VIDEO: Key Ancestors Report Strategies with Alan Porter
Written by Ian Tapp | Feb 11, 2013 |
TrueNicks' Ian Tapp sits down with Alan Porter, the creator of the TrueNicks rating, to discuss strategies and commercial considerations for using the new Key Ancestors Report. Up for discussion is Oregon Lady (click for report), a graded stakes-winning Shamardal mare who recently sold for $475,000 at Keeneland January in foal to Elusive Quality (TrueNicks,SRO).
Oregon Lady is from the Storm Cat sire line, and Storm Cat also comes back as a positive ancestor to seek out in potential stallions. Alan pointed out that even though a stallion's Key Ancestor Score may be quite high, a low TrueNicks rating can caution you against a statistically unsuccessful cross. In this case, the cross of Storm Cat line stallions over Storm Cat line mares rates D on TrueNicks.
The A.P. Indy sire line has been very successful when bred to mares related to Oregon Lady, meaning that several A.P. Indy line stallions will rate highly. Alan says the mare's commercial value and racing profile should dictate which stallion is chosen. For example, since Oregon Lady raced on turf and has a European pedigree, you may want to look for stallions that have international appeal.
Oregon Lady was purchased in foal to Elusive Quality, a son of Gone West, but Gone West rates as very negative ancestor for her. The mating also creates 2x3 inbreeding to Gone West. While Alan noted some commercial positives for the mating, he said he probably would not have chosen it for the mare's first mating.
Proven international sire Lonhro (AUS) (TrueNicks,SRO) could be an intriguing mate for Oregon Lady, but there isn't much data to support the decision. With a TrueNicks No Rating (not enough starters or stakes winners on the cross to calculate a rating) and a neutral Key Ancestor Score, Alan said his tendency is to go with other alternatives rather than an unknown cross.
Ultimately, Alan's recommendation for Oregon Lady is the stallion Arch (TrueNicks,SRO). Not only does Arch rank #1 by Key Ancestor Score, but he has a strong nick (TrueNicks A++), physical match, ability to sire turf runners, and international appeal.
MORE VIDEO: TrueNicks' Byron Rogers and Ian Tapp explain the Key Ancestors Report.
Key Ancestors Report with Analysis $300
The Key Ancestors Report with Analysis is the most comprehensive report available to analyze your mare's pedigree. In addition to the Key Ancestors Report itself—which includes the top horses produced from related mares and the top 15 most positive and negative ancestors—this report adds additional research tools: a catalog-style pedigree for your mare, Key Ancestor Scores and summaries of up to 50 potential stallions, and TrueNicks Enhanced Reports for each hypothetical mating. The report includes: