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True Opportunity

The TrueNicks system measures the true opportunity of sire and broodmare sire crosses. Unlike other nicking products, TrueNicks ratings are continually recalculated to reflect the latest Thoroughbred racing results.

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The Ramsey's Joy
Wednesday, October 28, 2009 1:17 PM
Kenneth and Sarah Ramsey have done a tremendous job with their stallion, Catienus, a Storm Cat son whom they claimed, then sent out to win a minor stakes, run second in the Suburban Handicap (gr. II), two renewals of the Saratoga Breeders' Cup Handicap (gr. II) and place third in the Whitney Handicap (gr. I). Catienus has never been a fashionable stallion, but... Read More...
Still Lucky, In Kentucky
Wednesday, October 14, 2009 4:43 PM
The juvenile filly grade I races over the weekend (including Friday) both went to stallions who made their names in a regional market before moving to Kentucky. The Frizette Stakes (gr. I) went to Devil May Care, who was making only her second start. She is by Malibu Moon ( TrueNicks , SRO ), who initially started very cheaply in Maryland, and out of Kelli's... Read More...
Juveniles Rule
Tuesday, October 13, 2009 6:39 PM
The surprising Pollard's Vision ( TrueNicks , SRO ) had leapt to the head of the Freshman class following the victory of Blind Luck in the Oak Leaf Stakes (gr. I) last weekend. That lead was short-lived, however, and Hill 'n' Dale's Roman Ruler ( TrueNicks , SRO ) now has the top spot after his son Homeboykris (TrueNicks A++) captured the Champagne Stakes (gr... Read More...
Good Vision
Thursday, October 08, 2009 8:53 AM
We've tracked the progress of freshman Pollard's Vision ( TrueNicks , SRO ) in several previous posts, but we must admit we didn't expect him to vault to the top of the Freshman Sire table. However, that's what happened when his daughter, Blind Luck, emerged from the Oak Leaf Stakes (gr. I) with a 2½ lengths victory. She is the fourth stakes winner from the first... Read More...
Kentucky Juvenile Stakes Offers Graded Black Type to 2-Year-Olds
Monday, April 27, 2009 5:57 PM
The Kentucky Juvenile Stakes (gr. III) to be run April 30 at Churchill Downs offers the first shot at serious black-type for 2-year-olds, and as such we thought it interesting to have a look at the TrueNick ratings for a field of stakes contenders that have yet to earn black type. Topping the likely runners with an A++ rating is Mission Impazible , a son of Unbridled... Read More...
A Year On -- TrueNicks Scores From the 2008 March OBS Sale of 2-Year-Olds
Thursday, April 02, 2009 10:30 AM
As a prelude to the stallion study -- which is currently "under construction" as we determine the best way to track all the horses that we have rated by each sire throughout the world -- we thought that it was worthwhile going back and taking a look at the 2008 OBS March sale of 2-year-olds to examine the horses that rated well with TrueNicks from that sale.... Read More...
Using TrueNicks to Predict Racetrack Success
Thursday, March 05, 2009 10:42 AM
With the first Northern Hemisphere 2-year-old races set to get underway shortly, we thought that this year we would do something that allowed us to follow TrueNicks as a predictor of racetrack success . We debated a couple of ways we could do this, with the primary goals of offering a statistically sound study and one that is trackable in 2009. An ideal solution... Read More...
Whywhywhy Out From Under the Radar
Tuesday, February 03, 2009 8:58 AM
One of the best juveniles of his crop, Whywhywhy (Mr. Greeley--Thorough Fair, by Quiet American), made a promising start to his stud career. He ended 2007 as a top-six freshman sire, and was represented by inaugural Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf winner Nownownow. Whywhywhy ( TrueNicks , SRO ) rather flew under the radar in 2008, but he lit up the screens recently... Read More...
Bernstein Bouncing Back
Friday, October 03, 2008 4:41 AM
Storm Cat's well-bred son Bernstein made a very good start to his career. From a first crop sired when he stood at Doug Arnold's Buckpond Farm, Bernstein was represented by just 37 foals, of which 32 have started and 26 have won. Five of these captured stakes events, their number being headed by the Astarita Stakes (gr. III) victress Toll Taker; the Providencia... Read More...
Northerns Are Fleet
Thursday, October 02, 2008 2:42 PM
We happened to be studying a Saint Ballado mare the other day for a client, and noticed that to date, the only two graded stakes winners out of mares by that stallion are Saint Afleet (TrueNicks A ), who took the Palos Verdes Handicap (gr. II) and this year's Futurity (gr. II) winner, Charitable Man (TrueNicks B ). The speedy Saint Afleet is a son of Northern... Read More...
Pulpit Preaching Precocity
Tuesday, September 30, 2008 6:40 PM
Given that he never raced at 2, Pulpit would seem to be an unlikely influence for precocity, but we are noting that seems to be a trait associated with his stallion sons. A few weeks ago, we mentioned his son Stroll, a middle-distance turf horse, who already has three 2-year-old stakes winners from his first crop. Pulpit has another first-crop freshman son in... Read More...

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