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True Opportunity

The TrueNicks system measures the true opportunity of sire and broodmare sire crosses. Unlike other nicking products, TrueNicks ratings are continually recalculated to reflect the latest Thoroughbred racing results.

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Some Gold For The Colts
Wednesday, November 18, 2009 6:32 PM
We’re very used to two-year-old descendents of Sadler’s Wells showing their classic credentials in major races towards the end of the European racing season. For example, Sadler’s Wells’ son, Montjeu, has recently been represented by St. Nicholas Abbey, Jan Vermeer and Joshua Tree, winners respectively of the Racing Post Tropy (gr. I), Criterium International... Read More...
Q&A - Why Does It Mean When a TrueNicks Rating is a 'No Rating'?
Tuesday, November 17, 2009 7:16 AM
Kim asks : I did a TrueNick with Bertrando and Benson's Girl (by Buddha) and it said no rating. What does that mean? Alan's response: Thank you for the inquiry. For TrueNicks to compute a rating there must be either two stakes winners bred on the cross, or 15 starters. If there are insufficient stakes winners or starters on the sire/broodmare sire cross, the... Read More...
No Doubt
Tuesday, October 27, 2009 8:37 PM
It might seem hard to believe, but only a handful of years ago, Sadler's Wells' legacy as far as the extension of his male-line appeared to be in severe doubt. That is no longer the case, and we were treated to a number of reminders of over the weekend. Sadler's Wells' son, High Chaparral has been rather in the shadow of his stud companions Galileo and Montjeu... Read More...
Still Lucky, In Kentucky
Wednesday, October 14, 2009 4:43 PM
The juvenile filly grade I races over the weekend (including Friday) both went to stallions who made their names in a regional market before moving to Kentucky. The Frizette Stakes (gr. I) went to Devil May Care, who was making only her second start. She is by Malibu Moon ( TrueNicks , SRO ), who initially started very cheaply in Maryland, and out of Kelli's... Read More...
Juveniles Rule
Tuesday, October 13, 2009 6:39 PM
The surprising Pollard's Vision ( TrueNicks , SRO ) had leapt to the head of the Freshman class following the victory of Blind Luck in the Oak Leaf Stakes (gr. I) last weekend. That lead was short-lived, however, and Hill 'n' Dale's Roman Ruler ( TrueNicks , SRO ) now has the top spot after his son Homeboykris (TrueNicks A++) captured the Champagne Stakes (gr... Read More...
Good Vision
Thursday, October 08, 2009 8:53 AM
We've tracked the progress of freshman Pollard's Vision ( TrueNicks , SRO ) in several previous posts, but we must admit we didn't expect him to vault to the top of the Freshman Sire table. However, that's what happened when his daughter, Blind Luck, emerged from the Oak Leaf Stakes (gr. I) with a 2½ lengths victory. She is the fourth stakes winner from the first... Read More...
The Aga Khan Stars Also Shine
Wednesday, October 07, 2009 2:31 PM
Sea the Stars has rightfully dominated the headlines from Europe but the other story of the weekend was the remarkable performance of horses bred and owned by the Aga Khan. We'll start with the 2½ mile Prix du Cadran (gr. I), which went to Alandi (TrueNicks A ), who is by Galileo out of the stakes winning Darshaan mare, Aliya, and is one of no less than five... Read More...
Q&A - What are the Differences Between TrueNicks & Other Nicking Systems? What's More Important, a 'Good' Dosage Profile or a Good Nick Rating?
Monday, October 05, 2009 4:26 PM
Dawn asks : I am somewhat new to this and really need some help. have a mare named Buy You A Bear (Bayou Hebert x Sheckyrilla - Shecky Greene) that I am contemplating breeding to Borrego ( TrueNicks , SRO ) or Leroidesanimaux (BRZ) ( TrueNicks , SRO ) . These are my questions: 1) Based on TrueNicks, she nicks better with 'Leroi' than Borrego, but her Dosage is... Read More...
A Juvenile Weekend
Wednesday, September 23, 2009 1:47 PM
There were several stakes for juveniles last weekend and two freshman sires, Kitten’s Joy (who also had the Summer S. (gr. III) runner-up Becky’s Kitten) and Roman Ruler ( TrueNicks , SRO ) put stakes winners on the board. Kitten’s Joy, who now has 11 first crop winners, was represented by Sunday Silence Stakes winner William’s Kitten who is out of a mare by... Read More...
Oh Canada
Monday, September 21, 2009 9:21 PM
A lot of the key North American action was focused in Canada this weekend. The most valuable race of the weekend was the $1,000,000 (Canadian funds) Woodbine Mile (gr. I), which was taken in storming fashion by the five-year-old mare Ventura (TrueNicks A++ ). She is a reminder of just how severe a loss the premature death of her sire, Chester House was. He sired... Read More...
Another Weekend, Another Runaway Filly
Wednesday, September 02, 2009 2:45 PM
Last week we wrote that Careless Jewel had put up a Rachel Alexandra-like effort in crushing the Alabama Stakes (gr. I) field. Fast forward a week, and we find four-year-old Icon Project, delivering her Personal Ensign Stakes (gr. I) rivals a 13½ lengths drubbing. Icon Project (TrueNicks A++ ) is the second grade I winner and one of eight total stakes winners... Read More...
Combining Like Breds
Tuesday, August 25, 2009 4:53 PM
Combining genetic relatives in pedigrees has been for some time a pathway to upgrading pedigrees for stakes success. Many moons ago noted pedigree authority Ken McLean suggested in his book Quest for a Classic Winner that the like bred Nijinsky II, his three quarter brother The Minstrel and Storm Bird, a son of Northern Dancer whose dam is bred on similar lines... Read More...
Ten Myths: You've Read the Report, Now Watch the Webinar!
Thursday, August 06, 2009 9:30 AM
A few weeks back, we presented a fun paper called Top 10 Myths About Nicks in Thoroughbred Breeding . Today at 2 p.m., Alan Porter and Byron Rogers will host a half-hour video on the topic. Alan and Byron will also be available to take questions after the presentation. The Webinar is FREE and easy to access. Just register here . Read More...
Tied Together -- Birdstone, Medaglia d'Oro, and Musket Man
Tuesday, May 05, 2009 10:38 PM
Several recent posts inspire us to take a quick look at some similarities -- perhaps coincidental -- between the pedigrees of Birdstone ( TrueNicks , SRO ), Medaglia d'Oro ( TrueNicks , SRO ) , and Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) third Musket Man . As we've mentioned ( here ), Birdstone's sire Grindstoned is out of a mare by Drone (whose half... Read More...
Derby's All Mine
Monday, May 04, 2009 4:36 PM
Squeezed back as the field left the stalls and way off the pace early on, Mine That Bird -- under a rail-skimming ride from Calvin Borel -- ran past a rubber-legged field in the stretch to take a muddy renewal of the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I) by 6 3/4 lengths. The $9,500 yearling -- the least expensive in the race -- Mine That Bird was Canada... Read More...
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