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True Opportunity

The TrueNicks system measures the true opportunity of sire and broodmare sire crosses. Unlike other nicking products, TrueNicks ratings are continually recalculated to reflect the latest Thoroughbred racing results.

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Before She Was a Stakes Winner She was a TrueNicks A++ Rated Horse!
Tuesday, June 09, 2009 3:55 PM
While Medaglia d'Oro's sale to Darley may have temporarily averted the spotlight towards the son of El Prado (IRE) ( TrueNicks , SRO ) , young Gainesway stallion Tapit ( TrueNicks , SRO ) continues to duke it out with him in the production of stakes winners. Malibu Beach became stakes winner number six for Tapit June 5 when she won the Alyssum Stakes at Belmont... Read More...
A Year On -- TrueNicks Scores From the 2008 March OBS Sale of 2-Year-Olds
Thursday, April 02, 2009 10:30 AM
As a prelude to the stallion study -- which is currently "under construction" as we determine the best way to track all the horses that we have rated by each sire throughout the world -- we thought that it was worthwhile going back and taking a look at the 2008 OBS March sale of 2-year-olds to examine the horses that rated well with TrueNicks from that sale.... Read More...
Juvenile Errors
Wednesday, October 15, 2008 9:18 AM
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Luck — Or Opportunity?
Wednesday, August 06, 2008 12:20 PM
We had yet another example of the imporatance of considering opportunity when creating nick ratings with the August 1 victory of Luck Money in the Majestic Light Stakes at Saratoga. Irish-bred Luck Money was scoring his first stakes victory, although he'd been third to superstar Henrythenavigator in the Coventry Stakes (gr. II) and captured the Goffs Million... Read More...
Opportunity Knocks
Monday, August 04, 2008 12:19 PM
Some recent articles by propents of rival nicking systems have floated the idea that somehow programs that don't use a database of worldwide stakes winners, and don't consider true opportunity - in fact they admit they don't use opportunity at all - can be more accurate than the TrueNicks program that considers true opportunity, and utilizes the comprehensive... Read More...
Golden Daffodil
Thursday, June 26, 2008 2:06 PM
That under-appreciated Nijinsky II line stallion, Hernando (by Niniski), is having an excellent run with his current crop of three-year-olds, which include the English Oaks (gr. 1) victress Look Here ( A+ TrueNick Rating ); Casual Conquest ( A+ ), winner of Derrinstown Derby Trial (gr. II) and third in the English Derby (gr. 1); and most recently, on June 24... Read More...
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One Horse Wonders
Wednesday, May 14, 2008 8:05 AM
Looking through some recent results, we noticed that another nicking program had rated Elite Squadron - who took the May 3 Churchill Downs Stakes (gr. II) - as an A++ nick. A cross check with TrueNicks revealed that Elite Squadron is rated D . Naturally, we wondered what could have caused such a discrepancy. A little research revealed that Elite Squadron is the... Read More...
When an 'F' is Not an 'F'
Saturday, April 19, 2008 3:04 AM
That remarkable California sire, Unusual Heat, was represented by another graded stakes winner when his daughter, Lightmyfirebaby, won the Las Cienegas Handicap (gr. III) last week, her first victory in a race at that level. Lightmyfirebaby is the fifth graded winner by Unusual Heat, following 2008 grade I winner Golden Doc A, Tucked Away, Unusual Suspect, and... Read More...
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Gold Mining
Tuesday, April 08, 2008 4:04 AM
The mega-nick of A.P. Indy over Mr Prospector mares continues to shine with the Ashland Stakes (gr. I) winner Little Belle the most recent example. Once again, it proves that where you found gold once, if it is a rich vein you will find it again. With the same mating pattern found in last weekend's graded stakes winner Adriano, we find that this cross scores... Read More...
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Compare and Contrast
Sunday, March 16, 2008 10:03 PM
It has been a little over two months, ten weeks to be precise, since we launched TrueNicks into the marketplace and the response has been nothing short of overwhelming. With a large roster of stallions subscribed to the complimentary subscription service that allows users to generate their own ratings via either this Web site or www.StallionRegister.com, we have... Read More...
From a Different Point of View
Sunday, February 10, 2008 11:02 PM
We were recently investigating the pedigree of the up-and-coming juvenile Vincent Mangano (NZ), who is by No Excuse Needed (GB) (by Machiavellian) out of a mare by Housebuster. Based on the Machiavellian/Blushing Groom (FR) cross, this resulted in a TrueNicks rating of D . Out of curiosity, we looked at the mating on another nicking system and found that Vincent... Read More...
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