In-depth analysis of the 2014 Belmont Stakes including Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern of each starter. Please refer to the Legend or Pattern Guide for back-up definitions and patterns. The Predicteform.com Pace Figures will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Pace Figures are not just a single speed number, but rather a series of numbers that are incredibly powerful...
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Sometime between the Santa Anita Derby and the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands , I decided that California Chrome was no longer worth betting. And it’s cost me, but more in terms of prestige than in my wallet. The $7 he paid winning the Derby was OK, but I have no regrets about missing out on $3 in the Preakness (though if you loved him, $3 to place wasn’t bad). But he could have paid $2.10...
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Granted, this is somewhat a self-fulfilling statistic, as the best last-out Brisnet.com Speed Rating is most often the Kentucky Derby winner, and in this time range the Derby winner has won the Preakness six times. Still, the best last-out Brisnet.com Speed Rating would have landed you on non-Derby starters and Preakness winners Bernardini and Rachel Alexandra as well as longshot runnerup Scrappy T....
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A lot has been made about the unimpressive final time of the 2014 Kentucky Derby. As you may know, Old Rosebud won the 1914 Kentucky Derby in a faster time (2:03.40) than this year’s edition (2:03.66), which is pretty remarkable considering how much slower final times were a century ago. For instance, the two six-furlong races on the 1914 Kentucky Derby card went in 1:14 and 1:13.40. In 1914, the Churchill...
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I’ve compared this year’s Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands to two things: a roulette wheel and the NCAA men’s basketball championship tournament. A roulette wheel because most horses can win (i.e. have some chance of winning), and it’s up to the handicapper to determine which odds are better than the horse’s chance of winning. That doesn’t work in roulette where you get 35-to-1 no matter which...
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In-depth analysis of the 2014 Kentucky Derby including Pace Figures and Form Cycle Pattern of each starter. Please refer to the Legend or Pattern Guide for back-up definitions and patterns. The Predicteform.com Pace Figures will tell you if a horse is likely to improve or regress in its next start. Pace Figures are not just a single speed number, but rather a series of numbers that are incredibly powerful...
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For Kentucky Oaks Day Analysis, scroll to the second half of this blog post Saturday, Churchill Downs Race 11 The G1 Kentucky Derby By Robert Finnegan Handicapping the Kentucky Derby tends to be nasty, brutish, and long, and handicapping the 2014 edition was certainly no exception for us. There are so many approaches one can take, so many angles one can embrace, so many rumors one can listen to...there...
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J. Keeler Johnson handicaps the 140th Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I)....
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By Ed DeRosa Picking a Kentucky Derby favorite is much easier than picking the Kentucky Derby winner, but tabbing his (and 19 others’) off odds is among the more difficult guessing games in the Sport of Kings. Of this I’m certain: California Chrome will be favored and Wicked Strong will be second choice. After that, there are questions: What will California Chrome’s price actually be? Will Wicked Strong...
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J. Keeler Johnson shares his thoughts on three Kentucky Derby longshots that could finish in the superfecta at solid prices....
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Many skilled handicappers treat pedigree analysis as though it should be left for those whose primary aim is the buying, selling, or breeding of horses. There are countless examples, new and old, of the maddening uncertainty associated with this subject. One hundred years ago, Roamer was the champion three-year-old and is credited with 1914 Horse of the Year recognition. He was sired by a "teaser stallion...
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FRIDAY The G2 Elkhorn Stakes Keeneland, Race 9 By Alan Mann The Grade 2 Elkhorn Stakes has drawn an overflow field of 14 on Friday's closing day card at Keeneland. Hangover Kid (10-1) stretches out to a mile and a half after returning from a 105-day layoff to race at a mile and a sixteenth. This somewhat lightly raced (record of 21-6-6-3) six-year-old son of Lemon Drop Kid has never run quite this...
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J. Keeler Johnson handicaps the Derby Trial Stakes (gr. III) and shares his "Kentucky Derby Top Five."...
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While we wait for more two-year-old racing to start, Brisnet.com pedigree handicapper and blogger Doug Salvatore will profile each of the expected Kentucky Derby starters in terms of classic breeding and current form/speed. The second installment looks at the top contenders ranked eighth through 14 th by points on the TwinSpires.com Kentucky Derby Championship Series . For FREE Ultimate Past Performances...
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While we wait for more two-year-old racing to start, Brisnet.com pedigree handicapper and blogger Doug Salvatore will profile each of the expected Kentucky Derby starters in terms of classic breeding and current form/speed. The first installment looks at the top seven contenders as ranked by the Kentucky Derby points system . For FREE Ultimate Past Performances with comments of probable Derby entrants...
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Will Bobby's Kitten stamp himself as a Kentucky Derby contender with a strong showing in the Blue Grass Stakes?...
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The road to the Kentucky Derby heats up with the Spiral Stakes (gr. III) and Sunland Derby (gr. III) on March 22-23....
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Strong Mandate could be sitting on a strong performance in the grade II Rebel Stakes this Saturday....
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By Ed DeRosa If you’re the type who thinks that racing needs its stars to keep racing to increase interest, then this is the Saturday for you! The one-two finishers and beaten favorite in America’s richest race all make the second start of their season on Saturday at Santa Anita Park in the Santa Anita Handicap, and last year’s Preakness runner-up Itsmyluckyday and Belmont Stakes winner Palace Malice...
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There is no shortage of opinions regarding a horse’s performance following races on the TwinSpires.com Kentucky Derby Championship Series , and the beauty of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager is that it allows bettors to put their money where their mouths are (assuming the price is right). Pool 3 is now open and closes Saturday before the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct (more on that race on Friday). For FREE...
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Samraat, Uncle Sigh, and Havana are among the box-office stars entered to race in this week's Gotham Stakes (gr. III) and Swale Stakes (gr. II). But could they be overshadowed by the supporting cast?...
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Rise Up has a 10 point Prime Power advantage on the field in the Risen Star....
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It's an age-old handicapping question--what do you do when the horse you like has drawn a poor post position?...
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In discussing the Southwest Stakes (click for free Brisnet.com Ultimate PPs w/ comments ) with Steve Byk on his At The Races radio program Friday morning, I wondered whether fitness would be a factor for some entrants because of the lost training time this month at Oaklawn Park . Eleven of the dozen entrants are based at Oaklawn with the most recent works ranging from four days ago to three weeks ago...
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The return of SHOWdown is always a big deal here at TwinSpires.com HQ, but nothing would be a bigger deal than seeing Vice President of Marketing Jeremy Clemons with the blanket of roses in one hand and a $1-million bill in the other for the TwinSpires.com player who successfully picked a horse to show in 19 prep races plus the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands . Of course, successfully picking...
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