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Strike Rate -- Exchange Rate Proving a Prophecy

A few years ago we wrote an article about pedigree trends to come. One we suggested would be the combination of stallions bred on the Mr. Prospector/Buckpasser cross, notably Seeking the Gold, Woodman, Miswaki, and Mining.

Exchange Rate (TrueNicks,SRO) began his career in Florida but earned a move to Three Chimneys with a relatively inexpensively-sired first four crops that have now produced 19 stakes winners, including grade I winners Ermine and Swap Fliparoo. Exchange Rate is out of a mare by Seeking the Gold, and so far has had Southern Exchange (dam by Woodman), a two-time stakes winner at 2 in Canada and fourth in the Del Mar Futurity (gr. I); Bereba (dam by Miswaki), a stakes winner who also took third in the First Lady Handicap (gr. III); and R Brown Sugar (dam by Woodman), who recently took the Darley Ocala Breeders' Sale Sprint, all bred on a 3 x 2 cross of stallions fitting this Mr. Prospector/Buckpasser pattern.

Duplicating Mr. Prospector and Buckpasser in isolation has also been major factor in the Exchange Rate success story. So far a total of seven of Exchange Rate's stakes winners are out of Mr. Prospector-line mares, others including the Sapling Stakes and Barbaro Stakes (both gr. III) winner Xchanger and the extremely rapid Rated Fiesty, heroine of the Kentucky Breeder's Cup Stakes and Debutante Stakes (both gr. III). Buckpasser is in the dams of six of the Exchange Rate stakes winners, including grade I winners Ermine and Swap Fliparoo.

While on the subject of Exchange Rate and his stakes winners, there are a couple of other interesting pedigrees we can note. His daughter C Karma, who took the Natalma Stakes (gr. IIIT) at Woodbine last year, is out of C B Carm, who is by Slick. (It's okay if you're wondering, "Who's Slick?" The answer is that he's a modest son of Alydar). Slick is out of a mare by a son of Bold Ruler, making him a parallel Raise a Native/Bold Ruler cross to the dam of Exchange Rate, with the Raise a Native through the genetic relatives Mr. Prospector and Alydar. Incidentally, we recommended the purchase of C B Carm at the end of her racing career.

Another pedigree that caught our eye was that of the stakes-winning filly Cream Only. She's out of a mare by Time For A Change, and his broodmare sire, Reviewer, is a half-brother to Broadway, the dam of Seeking the Gold (who -- remember -- is, in turn, broodmare sire of Exchanger Rate). Seeking the Gold sired Australian grade I winner Secret Savings (subsequently a successful sire), out of a sister to Time For A Change, so it's a combination that works.

Finally, we hear good things about an Exchange Rate 2-year-old filly that is inbred to Exchange Rate's fourth dam, Native Partner, via similarly-bred half-sisters, so watch this space!

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