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Don't Judge a Sire by His First Big Horse

Monday, August 15, 2011 6:00 PM

Danzig/Secretariat The great Danzig, who would eventually sire 202 stakes winners (18.8% from foals), didn't take long to prove himself when his first runners hit the track in 1984. His daughter Contredance won the Adirondack (gr. II) and Arlington-Washington Lassie (gr. I), and son Stephan's Odyssey took the Hollywood Futurity (gr. I). But the big horse was... Read More...

Written by Ian Tapp | Aug 15, 2011 | 2 Comments

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Reader Q&A--Statistical Inquiries on Nicking

Thursday, May 26, 2011 5:30 PM

Alan Porter's recent post on the Galileo/Danehill nick inspired some lively discussion in the comments section. One of our most outspoken and analytical community members, known by the handle sceptre , posed a very good set of questions that we thought we'd address here in a new blog. 1. Consider two stallions, one has but 90+ named foals of which 16% are SWs... Read More...

Written by Byron Rogers | May 26, 2011 | 9 Comments

Galileo/Danehill is "Nick of the Moment"

Sunday, May 22, 2011 3:30 PM

With the game triumph of Roderic O’Connor in Saturday's Irish 2,000 Guineas (gr. I) following hot-on-the-heels of the smooth victory of Golden Lilac in the Poule d'Essai des Pouliches-French 1,000 Guineas (gr. I) one week ago, and Frankel’s runaway English 2,000 Guineas (gr. I) win three weeks ago, the cross of Galileo and mares by Danehill has become the classic... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | May 22, 2011 | 14 Comments

What's a No Rating?

Thursday, June 17, 2010 6:00 PM

We are often asked why we assign a No Rating designation to some crosses. Well, it's quite simply that sometimes the most honest answer to a question is “We don't know – there isn’t enough evidence to give a verdict." Click for Conveyance's pedigree, an example of a No Rating . In assessing a cross, the TrueNicks algorithm tries to calculate a rating on the basis... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Jun 17, 2010 | 0 Comments

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Danzig Line Domination in Europe

Thursday, April 22, 2010 7:36 AM

The sterling efforts of Pivotal, and of Sadler’s Wells sons Galileo and Montjeu – who come to the fore as the distance increase – not withstanding, European racing often appears to be dominated by the Danzig line, particularly via Danehill and Green Desert. Those two branches were particuarly in evidence in the last week, through Dansili – who is vying with Danehill... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Apr 22, 2010 | 4 Comments

Brother Also Rises

Thursday, April 15, 2010 7:25 AM

While Ghostzapper ( TrueNicks , SRO ) was represented by his first grade I winner when Stately Victor upset the Blue Grass Stakes (gr. I), his older half-brother City Zip ( TrueNicks , SRO ) , continued his progress when his daughter Unzip Me captured the Las Cienegas Handicap (gr. III). City Zip – who’s advertised stud fee for 2010 is just $10,000 – currently... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Apr 15, 2010 | 2 Comments

Victor Victorious

Tuesday, April 13, 2010 2:30 AM

Although he was relatively sparingly-raced – 11 starts in four seasons – and carefully-managed, both form book and speed-figures suggest that Ghostzapper ( TrueNicks , SRO ) is worthy of a place alongside the all-time greats. Indeed, a record that includes wins in the 6½ furlong Vosburgh Stakes (gr. I); the seven furlong Tom Fool Handicap (gr. II, in 1:20.42... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Apr 13, 2010 | 3 Comments

A Grade I Combination

Monday, April 05, 2010 4:42 PM

Sidney’s Candy took the Santa Anita Derby (gr. I) and is by young sire sensation, Candy Ride (ARG) ( TrueNicks , SRO ). He follows Evita Argentina and Capt. Candyman Can as the third grade I winner by the sire from only ten starters out of mares by Storm Cat and his sons. Can we say “emerging nick” anyone? He’s from the second crop of Candy Ride (a grandson of... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Apr 05, 2010 | 1 Comment

A Plan Comes Together

Tuesday, March 30, 2010 11:33 PM

The beautifully-bred Battle Plan has taken a while to show that he has talent to match his pedigree. The five-year-old only ran twice before this year, having been sidelined after breaking his maiden in the January of his three-year-old season. Returning from that extended break, he kicked off the year with a pair of allowance wins at Gulfstream Park, and at... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 30, 2010 | 0 Comments

More From Meydan

Tuesday, March 30, 2010 11:06 AM

One nick that has a 100% strike-rate is that of Yankee Victor with mares by Woodman, which has produced stakes winner Timely Reflection, and Kinsale King (TrueNicks A++) , who took the Golden Shaheen (gr. I) in Dubai. The granddam, Flaming Leaves is a stakes winner and graded placed, and is a three-part-sister to Champion Two-Year-Old Colt Roving Boy (both by... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 30, 2010 | 2 Comments

The Devil Went Down To Florida

Thursday, March 25, 2010 7:18 AM

Last year’s Frizette Stakes (gr. I) captress, Devil May Care re-established herself near the top of the division with a 2¾ lengths win in the Bonnie Miss Stakes (gr. III). She’s a Pedigree Consultants recommended mating (for Diamond A Racing Corp) and is by the A.P. Indy ( TrueNicks , SRO ) son [Malibu Moon] out of the Red Ransom mare, Kelli’s Ransom (rated A... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 25, 2010 | 3 Comments

Ice Box Avenges His Sire

Wednesday, March 24, 2010 2:36 PM

Pulpit ( TrueNicks , SRO ) was one of the sensations of the early part of 1997, going undefeated through his first three starts at Gulfstream Park. In succession he took a seven furlong maiden by 7½ lengths, an allowance race by 6¼ lengths, and the Fountain of Youth Stakes (gr. II). The triumphant progress was interrupted when, taken further off the pace than... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 24, 2010 | 4 Comments

Meydan Musings

Monday, March 08, 2010 11:20 AM

Last Thursday was “Super Thursday” in Dubai, the preview to World Cup Day. Here's a look a some of the more interesting pedigrees. Presvis, who took the Jebel Hatta (gr. II), is by the Riverman, grandson, Sakhee, winner of the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (gr. I), and Juddmonte International (gr. I). What’s more unusual, however, is that Presvis, is out of a mare... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 08, 2010 | 1 Comment

An Exciting Thursday at Medyan

Monday, March 01, 2010 9:15 PM

In the UAE Oaks Guineas, Raihana avenged her UAE 1,000 Guineas defeat by Siyaadah, who took third here. A daughter of Elusive Quality ( TrueNicks , SRO ) , Raihana is out of the Sunday Silence mare, Esubooh. The mating is rated B+ by TrueNicks on the basis of the broad Mr. Prospector/Sunday Silence cross, a nick that has also produced Japanese grade one winners... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Mar 01, 2010 | 2 Comments

On The Derby Trail

Wednesday, February 17, 2010 3:59 PM

Rule, was expected to get his classic campaign off to a bright start in the Sam F. Davis Stakes (gr. III) and he accomplished this with aplomb. Rule certainly has a classic pedigree. He is from the first crop of Roman Ruler ( TrueNicks , SRO ) (by Kentucky Derby (gr. I) winner, Fusaichi Pegasus ( TrueNicks , SRO )), who had a good weekend with his daughter Roman... Read More...

Written by Alan Porter | Feb 17, 2010 | 2 Comments

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