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We are ~48 hours out from the Belmont, and here's how I see the race. From the rail out...Frac Daddy’s best race remains his 9 ¾-length maiden win going 8.5f last Nov. 3 at Churchill Downs. His soft 2nd in a slowly run Arkansas Derby (G1) is the lone bright spot in his 3yo campaign, and he was a non-factor in the Derby.He’s by Scat Daddy, a ...

Tom LaMarra and I previewed the Arlington Classic Stakes (G3) on That Handicapping Show this week. The first leg of Arlington's excellent 3yo summer turf series, the Classic drew a competitive, full field of 12. As perhaps the best betting race of the weekend, I thought it deserved a full breakdown.They are going 1 1/16 miles on the ...

The Preakness is rarely if ever the wagering opportunity the Kentucky Derby is.The field is half the size, and the public has relevant information staring it in the face, namely the Derby result.From a betting perspective, my favorite Preakness' are when I don't like the Derby winner. That is not the case this ...

After reviewing the Kentucky Derby replay, it looks like we had a pretty straight forward race this year in terms of evaluating the performances.Although he did benefit from a closer-friendly pace scenario, Orb looked like the best horse in the race. He was bumped at the start and was 16th the first time under the wire. Orb ...

With a 70% chance of rain on Kentucky Derby Day, enjoy the fast and firm tracks as long as they last on Oaks day!  Churchill DownsRace 7    2:08 ETEdgewood Stakes   3yo fillies    1 1/16 miles turf2 Broken Spell (15-1 ML odds) ran very well on the turf at age two. She has ...

Keeneland    Race 10    5:40 ETBlue Grass S. (G1)    3yos    1 1/8 miles Polytrack As always, handicapping a Polytrack race at Keeneland is not about identifying the most talented horse. It is about identifying the horse that will like the track and figures to get a manageable trip. ...

The pressure will be on the favorites in this weekend's major Kentucky Derby preps -- Itsmyluckyday in the Florida Derby (G1) and Revolutionary in the Louisiana Derby (G2) -- to earn their way to Louisville. Although both are consensus top-five three-year-olds, Itsmyluckyday's fleet run in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3) and Revolutionary's ...

We are less than seven weeks from the Kentucky Derby (G1), and only a handful of horses have earned their place in the starting gate under the new points qualifying system that places enormous weight on the final two rounds of Derby preps.My clear #1 rated horse -- Holy Bull Stakes (G3) winner Itsmyluckyday -- has just 10 points, not nearly enough ...

If undefeated Purple Egg fails to run well in the Tampa Bay Derby (G2) on Saturday, it won't be because of an injury or a lack of fitness, says trainer Jane Cibelli.Scratched from the Gulfstream Park Derby on January 1 and the Pasco Stakes on January 12, Purple Egg will be making his first start in more than three months. Maybe it's partly ...

The public is likely to view the 2013 Santa Anita Handicap (G1) as a two-horse race between Ron the Greek and Game On Dude. They might be right, but I doubt there will be any value in going along with that opinion.I like a pair of improving four-year-olds Called to Serve (6-1 ML) and Stephanoatsee (8-1 ML) to run big. Called ...