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7 Over-Performing Synthetic Sires

I could talk about broodmares all day, every day -- okay, okay, I DO talk about broodmares a lot! -- but that's only part of the picture when it comes to Thoroughbred racehorses. 

With all the recent interest in all-weather tracks, I thought I'd do a quick study of the Thoroughbred stallions that are having notable success on synthetic surfaces. 

I started out on the Breeding/Sire Lists section of BloodHorse.com and took a look at the Leading All-Weather Sires list.  I crunched the numbers a little further and eliminated all stallions that were represented by fewer than 20 runners on all-weather tracks, sires that have less than 35% progeny winners from synthetic runners, and sires failing to hit 5% stakes winners from all-weather runners.  These are subjective criteria but I felt that they would isolate the sires that have both a significant representation of runners on all-weather tracks and consistent success on the synthetics.

There were seven stallions that made the cut.  When compared to the Leading All-Weather Sires list (which is ranked by overall synthetic earnings), lhey included everything from the #1 sire all the way down to #73.

1. We've got a tie for #1.  Each has 45.8% winners and 8.3% stakes winners from synthetic runners.

    • Exchange Rate (SRO) -  This stallion's ranking questions the idea that synthetic sires are likely to be ones that excelled on the turf during their own racing days. Exchange Rate did win a grade II on the grass, but is better known as a miler on the dirt course.
    • Maria's Mon (SRO) - Deceased.  What a loss -- Maria's Mon is showing up on a lot of leading sires lists these days.

3. Put It Back (SRO) - The only stallion on the list that stands outside of Kentucky, and by far the least expensive at $7,500 stud fee. 40% winners and 8% stakes winners.

4. Tiznow (SRO) - 37.3% winners and nearly 9% stakes winners.  Tiznow is #1 by overall progeny synthetic earnings.

5. Street Cry (IRE) (SRO) - 36.1% winners and an amazing 11.1% stakes winners.

6. El Prado (IRE) (SRO) - 35.1% winners and 5.4% stakes winners.  El Prado ranks only #73 by overall synthetic earnings -- sometimes it pays to study the numbers in more depth!

7. Point Given (SRO) - Just made the list for both winners (35%) and stakes winners (5%).

I will also give honorable mention to Canadian sire Trajectory (pedigree), whose CAN$6,000 stud fee looks like a nice bargain when considering his 34.3% winners and 5.7% stakes winners on synthetics -- both percentages significantly ahead of his overall progeny statistics.

One thing that hit me while I was going through the list was the sire line diversity.  Out of seven stallions, we've got two coming from Northern Dancer, one through Danzig and one through Sadler's Wells.  Another two come from In Reality through Relaunch.  Finally, three are from the Raise a Native line, two of them through the prepotent Mr. Prospector line.

From a slightly different perspective, the absence of any Seattle Slew-line sires was a bit surprising.  Just because of his reputation and record as a solid, stamina-oriented sire, I'd expect to see sons of A.P. Indy (SRO) further up on the list -- and will look for changes on that front as more and more races are run on synthetics in the coming years.

Several individual tracks have gone "all-weather" and more are in the works.  The Breeders' Cup will be hosted at a synthetic track -- Oak Tree at Santa Anita -- for the next two years.  It's becoming more and more important for breeders to consider this racing surface when planning matings, and we'll continue to watch the sires that are faring well on the new track surfaces.  For now, if you're interested in learning more about synthetic racetrack surfaces, here's a great overview study (free PDF download)

6 Comments:

What's really interesting, and to me very encouraging, is the fact these stallions are no slouches in the national rankings period...!!! (except for 'Put it Back' and even then he's top 10 in FL)

This may help to lessen fears that "inferior" stallions may be "synthetic specialists" you know, the "S" gene, LOL!

da3hoss 08 Oct 2008 12:12 PM

With the success of Maria's Mon, I'd watch Monarchos as a possible synthetic sire. Maybe Claiborne dumped him just a hair early.

K Keegan 08 Oct 2008 12:17 PM

It really is a shame about Maria's Mon. He was pretty consistent with improving the mares he was bred to, whatever their quality; and considering his humble beginnings in the breeding shed, his last few crops were stellar.

JLDecker 08 Oct 2008 1:25 PM

TIZNOW's biggest runners have, for the most part, when opportunity has presented itself, won on synthetic tracks and on dirt. COLONEL JOHN, BEAR NOW, SLEW'S TIZNOW, SLEW'S TIZZY, TOUGH TIZ'S SIS and TIZ NOW TIZ THEN have won on synthetic and on dirt.

TIZ WONDERFUL, MERCHANT MARINE and DA' TARA have never been on synthetic, so their wins have been on dirt.

FOLKLORE won on dirt, but never got a chance to run on a synthetic track (that I can recall). WELL ARMED has won on synthetic tracks only, but did place in the Dubai World Cup on dirt.

I think that the TIZNOW foals are equally as good on dirt and synthetic.

Mike S 08 Oct 2008 1:35 PM

I've always been a fan of the Relaunch line. Isn't it interesting that his influence also shows up on the dam sides of Point Given and Trajectory? Perhaps his sons will become more popular once owners realize that his progeny does well on synthetics. Thanks for all your research, Scot!

Pam 08 Oct 2008 8:12 PM

It's no secret that progeny of Bold Ruler-line stallions have enjoyed success on synthetic racing surfaces. As all-weather tracks continue to flourish, let's take a look at some top synthetic sires to see how much influence they have from Bold Ruler and

The Five-Cross Files 03 Feb 2009 1:13 PM

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