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On the Warpath

Spring seems to have come early for Three Chimneys Farm sire War Chant (TrueNicks,SRO) . On February 7, his very speedy son Chamberlain Bridge took the 5 1/2-furlong Colonel Power Stakes on turf at Fair Grounds by three lengths in a time less than half a second outside the course-record. Out of the Trempolino mare She's Got Class (a half-sister to broodmare standout Felicita), Chamberlain Bridge is a product of a version of the very successful Danzig/Sharpen Up (GB) cross, and is rated A++ by TrueNicks.

Then on Valentine's Day came an impressive double. The 6-year-old mare Ballymore Lady scored her first-ever stakes win when capturing the Endeavour Stakes (gr. IIIT) on the lawn at Tampa Bay Downs. Out of the Alydar mare Basking, Ballymore Lady is another who is rated TrueNicks A++. Meanwhile, across the country at Turf Paradise in Arizona, another 6-year-old by War Chant, Peace Chant, speed to victory in the $100,000 Phoenix Gold Cup, stopping the clock in 1:08.1. Out of champion sprinter Safely Kept, Peace Chant is also rated A++ by TrueNicks, and is the third stakes winner sired by War Chant out of a Never Bend-line mare.

War Chant now has 20 stakes winners from 295 named foals, a very respectable 6.8%, and while late-maturing horses might not be what commercial breeders are looking for, it certainly speaks well for his progeny's durability. For those who might not mind a turf horse, and are prepared to wait a while, War Chant -- whose advertised fee is $15,000 -- looks a very reasonable bet for the owner-breeder.

 

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4 Comments:

How are percentage of stakes horses calculated?

Is it calculated on total number of horses of racing age, or of starters?

What is a good percentage number?  What is the industry average?

Thank you.

JAJ 24 Feb 2009 6:24 AM

Percentage of stakes winners to foals is calculated by dividing the number of stakes winners by the number of named foals of racing age, and multiplying by 100%.

Stakes winners to starters would substitute number of starters for named foals.

In the U.S. approximately 3% of foals become stakes winners. The rough rule of thumb for a top-class stallion used to be that he would sire 10% stakes winners to foals. However, with the advent of bigger mare books, and the compression of the breed in terms of ability (the smaller gap between the best and the average horse), statistician Bill Oppenheim has suggested that 6% is the new 10%.

So viewed in that light, War Chant's stakes winners to named foals percentage is a very good one.

Alan Porter 24 Feb 2009 10:41 AM

Thank you so much for answering my question.  If you don't mind, I have a couple more along the same lines.

What is the average percentage of starters of horses of racing age?

Winners?

Two-year old starters?  Two-year old winners?

Thank you so much.

JAJ 24 Feb 2009 4:13 PM

Hi JAJ,

The breed average starters to foals is about 67%, for top-class stallions more like 75%.

Winners as a percentage of all foals is less than half, for top-class stallions it's more like 60%.

About 30% of all foals start at 2, nearer 40% for the best stallions. Around 10% of all foals win at 2, about 15% of the foals by top stallions.

Alan Porter 25 Feb 2009 8:57 PM

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