post after 12 years.

Quira 11 Feb 2009 8:31 PM

A.I.  

Oh wait, it's not being used.  

But, it should be.

CRob87 11 Feb 2009 8:48 PM

I love it. I was watching taped-on-the DVR November sales propped up in my recliner and using pedigreequery.com on my laptop to check out the horses that interested me.  That was hog heaven! In just a few clicks, I could see back 5 generations and could check on any of the ancestors with one more click. For the broodmares, one more click & there were their progeny results. I had the downloaded sales catalog open in another window & could cross-reference with one more click.

I very much agree with you on the technolgy needing to catch up to this century. My boys are both in fantasy football leagues and the guys at work do fantasy baseball and golfing. They can argue stats for hours and do.

Having the information online, such as walking videos, radiographs & even the scopes, would be a benefit not only to the buyer, but also to the horse. Sales are stressful enough to the horse, how much less stress would the horse be under if it only had to go through these procedures once instead of multiple times for anyone interested? Since the horse should go through a checkup after the sale to finalize it, what would be the harm in putting the horse's welfare first?

Karen in Indiana 11 Feb 2009 9:49 PM

I'd love to have the catalogs be digitized. It would make searching for particular horses so much easier.

Plus, if you make Kindle affordable so everyone could have one to browse through at the sales....

Justine 11 Feb 2009 10:48 PM

Technology is wonderful and i would be lost without my computer so agree with most of what you say!!!!

I think the electronic catalogue is a great idea!  And that horse racing need to move into the 21st Century pronto!!!!  

Will check out the Bloodhorse Fantasy horse racing game later on today or over the weekend if i do not get the time. The racing from Nad al Sheba, which i watch on ATR, takes quite a chunk out of Thursdays when the Dubai Carnival is on!!!!!

Thanks for the thought provoking article!  Hope you are better now!

God Bless

Best wishes

Abbie

Abbie Knowles 11 Feb 2009 10:58 PM

I've always had the impression that the sales companies don't really WANT you to have more information.  I don't mean this in a critical way - but they are most interested in selling each individual horse for the most money possible.  That's obvious and that's their job.  So they showcase each horse in the most positive way possible and limit information.  The outstanding individuals are going to sell well no matter what.  It's the middle to low market horses that need all the help they can get.  The sales companies are hoping for the impulse buyers to help drive up the prices for the others.  For example, lets say there's a nice looking weanling in the ring that gets your attention.  In that moment that it's selling you only have the information in front of you on the sales catalog page.  If you could access the sales results of the mare's prior offspring (lets say they've not sold well) and/or the repository information (maybe it has OCD) then you decide NOT to bid on the animal.  If you don't have this information easily at your fingertips, then you might bid.  Again, i'm not saying this is a bad thing on the part of the sales company.  Afterall, their job is to get the most money for each offering.  They want you to have to make additional effort to be fully informed as a buyer.  This is just my impression over 20 years of selling/buying/observing.

  • Scot's reply:  Catnip, you hit the nail on the head.  But... the sales companies are either going to be part of a solution or they'll suffer the consequences.  Twenty years ago it was possible to "slip one by" a bidder by including only glowing data on the catalog page.  Information is now so universally available, though, that this model cannot last.  Sales companies should be setting the standard for making MORE information available.  There will always be "strong" catalog pages and "weak" pages -- and there *should be* a market for horsemen who can recognize a strong individual despite its weak pedigree.  ... And some of the data will continue to be supplemental to the sale company's catalog -- nicking reports, BRIS figures, etc. -- but at least by going digital, the catalogs allow that information to be added quickly and easily when someone purchases it.
catnip lane 12 Feb 2009 8:11 AM

I've always dreamed of a database similar to Equibase's Virtual Stable or the DRF's Horse Watches for horse sales.  One that would allow you to enter a female family, and have entries into sales emailed to you.

Krista 12 Feb 2009 8:33 AM

As far as xrays and scopes-for most horses (save some of the weaker ones at the end of the catalog) this information is in the repository.  However, most buyers prefer to have THEIR vet, (the one they trust)do them and then read their results.  Especially the scopes.  Having this info online will not stop the amount of scoping for sure, and maybe only a little of the xrays.

The consignors update all the pedigree info up to the last minute.  This information is always available at the barn and someone usually has this information and is very close to the horse selling.  All you have to do is go ask.

In addition, each buyer looks at certain things in the pedigree and it differs from the person next to them.  Some want sales histories, others just produce, and some want a complete unedited pedigree for several generations.  Some only care about race records. This up to date information is always available for free in the pedigree booth. Many people buy publications that go into much greater detail that are released not long before the sale.

The sales catalogs are written according to international cataloging standards.  How many dams appearing on that page is based on those standards.  Each page has 3 generations of the family tree.  Very few people look beyond that because its the family that is more important, not some mare or stallion 5 generations back.  Blacktype in the 3rd dam and beyond really isn't important either.  If you have no blacktype in the 1st or 2nd dams (which means you will get a 3rd and 4th dam on the catalog page) chances are 1/the horse won't bring much money and 2/chances of success are greatly diminished.  The opposite is also true.  Getting 1 or 2 dams that fill an entire page means the family is strong-you don't need to look at 3rd and 4th dams.  You can already see the class of the family.  In 10 years of working sales I have never seen anyone wanting to know anything in regards to the Lowe system of mares.  Only once (and just recently) did I ever have anyone ask if a certain horse was in any of the pedigrees of horses selling.  I cant for the life of me figure out why that old stallion was being searched for (his last foals are about 20 now).

