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Tomorrow's Nick Today -- Milwaukee Brew and Holy Bull

Written by Alan Porter 1 | Jan 06, 2009 | 8 Comments

We've previously drawn attention on this site to the deeds of Milwaukee Brew (TrueNicks,SRO) , who ended 2008 as Florida's leading second-season stallion and third leading sire overall.

A runner that peaks at 5 and 6 -- as did Milwaukee Brew, when he won back-to-back renewals of the Santa Anita Handicap (gr. I) -- is never expected to produce precocious progeny. So it was encouraging that with his first crop (3-year-olds of 2008), the Adena Springs South stallion has been represented by three stakes winners, including Canadian champion 3-year-old filly Ginger Brew.

What's a little more surprising, however, is that Milwaukee Brew was represented by a trio of juvenile black-type winners from his second crop. We were particularly intrigued by the most recent of those, Dr. Zic, who took the Sandpiper Stakes at Tampa on December 27.

Dr. Zic is out of the Holy Bull (TrueNicks,SRO) mare Royal Corona. Now, readers with good memories will remember that, some while back, we discussed Holy Bull's young stallion Macho Uno (TrueNicks,SRO) , who also stands under the Adena Springs banner. What we found particularly interesting about him was that all of his stakes winners (four at the time, now six) have the sire Khaled in their dam. This includes the Jim Dandy Stakes (gr. II) winner and Preakness Stakes (gr. I) runner-up Macho Again, who is out of a mare by Wild Again (dam by Khaled), the sire of Milwaukee Brew.

So, if Holy Bull's son Macho Uno likes Wild Again, we won't be surprised if Wild Again's son Milwaukee Brew like Holy Bull. Adena Springs have been heavy Holy Bull supporters, so this could be an important nick in coming years.

Filed under: Emerging Nicks

8 Comments:

Alan is this an up coming nick or is this a cross that is bound to have stakes winners because there will be so many crosses to these studs?

Ryan 06 Jan 2009 4:48 PM

Hi Ryan. A good question, and the answer is, only time will tell. However, I believe that it is probably a case of a genuine genetic affinity. Holy Bull seems to do well with Blushing Groom (granddam closely related to Khaled). His son, Macho Uno, has Khaled in the dam's off all of his stakes winners (it it is not THAT common a strain). Given those two things, it seems likely that Holy Bull and Wild Again are going to like to combine. Given that Adena Springs were big fans of both horses, there should be plenty of opportunity.

Alan Porter 06 Jan 2009 6:05 PM

very intreasting just saying for the record milwaukee brew won the santa anita handicap twice not the derby. but wow who would have thought these two lines would be great maybe not the next northern dancer and mr prospector but maybe damascus and buckpasser cross

Scot's reply: Thanks for the comment -- and the correction. I've updated it in the original article.

thomas marceda 06 Jan 2009 10:55 PM

Amazing that all stakes winners have Khaled. But, other than Macho Again, Kahled is several generations back.

Hard to overcome skepticism when ALL is used in genetics. The chances that this stallions special trait transfers through so many generations assuming 50/50 at each mating are so small. Could this be some dominate/mutated gene? Could this be a Nick?

Of all Macho Again racing offspring, how many have Kahled? ie Do these 4 represent 100%? 50%?Is this some statistical fluke related to sample size?

Nick or statistical fluke, still AMAZING.

outsider 06 Jan 2009 11:01 PM

I'd need some time to check what percentage of the mares sent to Macho Uno had Khaled in pedigree, but I doubt it would be as high as even 20%.

I would suspect that there is some haplotype (gene group) that is in both Blushing Groom and Khaled, and maybe, with Khaled being so far back in some of the pedigrees, what's being picked up is other gene groups which have an affinity, rather than the common haplotype per se. It's pretty strange, whatever the cause.

Alan Porter 07 Jan 2009 10:07 PM

the numbers dont add up

a to a++ = 13% of the population

b to a++ = 30%---so b to b+ = 17%

c to f = 44%

your rankings a++ to f only add up to 74% of the population but your program purports to cover 100%

where is the missing 26%

Scot's reply: Your calculations are correct -- but you're missing one piece of information. TrueNicks has a C+ rating that accounts for the remaining 26% of matings. The C+ score is a broad band; it indicates that the nick is slightly more likely than average to yield stakes-quality foals. While the TrueNicks system is not calibrated directly on a "bell curve," it's expected that the largest percentages of nicks will rate "average."

dave lugli 13 Jan 2009 8:53 AM

Hi,

Look at the Lite the Fuse horse Going Ballistic. Supports the Khaled theory. Not to mention Macho Uno had a high seller some months back in florida out of a Lite the Fuse mare.

Chris 02 Feb 2009 10:11 PM

Hi,

Pohave another illustration of Khaled working with the Bull

Chris 04 Feb 2009 12:05 AM

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Tomorrow's Nick Today -- Milwaukee Brew and Holy Bull

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