In regards to uploading walking videos, photos, etc.  Keep in mind these points:

1/Some consignors never see the horse until it reaches the sales ground-the day before it sells

2/expense-it costs over $1,000 to shoot full xrays.  Add in scoping.  Now imagine the manpower needed to get good photographs (just try photographing a yearling or weanling and getting a good shot in under 15-20 minutes).  Bad pictures and video can turn buyers off of what really is a nice horse.  That hurts the buyer and the seller.  Add in the time it takes to upload those videos and photographs.  Anyone here want to volunteer to do the close to 6,000 for the September sale?

For those bidding in the back ring without having seen a horse prior to that point consider the following:  Typically these buyers are looking for horses under $5,000.  Horses being sold that cheaply rarely have xrays and scopes in the repository.  (are you going to spend $1,500 in vet bills,pay the consignor his fee,plus pay the auction house its entry fee and selling fee only to sell at a loss? You cut out the $1,500 and hope you get more than a $1,000 bid to get your entry money back, never mind the stud fee).  

The 2nd point to consider is the time frame.  Using Keeneland as an example, here is the time frame. One horse is in the ring selling.  Two are located in the chute getting ready to go in.  Two more are walking in the main sales pavilion. (There are more out in the back)  Let's say you see a horse walking.  The most number of horses ahead of that horse is 4.  The average time a horse spends in the ring is 1 minute.  (1 1/2 to 2 minutes is the norm during select sessions).  You have 4 minutes maximum to look at xrays and scopes (and are you qualified to read those?), look at the pedigree and anything else you might want?  Even with everything at your fingertips it would be a very daunting task for anyone.

While the racing industry does need to get itself together and get into the 21st century, and some of these ideas are good; they just won't work.

For those that can, come out and watch the sales.  Learn what it takes to get just 1 horse through the sales ring ( I think it would shock anyone who hasn't lived it).  It takes an entire team that starts weeks before the sales just to get all the required info to the auction house in time.  It gets really crazy once ship in begins.  That's if nothing goes wrong.

Worked the sales a long time 12 Feb 2009 10:44 AM

Increased access to information for buyers is great but I question your characterization of current paradigms as failure. Horse sales put buyers and sellers together for physical inspection. Buyers of yearlings, weanlings and 2 year olds would not buy off pictures. Good judges of horses need to see the horse in person to evaluate it properly which is different from from having it scoped and x-rayed. Due dilligence is way more than looking what happened 6 generations ago that may have no signifigant genetic impact on a horse. Broodmares with established produce records are easier to buy on paper and a picture but young athletes need to be evaluated as an individual along with pedigree. Sales are not "fantacy" leagues. They are purveyors of commerce. Evaluating the "individual" is paramount.

Ed Zepplin 12 Feb 2009 11:03 AM

What about a real searchable version? Wouldn't it be grand to eliminate studs you are not interested in, late foals perhaps, weak broodmare sires, old mares, consigners you don't trust and then be able to study what is left?

Justanothervoiceinthedesert. 12 Feb 2009 11:16 AM

not to mention... keeneland does have serchable index, and recently even added the feature to download only the pages you were interested in into a mini catalog for pdf file. ft does a lovely job making the catalog pretty online but could use some sort of a search engine. basics can still be downloaded and sorted through on excel, eliminate sires, birth dates and consigners at will then browse back through in a seperate window the pages you want to see.

would be interesting to be able to cross reference sales though, see horses that will be selling at mulitple sales from multiple companies and decide which you really want to go pull out

  • Scot's reply:  Glad you brought this up -- I failed to mention it, and Keeneland *should* be given kudos for making this new service available.  For those of you who aren't familiar, here's what I wrote about the tool last year.
more 12 Feb 2009 12:55 PM

whack em & race em...Long Live The King!!!...

Bellwether 13 Feb 2009 12:16 AM

The first item on my wishlist for a better catalogue would be confo shots!

As a long distance prosepctive buyer, I give my agent a list of horses that I am interested in...but right now only a very low maximum bid.

If I knew what my choices looked like, I would be willing to spend a lot more...but I'm not going to drop tens of thousands of dollars on a possible biomechanically unsound horse

skywatcher 13 Feb 2009 7:16 PM

Brilliant observation, Scot. I've been trying to make my thoughts on this very issue coherent for months. ^-^

FWIW, I gave you a shoutout on Down the Stretch.

JLDecker 15 Feb 2009 6:41 PM

This is a sales catalog made for Thoroughbred pedigree fans.

The Five-Cross Files 19 Mar 2009 9:53 AM

it looks like you'r on the right trail. keep up the good work.

i hope you can give me the information i am looking for. i have contacted the DRF and

looks like you'r heading in the right direction. keep it up. i hope

that you can help me.i have sought this infirmation from the DRF and the American Turf Monthly without success. name the horses that have won 50 or more races.

  • Scot's reply:  Well, I can tell you there've been several (up to 89 wins, in fact) and can point you in the right direction.  You want to find the latest copy of the Thoroughbred Times Racing Almanac, where you'll find lists of the winningest, losingest, etc., horses of all time. 
myhopesrstillup 03 Sep 2009 8:20 PM

Fasig-Tipton includes a useful tool to keep its November Selected catalog pages up to date. (Even if you're not impressed by that, take a look at the sample page I've cited -- think Sea the Stars' family and Rachel Alexandra's sire.)

The Five-Cross Files 18 Oct 2009 10:16 AM

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